NBA | ATS FoxSheet
Friday 10/9/2020Line$ LineOU LineScore
MIAMI
 
LA LAKERS
+5.5  

-5.5  
+180

-220

214
 
111
Final
108

MIAMI (57 - 35) vs. LA LAKERS (67 - 23)
No Previous GameNo Next Game
Friday, 10/9/2020 9:00 PM
Western Conference - NBA Finals - Best Of 7 - Game 5 - Lake Buena Vista, FL
Board OpenLatest
709MIAMI217216
710LA LAKERS-7.5-7
STATFOX PLAYTRACKER™

Your ATS Selection:

No Selection

Your Over-Under Selection:

No Selection

Comments:

 

 

MIAMI: LAST SEASON: 39-43, finished in 10th place in Eastern Conference.
COACH: Erik Spoelstra (12th season, 523-363).
PROJECTED STARTING FIVE: G Justise Winslow (12.6 ppg), G Dion Waiters (12.0), G Jimmy Butler (18.7 with Minnesota and Philadelphia), F Kelly Olynyk (10.0), C Bam Adebayo (8.9).
KEY LOSSES: G Dwyane Wade, G Josh Richardson, C Hassan Whiteside, G Rodney McGruder.
KEY ADDITIONS: Butler, G Tyler Herro, F-C Meyers Leonard.
PLAYERS TO WATCH: Butler gets a team to call his own, and assumes the role of locker-room leader in the place of Wade ó who retired after 16 seasons, most of them with Miami. The Heat are hoping for healthier years from Waiters and PG Goran Dragic, after both missed about half of last season. Herro, the No. 13 pick in this yearís draft, had a strong summer league and followed that up with big numbers in the preseason so heíll clearly be in the mix somewhere. Adebayo enters his first full year as the starting center, a job he won down the stretch last season, and will get help from fellow bigs Olynyk and Leonard. Winslow wants to be a leader for the group, but has missed 94 games in the last three seasons.
OUTLOOK: The Heat havenít won a playoff series since 2016 and are only 124-122 over the last three seasons, yet believe they can get back into more of a postseason-contender role ó even without Wade, who was the teamís best player last season. Getting Butler was a major boost and heíll unquestionably be the key to everything Miami does, though he wonít be asked to carry the load by himself. Defense wasnít the problem for Miami last season after the Heat finished No. 2 in the league in points allowed; the biggest issue was inconsistent offense, which figures to get better.
LA LAKERS: LAST SEASON: 37-45, finished 10th in Western Conference.
COACH: Frank Vogel (first season with Lakers; ninth season overall, 304-291).
PROJECTED STARTING FIVE: G Rajon Rondo (9.2 ppg), G Danny Green (10.3 with Toronto), F LeBron James (27.4), F Anthony Davis (25.9 with New Orleans), C JaVale McGee (12.0).
KEY LOSSES: F Brandon Ingram, G Lonzo Ball, G Josh Hart, G Lance Stephenson.
KEY ADDITIONS: Davis, Green, C Dwight Howard, G Avery Bradley, F Jared Dudley, G Quinn Cook.
PLAYERS TO WATCH: The evolving chemistry between James and Davis will be at the forefront, but the Lakersí success in creating an immediate title contender could hinge on the supporting cast. Green must keep the outside shooting proficiency he demonstrated last season for Toronto, while Kyle Kuzma must find a role on a reconfigured roster. The Lakersí biggest early-season subplot of all might be around Howard, whose return to LA after six seasons away could be greeted by boos or cheers.
OUTLOOK: An aspiring super team takes shape around James and Davis, who joined forces to do a whole lot more than end the Lakersí franchise-record playoff drought at six years. LA expects to be a title contender with two of the NBAís best players anchoring a lineup featuring perimeter shooting from Green and Kentavious Caldwell-Pope, fast-break proficiency from Alex Caruso and Kuzma, and sturdy defense from Bradley, Rondo and McGee. Vogelís ability to fold this talent into a cohesive unit over the next few months will determine whether the Lakers can do something special in the spring.

Because of this information, no power rating or computer score edges are posted for this game.

BETTING TRENDS

One of the growing resources utilized by sports handicappers is the public betting information offered by a variety of sources. Leading the way in this is Sportsbook.com, who offers the data at its website in real-time. Boasting a giant sports bettor customer base, Sportsbook is able to present data that is accurately reflective of public sentiment. This beats other sources that may be mixing sharp AND public opinion, have a much smaller customer base, or simply presenting the opinions of contest players, not bettors. The Betting Trends from Sportsbook show what percentage of bets are on each side of the pointspread or total. The results can be especially valuable in high profile games.

This data can be used to profit from. When given the choice, most professional bettors would choose to be on the side of the "house", or that opposite of the betting public. Alternatively, others believe in the theory that there is "strength in numbers". Neither belief is foolproof, but if you follow these Betting Trends for long enough, youíll surely form your own opinion.

MIAMI (ATS) (46%)

OVER

(61%)
LA LAKERS (ATS) (54%)UNDER (39%)
FOXSHEETS MEMBER CONSENSUS

MIAMI

(0%)

LA LAKERS

(0%)

OVER

(0%)

UNDER

(0%)

Last Updated: 11/30/2020 4:13:02 AM EST

STATFOX VIEW

No current opinions available.

