NFL | ATS FoxSheet
Sunday 2/7/2021Line$ LineOU LineScore
KANSAS CITY
 
TAMPA BAY
-3  

+3  
-150

+130

55
 
9
Final
31

KANSAS CITY (16 - 2) at TAMPA BAY (14 - 5)
No Previous GameNo Next Game
Week 22 Sunday, 2/7/2021 6:30 PM
Super Bowl 55 - Raymond James Stadium - Tampa, FL
Board OpenLatest
101KANSAS CITY-3-3
102TAMPA BAY57.556
STATFOX PLAYTRACKER™

Your ATS Selection:

No Selection

Your Over-Under Selection:

No Selection

Comments:

 

 

BETTING TRENDS

One of the growing resources utilized by sports handicappers is the public betting information offered by a variety of sources. Leading the way in this is Sportsbook.com, who offers the data at its website in real-time. Boasting a giant sports bettor customer base, Sportsbook is able to present data that is accurately reflective of public sentiment. This beats other sources that may be mixing sharp AND public opinion, have a much smaller customer base, or simply presenting the opinions of contest players, not bettors. The Betting Trends from Sportsbook show what percentage of bets are on each side of the pointspread or total. The results can be especially valuable in high profile games.

This data can be used to profit from. When given the choice, most professional bettors would choose to be on the side of the "house", or that opposite of the betting public. Alternatively, others believe in the theory that there is "strength in numbers". Neither belief is foolproof, but if you follow these Betting Trends for long enough, you’ll surely form your own opinion.

KANSAS CITY (ATS) (56%)

OVER

(67%)
TAMPA BAY (ATS) (44%)UNDER (33%)
FOXSHEETS MEMBER CONSENSUS

KANSAS CITY

(0%)

TAMPA BAY

(0%)

OVER

(0%)

UNDER

(0%)

Last Updated: 9/27/2021 7:26:04 AM EST

STATFOX VIEW

No current opinions available.

PREVIEW
Chiefs-Buccaneers Preview
 

Someone will make history Sunday in a Super Bowl so filled with storylines it would fill a season of TV programming.

Tom Brady, already the true Game of Thrones king, going for a seventh ring. Patrick Mahomes, the apparent heir to the quarterbacking summit, seeking a second in a row with Kansas City - something no team has done since Brady led New England to the double in the 2003 and '04 seasons.

Brady, 43 is in his 10th NFL title game, but with a new outfit, the Buccaneers - who happen to call Tampa home. Yes, Tampa, Florida, where the Super Bowl is being played this year. Pirates of the Caribbean make port: No host team has ever played in the big one in its home stadium.

''There's a lot that comes along with the Super Bowl,'' says Rob Gronkowski, the three-time champion tight end who came out of retirement to reunite with Brady. ''There's a lot that comes along with this week. I've been there before. I've experienced it all before. But just having it at home, cutting out the travel, knowing where you can stay, where your friends can stay, where you family can stay, it just makes it a lot easier to have it at your home stadium, big time.''

Add in two sixty-something head coaches, K ansas City's Andy Reid and Tampa Bay's Bruce Arians, both offensive masterminds as comfortable with today's high-scoring, creative NFL attacks as all those kid coaches who are all the rage.

''There's nobody that would ever say a bad thing about B.A., he's just so endearing to everybody and I think everyone wants to win for him,'' Brady says of Arians, the kind of praise the quarterback rarely used about his previous head coach.

''He's got almost like a father figure kind of role in the building and it's because everyone loves him so much,'' Chiefs unanimous All-Pro tight end Travis Kelce says of Reid. ''He's got an unbelievable way of getting the best out of everybody that is relating to all different aspects and all different forms of life.''

Don't forget the defenses, which could easily be ignored with all the dynamism on both offenses. Tampa has probably the best set of linebackers in the NFL with Shaq Barrett, Lavonte David and Devin White, studs up front in Ndamukong Suh and Jason Pierre-Paul, and an ever-improving secondary.

KC has All-Pro safety Tyrann Mathieu, linemen Frank Clark and Chris Jones - and a coordinator, Steve Spagnuolo, who doesn't back off.

''I've played for a lot of coaches in high school and college,'' Clark notes, ''and I'm not saying they were bad, but I'm not saying their intentions were to bring out the best in players. I can say that for sure with coach Spags. His intentions are not negative or anything like that. His intentions are solely to have the best defense on that field.''

All of this at the end of a season played during a pandemic, yet not delayed, with no games canceled, and each of the Super Bowl participants experiencing relatively few COVID-19 setbacks.

''I think with the pandemic and the sacrifices they have all made for each other, they go to work and go home,'' Arians says. ''They don't get to sit and eat together, don't get to have conversations, it is amazing to me how close they are. It is the commitment they made to each other to beat the virus.''