PREVIEW
STATFOX SUPER SITUATIONS™
StatFox Super Situations favoring LA LAKERS to cover the spread
There are 6 situations with a total rating of 15 stars.
Play Against - Underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (MIAMI) - after having lost 3 of their last 4 games, playing with 2 days rest.
(88-57 over the last 5 seasons.) (60.7%, +25.3 units. Rating = 1*)
Play Against - Underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (MIAMI) - off a cover where the team lost the game straight up as an underdog, in a game involving two good teams (60% to 75%).
(44-17 since 1996.) (72.1%, +25.3 units. Rating = 2*)
Play Against - Any team (MIAMI) - off a cover where the team lost the game straight up as an underdog, in a game involving two good teams (60% to 75%).
(110-48 since 1996.) (69.6%, +57.2 units. Rating = 4*)
Play Against - Underdogs (MIAMI) - off a cover where the team lost the game straight up as an underdog, in a game involving two good teams (60% to 75%).
(70-22 since 1996.) (76.1%, +45.8 units. Rating = 4*)
Play Against - Underdogs (MIAMI) - after beating the spread by 18 or more points total in their last three games, with a winning record on the season playing another winning team.
(201-138 over the last 5 seasons.) (59.3%, +49.2 units. Rating = 2*)
Play On - Favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (LA LAKERS) - after 2 or more consecutive unders, in a game involving two explosive offensive teams (>=102 PPG) after 42+ games.
(195-131 over the last 5 seasons.) (59.8%, +50.9 units. Rating = 2*)

StatFox Super Situations favoring the game to go UNDER the total
There are 7 situations with a total rating of 14 stars.
Play Under - Any team (LA LAKERS) - in a game involving two good teams (60% to 75%), first half of the season.
(146-85 over the last 5 seasons.) (63.2%, +52.5 units. Rating = 2*)
Play Under - Any team (LA LAKERS) - after failing to cover the spread in 2 or more consecutive games, in a game involving two good teams (60% to 75%).
(116-74 over the last 5 seasons.) (61.1%, +34.6 units. Rating = 2*)
Play Under - All teams where the total is greater than or equal to 200 (LA LAKERS) - in a game involving two good teams (60% to 75%), first half of the season.
(126-73 over the last 5 seasons.) (63.3%, +45.7 units. Rating = 2*)
Play Under - All teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 (LA LAKERS) - playing with 2 days rest, in a game involving two good teams (60% to 75%).
(68-36 over the last 5 seasons.) (65.4%, +28.4 units. Rating = 2*)
Play Under - Any team (MIAMI) - in a game involving two good teams (60% to 75%), first half of the season.
(146-85 over the last 5 seasons.) (63.2%, +52.5 units. Rating = 2*)
Play Under - All teams where the total is greater than or equal to 200 (MIAMI) - in a game involving two good teams (60% to 75%), first half of the season.
(126-73 over the last 5 seasons.) (63.3%, +45.7 units. Rating = 2*)
Play Under - All teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 (MIAMI) - playing with 2 days rest, in a game involving two good teams (60% to 75%).
(68-36 over the last 5 seasons.) (65.4%, +28.4 units. Rating = 2*)

View Expanded DetailsGo to Top
STATFOX GAME ESTIMATOR™
 ProjectionShooting   3pt Shots Free ThrowsRebounding 
TeamsScoreEdgeFGM-APct.FGM-APct.FTM-APct.Tot.OFFTO
MIAMI110 38-8246.4%12-3634.2%22-2780.6%501015
LA LAKERS109 38-8446.0%12-3435.7%20-2580.1%501015

The number of simulations in which each team covered the current spread, won the game straight up, and number of simulations which went over or under the current total are listed below. Edges are indicated where one side enjoyed a significant advantage against the line or total.
In 1000 simulated games, MIAMI covered the spread 702 times, while LA LAKERS covered the spread 288 times.
No Edge.
In 1000 simulated games, MIAMI won the game straight up 537 times, while LA LAKERS won 438 times.
In 1000 simulated games, 568 games went over the total, while 414 games went under the total.
No Edge.

Potential StatFox Power Trends to watch out for:
Potential StatFox Power Trends based on estimated statistics favoring MIAMI to cover the spread
MIAMI is 161-118 ATS (+31.2 Units) in road games when they grab 48 to 52 rebounds in a game since 1996.
The average score was MIAMI 94.6, OPPONENT 94.8
MIAMI is 164-69 ATS (+88.1 Units) when they score 106 to 111 points in a game since 1996.
The average score was MIAMI 108.2, OPPONENT 99.1
LA LAKERS are 63-112 ATS (-60.2 Units) in road games when they allow 106 to 111 points in a game since 1996.
The average score was LA LAKERS 108.1, OPPONENT 108.4

Potential StatFox Power Trends based on estimated statistics favoring LA LAKERS to cover the spread
LA LAKERS are 205-164 ATS (+24.6 Units) in road games when their opponents make 43% to 47% of their shots in a game since 1996.
The average score was LA LAKERS 100.9, OPPONENT 100.4
LA LAKERS are 14-4 ATS (+9.6 Units) when they make 78% to 83% of their free throws in a game this season.
The average score was LA LAKERS 119.0, OPPONENT 108.4
LA LAKERS are 207-149 ATS (+43.1 Units) when they score 106 to 111 points in a game since 1996.
The average score was LA LAKERS 108.3, OPPONENT 102.8

Potential StatFox Power Trends based on estimated statistics favoring the OVER against the total
MIAMI is 21-12 OVER (+7.8 Units) in games where they attempt 81 to 87 shots this season.
The average score was MIAMI 111.8, OPPONENT 108.6
MIAMI is 26-15 OVER (+9.5 Units) when their opponents make 43% to 47% of their shots in a game this season.
The average score was MIAMI 113.4, OPPONENT 109.7
MIAMI is 27-11 OVER (+14.9 Units) when their opponents make 32% to 38% of their 3 pointers in a game this season.
The average score was MIAMI 113.8, OPPONENT 110.4
MIAMI is 17-8 OVER (+8.2 Units) in games attempting around the same number of free throws as opponents this season.
The average score was MIAMI 114.1, OPPONENT 110.0
MIAMI is 20-9 OVER (+10.1 Units) when they make 78% to 83% of their free throws in a game this season.
The average score was MIAMI 111.6, OPPONENT 108.8
MIAMI is 23-12 OVER (+9.8 Units) when they allow 106 to 111 points in a game over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was MIAMI 109.1, OPPONENT 108.4
MIAMI is 24-11 OVER (+11.9 Units) when they commit around the same number of turnovers as opponents this season.
The average score was MIAMI 113.9, OPPONENT 111.9
MIAMI is 47-2 OVER (+44.8 Units) where both teams score 105 or more points in a game this season.
The average score was MIAMI 117.9, OPPONENT 115.6
LA LAKERS are 14-6 OVER (+7.4 Units) when they make 78% to 83% of their free throws in a game this season.
The average score was LA LAKERS 119.0, OPPONENT 108.4
LA LAKERS are 32-17 OVER (+13.3 Units) in road games when they commit around the same number of turnovers as opponents over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was LA LAKERS 111.5, OPPONENT 112.6
LA LAKERS are 25-11 OVER (+12.9 Units) in road games when they have the around same number of rebounds as their opponents in a game over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was LA LAKERS 115.1, OPPONENT 112.2
LA LAKERS are 34-8 OVER (+25.2 Units) where both teams score 105 or more points in a game this season.
The average score was LA LAKERS 120.3, OPPONENT 114.7

Potential StatFox Power Trends based on estimated statistics favoring the UNDER against the total
MIAMI is 162-118 UNDER (+32.2 Units) in road games when they grab 48 to 52 rebounds in a game since 1996.
The average score was MIAMI 94.6, OPPONENT 94.8
LA LAKERS are 15-1 UNDER (+13.9 Units) in road games when they make 43% to 47% of their shots in a game this season.
The average score was LA LAKERS 103.3, OPPONENT 105.1

View Expanded DetailsGo to Top
STATFOX POWERLINE™
 Power Rating
 EstimateEdge
MIAMI  
LA LAKERS-2 
STATFOX MATCHUP POWER TRENDS™
StatFox Matchup Power Trends against similar type opponents favoring MIAMI to cover the spread
There are 8 trends with a total rating of 1 stars.
MIAMI is 31-21 ATS (+7.9 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
The average score was MIAMI 110.6, OPPONENT 108.8 - (Rating = 0*)
MIAMI is 79-58 ATS (+15.2 Units) in road games versus teams who attempt 18 or more 3 point shots/game on the season over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was MIAMI 105.8, OPPONENT 106.7 - (Rating = 0*)
MIAMI is 79-58 ATS (+15.2 Units) in road games versus teams who make 6 or more 3 point shots/game on the season over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was MIAMI 105.8, OPPONENT 106.7 - (Rating = 0*)
MIAMI is 27-18 ATS (+7.2 Units) versus good shooting teams - making >=46% of their shots this season.
The average score was MIAMI 110.5, OPPONENT 107.9 - (Rating = 0*)
MIAMI is 24-13 ATS (+9.7 Units) versus very good teams - outscoring their opponents by 6+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was MIAMI 109.1, OPPONENT 110.6 - (Rating = 0*)
LA LAKERS are 25-37 ATS (-15.7 Units) in road games versus good passing teams, averaging >=23 assists/game over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was LA LAKERS 111.7, OPPONENT 112.5 - (Rating = 0*)
LA LAKERS are 38-54 ATS (-21.4 Units) versus good ball handling teams - committing <=14 turnovers/game over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was LA LAKERS 112.0, OPPONENT 112.6 - (Rating = 1*)
LA LAKERS are 22-35 ATS (-16.5 Units) versus good ball handling teams - committing <=14 turnovers/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was LA LAKERS 111.6, OPPONENT 112.9 - (Rating = 0*)

StatFox Matchup Power Trends against similar type opponents favoring LA LAKERS to cover the spread
There are 1 trends with a total rating of 0 stars.
LA LAKERS are 26-17 ATS (+7.3 Units) versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing <=14 turnovers/game this season.
The average score was LA LAKERS 113.8, OPPONENT 106.7 - (Rating = 0*)

StatFox Matchup Power Trends against similar type opponents favoring the OVER against the total
There are 7 trends with a total rating of 5 stars.
MIAMI is 50-37 OVER (+9.3 Units) versus teams who attempt 18 or more 3 point shots/game on the season this season.
The average score was MIAMI 111.5, OPPONENT 108.7 - (Rating = 1*)
MIAMI is 50-37 OVER (+9.3 Units) versus teams who make 6 or more 3 point shots/game on the season this season.
The average score was MIAMI 111.5, OPPONENT 108.7 - (Rating = 1*)
MIAMI is 44-27 OVER (+14.3 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game this season.
The average score was MIAMI 113.1, OPPONENT 110.0 - (Rating = 2*)
MIAMI is 27-18 OVER (+7.2 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game - 2nd half of the season this season.
The average score was MIAMI 112.0, OPPONENT 110.8 - (Rating = 0*)
MIAMI is 36-24 OVER (+9.6 Units) versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was MIAMI 107.7, OPPONENT 110.2 - (Rating = 0*)
MIAMI is 45-32 OVER (+9.8 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game this season.
The average score was MIAMI 111.9, OPPONENT 109.2 - (Rating = 1*)
MIAMI is 21-12 OVER (+7.8 Units) versus explosive offensive teams - scoring 110+ points/game - 2nd half of the season this season.
The average score was MIAMI 112.3, OPPONENT 112.6 - (Rating = 0*)