The NFL and Florida health officials have approved about 22,000 fans and all will be required to wear masks. Raymond James Stadium normally has a capacity of 75,000 fans.

Playing before real people rather than just cardboard cutouts - oh, there will be plenty of those, too, with proceeds donated to local charities - has been rare in the NFL all season. But both the Chiefs and Buccaneers were among the few teams to have fans on hand for some games.

Their paths to the championship game have been divergent, though. The Bucs (14-5) finished second in the NFC South to the Saints, sending them on the wild-card route. That meant trips to Washington, New Orleans and Green Bay. And now, staying home.

The Chiefs (16-2) had the top seed and lone bye in the AFC, then outlasted Cleveland with Mahomes sidelined for nearly half the game before routing Buffalo.

Of course, with the week off between the conference title matches and the Super Bowl, each side should be well rested. The only perceivable edge might be the Chiefs needing a plane ride to the game site while the Bucs could drive over to RJS.

By Sunday, they will be as eager as possible to get back on the field and write the final chapter to an unfathomably atypical season.

''You don't get these opportunities every year in the NFL to be in the Super Bowl and to be in these games,'' Mahomes says, thought it sure seems as if Brady has a Super Bowl habit, and Mahomes is developing one. ''So you don't want to look back and have regrets on how you played or how you went about the week before preparing to go out there to play your best football.

''When the end of your career is done, then you can kind of look and see where those moments were in your career where you could've had something or that you executed and you did go out there and achieve your dreams.''

---

AP Pro Football Writers Teresa M. Walker and Dennis Waszak Jr. and Sports Writer Dave Skretta contributed.

---

More AP NFL: https://apnews.com/NFL and https://twitter.com/AP-NFL

STATFOX SUPER SITUATIONS™
StatFox Super Situations favoring TAMPA BAY to cover the spread
There are 1 situations with a total rating of 2 stars.
Play Against - Road favorites (KANSAS CITY) - outgaining opponent by 70 or more passing yards/game on the season, after allowing 5.5 or less passing yards per attempt last game.
(81-40 since 1983.) (66.9%, +37 units. Rating = 2*)

StatFox Super Situations favoring KANSAS CITY to cover the spread
There are 1 situations with a total rating of 3 stars.
Play Against - Home teams where the line is +3 to -3 (TAMPA BAY) - after scoring 25 points or more in 2 straight games against opponent after a playing a game where 50 total points or more were scored.
(62-27 since 1983.) (69.7%, +32.3 units. Rating = 3*)

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STATFOX GAME ESTIMATOR™
 Estimate #1Estimate #2RushingPassingTotalTurnovers
TeamsScoreEdgeScoreEdgeATT-YDSYPRATT-YDSYPAATT-YDSYPPFL-INT
KANSAS CITY28 26 23-924.041-3017.464-3936.21-1
TAMPA BAY30 27 23-1004.439-3017.862-4016.51-1

StatFox.Com has searched its database for all past games where the posted line or total were similar to this game's and where the final game statistics were comparable to the estimator's projections. (Yards/Play and turnovers) Here are the results against the spread, against the total, and straight up:
In past games, the underdog covered the spread 33 times, while the favorite covered the spread 16 times.
No Edge.
In past games, the favorite won the game straight up 30 times, while the underdog won straight up 20 times.
7 games went over the total, while 4 games went under the total.
No Edge.

Potential StatFox Power Trends to watch out for:
Potential StatFox Power Trends based on estimated statistics favoring KANSAS CITY to cover the spread
KANSAS CITY is 68-33 ATS (+31.7 Units) when they allow 75 to 100 rushing yards since 1992.
The average score was KANSAS CITY 26.0, OPPONENT 19.9
KANSAS CITY is 76-34 ATS (+38.6 Units) when they score 22 to 28 points since 1992.
The average score was KANSAS CITY 25.3, OPPONENT 19.1
KANSAS CITY is 14-5 ATS (+8.5 Units) when they force and commit the same number of turnovers over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was KANSAS CITY 32.6, OPPONENT 22.1
KANSAS CITY is 59-32 ATS (+23.8 Units) when they gain 350 to 400 total yards since 1992.
The average score was KANSAS CITY 25.9, OPPONENT 20.3
KANSAS CITY is 45-23 ATS (+19.7 Units) when they gain 6 to 6.5 total yards per play since 1992.
The average score was KANSAS CITY 26.6, OPPONENT 20.8
KANSAS CITY is 109-65 ATS (+37.5 Units) when they gain 6 or more total yards per play since 1992.
The average score was KANSAS CITY 29.9, OPPONENT 23.0
TAMPA BAY is 37-66 ATS (-35.6 Units) when they allow 22 to 28 points since 1992.
The average score was TAMPA BAY 19.9, OPPONENT 25.2
TAMPA BAY is 13-28 ATS (-17.8 Units) when their defense allows 300 to 350 net passing yards since 1992.
The average score was TAMPA BAY 21.9, OPPONENT 29.1
TAMPA BAY is 9-21 ATS (-14.1 Units) in home games when their defense allows 300 or more net passing yards since 1992.
The average score was TAMPA BAY 29.9, OPPONENT 30.3
TAMPA BAY is 4-15 ATS (-12.5 Units) in home games when they allow 7 to 7.5 net passing yards/attempt since 1992.
The average score was TAMPA BAY 39.5, OPPONENT 33.5
TAMPA BAY is 31-57 ATS (-31.7 Units) when they force and commit the same number of turnovers since 1992.
The average score was TAMPA BAY 19.4, OPPONENT 22.9
TAMPA BAY is 10-26 ATS (-18.6 Units) in home games when they allow 350 to 400 total yards since 1992.
The average score was TAMPA BAY 29.1, OPPONENT 27.1
TAMPA BAY is 45-85 ATS (-48.5 Units) when they allow 6 or more total yards per play since 1992.
The average score was TAMPA BAY 21.2, OPPONENT 29.6