StatFox Matchup Power Trends against similar type opponents favoring the UNDER against the total
There are 8 trends with a total rating of 6 stars.
MIAMI is 586-498 UNDER (+38.2 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record since 1996.
The average score was MIAMI 95.0, OPPONENT 95.6 - (Rating = 0*)
MIAMI is 221-155 UNDER (+50.5 Units) versus good rebounding teams - outrebounding opponents by 3+ per game since 1996.
The average score was MIAMI 94.5, OPPONENT 94.7 - (Rating = 1*)
LA LAKERS are 94-71 UNDER (+15.9 Units) versus teams who attempt 18 or more 3 point shots/game on the season over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was LA LAKERS 112.5, OPPONENT 110.1 - (Rating = 1*)
LA LAKERS are 94-71 UNDER (+15.9 Units) versus teams who make 6 or more 3 point shots/game on the season over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was LA LAKERS 112.5, OPPONENT 110.1 - (Rating = 1*)
LA LAKERS are 66-48 UNDER (+13.2 Units) versus good passing teams, averaging >=23 assists/game over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was LA LAKERS 112.0, OPPONENT 110.7 - (Rating = 1*)
LA LAKERS are 83-62 UNDER (+14.8 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was LA LAKERS 113.5, OPPONENT 110.0 - (Rating = 1*)
LA LAKERS are 80-62 UNDER (+11.8 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was LA LAKERS 112.5, OPPONENT 111.0 - (Rating = 0*)
LA LAKERS are 65-47 UNDER (+13.3 Units) versus explosive offensive teams - scoring 110+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was LA LAKERS 113.3, OPPONENT 111.0 - (Rating = 1*)

View Expanded DetailsGo to Top
STATFOX SITUATIONAL POWER TRENDS™
StatFox Situational Power Trends favoring MIAMI to cover the spread
There are 15 trends with a total rating of 15 stars.
MIAMI is 49-40 ATS (+5.0 Units) in all games this season.
The average score was MIAMI 111.8, OPPONENT 108.9 - (Rating = 0*)
MIAMI is 27-17 ATS (+8.3 Units) when the total is 210 to 219.5 this season.
The average score was MIAMI 111.4, OPPONENT 107.8 - (Rating = 1*)
MIAMI is 18-9 ATS (+8.1 Units) when playing only their 2nd game in 5 days this season.
The average score was MIAMI 111.1, OPPONENT 105.9 - (Rating = 0*)
MIAMI is 22-12 ATS (+8.8 Units) after 1 or more consecutive unders this season.
The average score was MIAMI 112.1, OPPONENT 106.6 - (Rating = 1*)
MIAMI is 23-9 ATS (+13.1 Units) after 2 or more consecutive unders over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was MIAMI 108.3, OPPONENT 102.7 - (Rating = 2*)
MIAMI is 14-4 ATS (+9.6 Units) in all playoff games this season.
The average score was MIAMI 110.8, OPPONENT 108.1 - (Rating = 2*)
MIAMI is 14-4 ATS (+9.6 Units) as a # 5 seed in the playoffs this season.
The average score was MIAMI 110.8, OPPONENT 108.1 - (Rating = 2*)
MIAMI is 55-33 ATS (+18.7 Units) after having lost 2 of their last 3 games over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was MIAMI 107.7, OPPONENT 106.2 - (Rating = 1*)
MIAMI is 24-9 ATS (+14.1 Units) in road games after having lost 4 or 5 of their last 6 games over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was MIAMI 108.8, OPPONENT 106.9 - (Rating = 1*)
MIAMI is 20-9 ATS (+10.1 Units) after a loss by 6 points or less over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was MIAMI 111.1, OPPONENT 107.6 - (Rating = 1*)
MIAMI is 24-8 ATS (+15.2 Units) after 1 or more consecutive losses this season.
The average score was MIAMI 113.4, OPPONENT 106.3 - (Rating = 3*)
LA LAKERS are 13-24 ATS (-13.4 Units) in road games after a non-conference game over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was LA LAKERS 111.1, OPPONENT 112.8 - (Rating = 0*)
LA LAKERS are 3-12 ATS (-10.2 Units) in road games in non-conference games this season.
The average score was LA LAKERS 106.8, OPPONENT 107.4 - (Rating = 1*)
LA LAKERS are 465-542 ATS (-131.2 Units) after 1 or more consecutive unders since 1996.
The average score was LA LAKERS 102.0, OPPONENT 100.4 - (Rating = 0*)
LA LAKERS are 212-267 ATS (-81.7 Units) after 2 or more consecutive unders since 1996.
The average score was LA LAKERS 101.4, OPPONENT 100.3 - (Rating = 0*)

StatFox Situational Power Trends favoring LA LAKERS to cover the spread
There are 3 trends with a total rating of 4 stars.
MIAMI is 2-12 ATS (-11.2 Units) in road games in the 5th game of a playoff series since 1996.
The average score was MIAMI 91.8, OPPONENT 100.6 - (Rating = 1*)
LA LAKERS are 22-8 ATS (+13.2 Units) after having won 3 of their last 4 games this season.
The average score was LA LAKERS 115.8, OPPONENT 107.3 - (Rating = 2*)
LA LAKERS are 23-12 ATS (+9.8 Units) after having won 4 of their last 5 games this season.
The average score was LA LAKERS 113.3, OPPONENT 106.3 - (Rating = 1*)

StatFox Situational Power Trends favoring the OVER against the total
There are 5 trends with a total rating of 3 stars.
MIAMI is 53-37 OVER (+12.3 Units) in all games this season.
The average score was MIAMI 111.8, OPPONENT 108.9 - (Rating = 1*)
MIAMI is 29-16 OVER (+11.4 Units) when the total is 210 to 219.5 this season.
The average score was MIAMI 111.4, OPPONENT 107.8 - (Rating = 1*)
MIAMI is 28-16 OVER (+10.4 Units) when playing 6 or less games in 14 days this season.
The average score was MIAMI 112.1, OPPONENT 109.8 - (Rating = 1*)
MIAMI is 18-9 OVER (+8.1 Units) after having lost 2 of their last 3 games this season.
The average score was MIAMI 114.0, OPPONENT 109.9 - (Rating = 0*)
MIAMI is 44-31 OVER (+9.9 Units) after 1 or more consecutive losses over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was MIAMI 110.4, OPPONENT 105.9 - (Rating = 0*)

StatFox Situational Power Trends favoring the UNDER against the total
There are 12 trends with a total rating of 2 stars.
MIAMI is 263-207 UNDER (+35.3 Units) as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points since 1996.
The average score was MIAMI 92.6, OPPONENT 97.6 - (Rating = 0*)
MIAMI is 441-354 UNDER (+51.6 Units) as an underdog since 1996.
The average score was MIAMI 92.8, OPPONENT 97.4 - (Rating = 0*)
MIAMI is 190-146 UNDER (+29.4 Units) in road games in the first half of the season since 1996.
The average score was MIAMI 95.4, OPPONENT 96.2 - (Rating = 0*)
MIAMI is 199-152 UNDER (+31.8 Units) when playing with 2 days rest since 1996.
The average score was MIAMI 95.6, OPPONENT 93.7 - (Rating = 0*)
MIAMI is 153-109 UNDER (+33.1 Units) in road games when playing only their 2nd game in 5 days since 1996.
The average score was MIAMI 93.8, OPPONENT 95.0 - (Rating = 1*)
MIAMI is 565-478 UNDER (+39.2 Units) after a game where they covered the spread since 1996.
The average score was MIAMI 96.3, OPPONENT 95.1 - (Rating = 0*)
LA LAKERS are 96-75 UNDER (+13.5 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was LA LAKERS 112.6, OPPONENT 110.3 - (Rating = 1*)
LA LAKERS are 69-55 UNDER (+8.5 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was LA LAKERS 113.4, OPPONENT 108.9 - (Rating = 0*)
LA LAKERS are 43-30 UNDER (+10.0 Units) in the first half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was LA LAKERS 112.8, OPPONENT 108.5 - (Rating = 0*)
LA LAKERS are 35-23 UNDER (+9.7 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was LA LAKERS 110.9, OPPONENT 110.4 - (Rating = 0*)
LA LAKERS are 36-24 UNDER (+9.6 Units) after having won 2 of their last 3 games over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was LA LAKERS 111.7, OPPONENT 108.8 - (Rating = 0*)
LA LAKERS are 52-37 UNDER (+11.3 Units) after a game where they failed to cover the spread over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was LA LAKERS 112.3, OPPONENT 109.9 - (Rating = 0*)

View Expanded DetailsGo to Top
ADVANCED TEAM STATS
MIAMI - Current Season Performance
 Straight UpAgainst SpreadTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsW-LO-UScoreHalfFG PctReb.ScoreHalfFG PctReb.
All Games57-35+1949-4053-37111.857.346.6%52.5108.954.344.9%50.3
Road Games30-30+8.530-2831-27109.356.045.5%51.6109.855.145.1%51.4
Last 5 Games2-3+1.63-12-3109.653.848.6%43.8111.859.245.4%52.4
Playoff Games13-6+13.114-49-9110.854.446.1%49.8108.154.845.4%50.3
MIAMI Team Statistics
 Shooting    3pt ShootingFree Throws Rebounding 
 PPGHalfFGM-APctFGM-APCTFTM-APctTotOffAstPFStlTOBk
Team Stats (All Games)111.857.339-8446.6%13-3637.4%20-2679.3%52826207144
vs opponents surrendering111.155.740-8945.6%12-3435.6%18-2377.6%531024218145
Team Stats (Road Games)109.356.038-8445.5%13-3635.6%20-2579.6%52825217135
Stats Against (All Games)108.954.339-8644.9%13-3734.7%18-2478.4%50924227144
vs opponents averaging111.856.141-8946.1%12-3435.6%18-2377.2%531024218145
Stats Against (Road Games)109.855.139-8645.1%13-3735.4%19-2479.1%511024227144

LA LAKERS - Current Season Performance
 Straight UpAgainst SpreadTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsW-LO-UScoreHalfFG PctReb.ScoreHalfFG PctReb.
All Games67-23-8.245-4142-47113.459.148.2%53.8107.454.644.9%50.3
Road Games44-15+11.828-2829-29112.958.948.1%53.2108.556.145.6%49.9
Last 5 Games4-1-0.52-22-3112.659.447.6%52.6106.051.645.7%43.0
Playoff Games15-4+1.99-79-9113.460.849.0%52.5106.454.145.3%45.8
LA LAKERS Team Statistics
 Shooting    3pt ShootingFree Throws Rebounding 
 PPGHalfFGM-APctFGM-APCTFTM-APctTotOffAstPFStlTOBk
Team Stats (All Games)113.459.142-8748.2%11-3235.0%18-2573.5%541126218156
vs opponents surrendering112.156.441-8945.9%12-3535.9%18-2377.3%531024218145
Team Stats (Road Games)112.958.942-8748.1%11-3235.0%18-2572.7%531025228156
Stats Against (All Games)107.454.639-8644.9%12-3335.1%18-2378.8%50923228154
vs opponents averaging112.456.441-8946.1%13-3536.0%18-2378.1%531024218145
Stats Against (Road Games)108.556.139-8545.6%12-3436.2%19-2478.8%50823228154
Average power rating of opponents played: MIAMI 96.4,  LA LAKERS 96.5
View Expanded DetailsGo to Top
SCHEDULE AND RESULTS
MIAMI - Season Results
 Team StatsOpp Stats
DateOpponentScoreSULineATSTot.O/UShotsPctREBTOShotsPctREBTO
8/31/2020*MILWAUKEE115-104W5W223.5U39-8446.4%531637-7549.3%4419
9/2/2020*MILWAUKEE116-114W5.5W224O37-8145.7%491037-8543.5%5614
9/4/2020*MILWAUKEE115-100W5W222.5U35-7844.9%571137-8842.0%5010
9/6/2020*MILWAUKEE115-118L-2.5L218O40-9044.4%541545-9248.9%5012
9/8/2020*MILWAUKEE103-94W-5.5W219.5U35-7347.9%572133-9136.3%4811
9/15/2020*BOSTON117-114W5.5W208O40-8547.1%551239-8844.3%4810
9/17/2020*BOSTON106-101W3W207P40-9044.4%42936-7250.0%5120
9/19/2020*BOSTON106-117L3.5L208.5O33-8538.8%471341-8548.2%5914
9/23/2020*BOSTON112-109W3.5W212O39-9142.9%49839-8247.6%5319
9/25/2020*BOSTON108-121L3.5L213.5O39-8645.3%481242-9345.2%6011
9/27/2020*BOSTON125-113W3W215.5O45-8056.2%511243-9943.4%4710
9/30/2020*LA LAKERS98-116L4.5L217U38-8942.7%40838-8445.2%6212
10/2/2020*LA LAKERS114-124L10T217O36-7150.7%41949-9750.5%529
10/4/2020*LA LAKERS115-104W9W219.5U41-8051.2%431234-7943.0%5019
10/6/2020*LA LAKERS96-102L7.5W214.5U32-7542.7%441135-7944.3%5115
10/9/2020*LA LAKERS              

LA LAKERS - Season Results
 Team StatsOpp Stats
DateOpponentScoreSULineATSTot.O/UShotsPctREBTOShotsPctREBTO
9/4/2020*HOUSTON97-112L-6.5L227U35-8342.2%471539-8148.1%5314
9/6/2020*HOUSTON117-109W-5.5W223O47-8356.6%491535-7844.9%4317
9/8/2020*HOUSTON112-102W-4W222U43-7855.1%521338-8146.9%339
9/10/2020*HOUSTON110-100W-6.5W209.5O43-8848.9%591628-6543.1%3316
9/12/2020*HOUSTON119-96W-6W218.5U39-7452.7%601933-8937.1%4512
9/18/2020*DENVER126-114W-8W210O44-8353.0%481141-8349.4%4816
9/20/2020*DENVER105-103W-5.5L209U37-8344.6%502335-7447.3%4419
9/22/2020*DENVER106-114L-5.5L215O43-8351.8%341640-7354.8%5318
9/24/2020*DENVER114-108W-6T213.5O38-8047.5%51939-7750.6%3911
9/26/2020*DENVER117-107W-4.5W216O42-7754.5%481338-9042.2%4711
9/30/2020*MIAMI116-98W-4.5W217U38-8445.2%621238-8942.7%408
10/2/2020*MIAMI124-114W-10T217O49-9750.5%52936-7150.7%419
10/4/2020*MIAMI104-115L-9L219.5U34-7943.0%501941-8051.2%4312
10/6/2020*MIAMI102-96W-7.5L214.5U35-7944.3%511532-7542.7%4411
10/9/2020*MIAMI              
View Expanded DetailsGo to Top
HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORY
All games in this series since 1996
LA LAKERS is 24-24 against the spread versus MIAMI since 1996
LA LAKERS is 26-24 straight up against MIAMI since 1996
29 of 50 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL since 1996
Games over the last 3 seasons
MIAMI is 5-4 against the spread versus LA LAKERS over the last 3 seasons
LA LAKERS is 8-2 straight up against MIAMI over the last 3 seasons
7 of 10 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons


 Shooting   3pt shotsFree ThrowsRebounds 
DateTeamsScoreLineResultHalfFGM-APctFGM-APctFTM-APctTot.OFFTO
10/06/2020LA LAKERS102-7.5SU Under4935-7944.3%14-3935.9%18-2185.7%511015
NMIAMI96214.5 ATS4732-7542.7%11-3234.4%21-2680.8%44711
10/04/2020LA LAKERS104-9 Under5434-7943.0%14-4233.3%22-2975.9%501119
NMIAMI115219.5SU ATS5841-8051.2%12-3435.3%21-2391.3%43312
10/02/2020MIAMI114217 5436-7150.7%11-2740.7%31-3491.2%4169
NLA LAKERS124-10SU Over6849-9750.5%16-4734.0%10-1758.8%52169
09/30/2020MIAMI98217 Under4838-8942.7%11-3531.4%11-1478.6%4058
NLA LAKERS116-4.5SU ATS6538-8445.2%15-3839.5%25-2792.6%62912
12/13/2019LA LAKERS113-5.5SU Over5143-8749.4%12-3732.4%15-2365.2%601419
 MIAMI110211.5 ATS5939-8545.9%10-3330.3%22-2878.6%4458
11/08/2019MIAMI80218.5 Under4628-8035.0%6-3517.1%18-2475.0%49812
 LA LAKERS95-8.5SU ATS4840-8944.9%8-3225.0%7-887.5%591018
View Expanded DetailsGo to Top
COACHING TRENDS
StatFox Coaching Situational Power Trends favoring MIAMI to cover the spread
There are 21 trends with a total rating of 4 stars.
Spoelstra is 557-518 ATS (-12.8 Units) in all games as the coach of MIAMI.
The average score was MIAMI 101.1, OPPONENT 98.5 - (Rating = 0*)
Spoelstra is 83-62 ATS (+14.8 Units) when the total is 210 to 219.5 as the coach of MIAMI.
The average score was MIAMI 107.4, OPPONENT 106.3 - (Rating = 0*)
Spoelstra is 67-49 ATS (+13.1 Units) against Pacific division opponents as the coach of MIAMI.
The average score was MIAMI 105.9, OPPONENT 102.6 - (Rating = 0*)
Spoelstra is 113-90 ATS (+14.0 Units) in road games after a non-conference game as the coach of MIAMI.
The average score was MIAMI 99.1, OPPONENT 99.8 - (Rating = 0*)
Spoelstra is 60-42 ATS (+13.8 Units) in road games after 2 consecutive non-conference games as the coach of MIAMI.
The average score was MIAMI 99.3, OPPONENT 100.4 - (Rating = 0*)
Spoelstra is 35-20 ATS (+13.0 Units) in road games after 3 consecutive non-conference games as the coach of MIAMI.
The average score was MIAMI 99.5, OPPONENT 98.8 - (Rating = 0*)
Spoelstra is 285-251 ATS (+8.9 Units) after 1 or more consecutive unders as the coach of MIAMI.
The average score was MIAMI 100.7, OPPONENT 97.8 - (Rating = 0*)
Spoelstra is 86-62 ATS (+17.8 Units) in road games after 2 or more consecutive unders as the coach of MIAMI.
The average score was MIAMI 98.3, OPPONENT 97.8 - (Rating = 0*)
Spoelstra is 186-132 ATS (+40.8 Units) after having lost 2 of their last 3 games as the coach of MIAMI.
The average score was MIAMI 101.7, OPPONENT 99.5 - (Rating = 1*)
Spoelstra is 66-40 ATS (+22.0 Units) in road games after having lost 4 or 5 of their last 6 games as the coach of MIAMI.
The average score was MIAMI 100.5, OPPONENT 101.9 - (Rating = 1*)
Spoelstra is 164-136 ATS (+14.4 Units) revenging a same season loss vs opponent as the coach of MIAMI.
The average score was MIAMI 100.2, OPPONENT 98.1 - (Rating = 0*)
Spoelstra is 241-186 ATS (+36.4 Units) after 1 or more consecutive losses as the coach of MIAMI.
The average score was MIAMI 101.7, OPPONENT 98.8 - (Rating = 1*)
Spoelstra is 183-155 ATS (+12.5 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season as the coach of MIAMI.
The average score was MIAMI 99.4, OPPONENT 98.2 - (Rating = 0*)
Spoelstra is 217-180 ATS (+19.0 Units) in road games versus teams who attempt 18 or more 3 point shots/game on the season as the coach of MIAMI.
The average score was MIAMI 100.1, OPPONENT 100.9 - (Rating = 0*)
Spoelstra is 232-200 ATS (+12.0 Units) versus teams who attempt 18 or more 3 point shots/game - 2nd half of the season as the coach of MIAMI.
The average score was MIAMI 102.5, OPPONENT 100.0 - (Rating = 0*)
Spoelstra is 436-394 ATS (+2.6 Units) versus teams who make 6 or more 3 point shots/game on the season as the coach of MIAMI.
The average score was MIAMI 101.8, OPPONENT 99.6 - (Rating = 0*)
Spoelstra is 252-217 ATS (+13.3 Units) versus teams who make 6 or more 3 point shots/game - 2nd half of the season as the coach of MIAMI.
The average score was MIAMI 102.1, OPPONENT 99.6 - (Rating = 0*)
Spoelstra is 80-58 ATS (+16.2 Units) in road games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game as the coach of MIAMI.
The average score was MIAMI 106.9, OPPONENT 106.0 - (Rating = 0*)
Spoelstra is 77-55 ATS (+16.5 Units) in road games versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game as the coach of MIAMI.
The average score was MIAMI 105.2, OPPONENT 107.2 - (Rating = 0*)
Vogel is 13-29 ATS (-18.9 Units) in road games off a no-cover where the team won straight up as a favorite in all games he has coached since 1996.
The average score was Vogel 98.6, OPPONENT 101.5 - (Rating = 1*)
Vogel is 51-76 ATS (-32.6 Units) after a win by 6 points or less in all games he has coached since 1996.
The average score was Vogel 99.0, OPPONENT 99.5 - (Rating = 0*)

StatFox Coaching Situational Power Trends favoring LA LAKERS to cover the spread
There are 1 trends with a total rating of 1 stars.
Vogel is 22-8 ATS (+13.2 Units) after having won 3 of their last 4 games as the coach of LA LAKERS.
The average score was LA LAKERS 115.8, OPPONENT 107.3 - (Rating = 1*)

StatFox Coaching Situational Power Trends favoring the UNDER against the total
There are 17 trends with a total rating of 8 stars.
Spoelstra is 132-99 UNDER (+23.1 Units) as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points as the coach of MIAMI.
The average score was MIAMI 97.1, OPPONENT 102.1 - (Rating = 1*)
Spoelstra is 212-175 UNDER (+19.5 Units) as an underdog as the coach of MIAMI.
The average score was MIAMI 98.0, OPPONENT 101.9 - (Rating = 0*)
Spoelstra is 98-71 UNDER (+19.9 Units) in road games in the first half of the season as the coach of MIAMI.
The average score was MIAMI 100.0, OPPONENT 100.2 - (Rating = 1*)
Spoelstra is 94-69 UNDER (+18.1 Units) when playing with 2 days rest as the coach of MIAMI.
The average score was MIAMI 99.8, OPPONENT 97.1 - (Rating = 0*)
Spoelstra is 195-167 UNDER (+11.3 Units) after a non-conference game as the coach of MIAMI.
The average score was MIAMI 100.6, OPPONENT 98.8 - (Rating = 0*)
Spoelstra is 96-70 UNDER (+19.0 Units) in road games when playing 6 or less games in 14 days as the coach of MIAMI.
The average score was MIAMI 98.8, OPPONENT 99.6 - (Rating = 1*)
Spoelstra is 83-56 UNDER (+21.4 Units) in road games when playing only their 2nd game in 5 days as the coach of MIAMI.
The average score was MIAMI 97.2, OPPONENT 97.3 - (Rating = 1*)
Spoelstra is 29-15 UNDER (+12.5 Units) after 3 straight games being outrebounded by opponent by 5 or more as the coach of MIAMI.
The average score was MIAMI 97.2, OPPONENT 95.3 - (Rating = 0*)
Spoelstra is 105-73 UNDER (+24.7 Units) revenging a home loss vs opponent as the coach of MIAMI.
The average score was MIAMI 98.1, OPPONENT 99.0 - (Rating = 1*)
Spoelstra is 121-97 UNDER (+14.3 Units) in road games revenging a loss vs opponent as the coach of MIAMI.
The average score was MIAMI 97.5, OPPONENT 99.7 - (Rating = 0*)
Spoelstra is 85-64 UNDER (+14.6 Units) in road games revenging a same season loss vs opponent as the coach of MIAMI.
The average score was MIAMI 97.2, OPPONENT 98.8 - (Rating = 0*)
Spoelstra is 299-251 UNDER (+22.9 Units) after a game where they covered the spread as the coach of MIAMI.
The average score was MIAMI 100.1, OPPONENT 98.6 - (Rating = 1*)
Spoelstra is 148-113 UNDER (+23.7 Units) after successfully covering the spread in 2 or more consecutive games as the coach of MIAMI.
The average score was MIAMI 100.6, OPPONENT 97.8 - (Rating = 1*)
Spoelstra is 296-265 UNDER (+4.5 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record as the coach of MIAMI.
The average score was MIAMI 99.0, OPPONENT 98.9 - (Rating = 0*)
Spoelstra is 404-369 UNDER (-1.9 Units) versus teams who attempt 18 or more 3 point shots/game on the season as the coach of MIAMI.
The average score was MIAMI 102.0, OPPONENT 100.0 - (Rating = 0*)
Spoelstra is 225-197 UNDER (+8.3 Units) in road games versus teams who make 6 or more 3 point shots/game on the season as the coach of MIAMI.
The average score was MIAMI 100.0, OPPONENT 100.7 - (Rating = 0*)
Spoelstra is 113-81 UNDER (+23.9 Units) versus good rebounding teams - outrebounding opponents by 3+ per game as the coach of MIAMI.
The average score was MIAMI 99.1, OPPONENT 98.4 - (Rating = 1*)

View Expanded DetailsGo to Top
STATFOX LINE TRACKER™
Line Movement Analysis not posted for neutral court games.

Here is a summary of past over/under results in games where the total movement was similar to:
Opening Total = 217, Closing Total = 216
Since 1996, 54 games went over the total, while 50 games went under the total.
Over the last 3 seasons, 25 games went over the total, while 20 games went under the total.

STATFOX MONEY TRACKER™
As indicated by the movement of the line, the betting public is favoring MIAMI in this game
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in MIAMI games 47.9% of the time since 1996. (795-865)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in MIAMI games 45.8% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (97-115)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in LA LAKERS games 49.3% of the time since 1996. (821-845)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in LA LAKERS games 48.3% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (98-105)
No Edge.
 
As indicated by the movement of the total, the betting public is favoring the UNDER in this game
The betting public is correct when moving the total in MIAMI games 51.9% of the time since 1996. (958-888)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in MIAMI games 49.6% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (115-117)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in LA LAKERS games 50.8% of the time since 1996. (955-925)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in LA LAKERS games 51.1% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (120-115)
No Edge.
KEY PLAYER INJURIES
MIAMI
[C] 10/08/2020 - Bam Adebayo is probable Friday vs LA Lakers ( Neck )
[PG] 10/08/2020 - Goran Dragic is downgraded to doubtful Friday vs LA Lakers ( Foot )
LA LAKERS
[SG] 06/28/2020 - Avery Bradley is out for season ( Personal )

Last Updated: 11/30/2020 4:13:02 AM EST


Details & Pricing |  Join Now |  FAQs |  FOXSHEET ADVANTAGE |  Help Center |  Contact Us

 © Copyright 2020 StatFox - Sports Handicapping. All Rights Reserved.