Potential StatFox Power Trends based on estimated statistics favoring TAMPA BAY to cover the spread
KANSAS CITY is 24-42 ATS (-22.2 Units) when they allow 400 to 450 total yards since 1992.
The average score was KANSAS CITY 24.0, OPPONENT 29.2
KANSAS CITY is 42-68 ATS (-32.8 Units) when they allow 400 or more total yards since 1992.
The average score was KANSAS CITY 26.0, OPPONENT 31.1
TAMPA BAY is 23-10 ATS (+12.0 Units) when they gain 7.5 to 8 net passing yards/attempt since 1992.
The average score was TAMPA BAY 24.7, OPPONENT 22.2
TAMPA BAY is 69-40 ATS (+25.0 Units) when they score 22 to 28 points since 1992.
The average score was TAMPA BAY 24.8, OPPONENT 21.2
TAMPA BAY is 67-40 ATS (+23.0 Units) when they gain 6 or more total yards per play since 1992.
The average score was TAMPA BAY 27.9, OPPONENT 23.9

Potential StatFox Power Trends based on estimated statistics favoring the OVER against the total
KANSAS CITY is 8-1 OVER (+6.9 Units) when they allow 7.5 to 8 net passing yards/attempt over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was KANSAS CITY 32.1, OPPONENT 30.8
KANSAS CITY is 8-2 OVER (+5.8 Units) when both teams score 20 or more points this season.
The average score was KANSAS CITY 31.1, OPPONENT 27.6
KANSAS CITY is 18-5 OVER (+12.5 Units) when they allow 400 or more total yards over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was KANSAS CITY 34.1, OPPONENT 30.2

Potential StatFox Power Trends based on estimated statistics favoring the UNDER against the total
KANSAS CITY is 6-0 UNDER (+6.0 Units) when they score 22 to 28 points this season.
The average score was KANSAS CITY 24.3, OPPONENT 17.3
KANSAS CITY is 73-46 UNDER (+22.4 Units) when their defense forces 2 turnovers since 1992.
The average score was KANSAS CITY 22.5, OPPONENT 19.6

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STATFOX POWERLINE™
 Power Rating
 EstimateEdge
KANSAS CITY  
TAMPA BAY-8
STATFOX MATCHUP POWER TRENDS™
StatFox Matchup Power Trends against similar type opponents favoring TAMPA BAY to cover the spread
There are 8 trends with a total rating of 10 stars.
KANSAS CITY is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) vs. poor passing defenses - allowing a comp. pct. of 61% or worse in the second half of the season this season.
The average score was KANSAS CITY 27.6, OPPONENT 24.7 - (Rating = 2*)
TAMPA BAY is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) vs. good passing teams averaging 7 or more passing yards/att. this season.
The average score was TAMPA BAY 33.0, OPPONENT 22.5 - (Rating = 1*)
TAMPA BAY is 7-1 ATS (+5.9 Units) vs. good passing teams averaging 7 or more passing yards/att. in the second half of the season this season.
The average score was TAMPA BAY 34.0, OPPONENT 21.4 - (Rating = 1*)
TAMPA BAY is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing >=5.65 yards/play this season.
The average score was TAMPA BAY 36.9, OPPONENT 20.1 - (Rating = 2*)
TAMPA BAY is 15-6 ATS (+8.4 Units) versus good offensive teams - averaging >=350 yards/game in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was TAMPA BAY 28.9, OPPONENT 22.9 - (Rating = 0*)
TAMPA BAY is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) versus good offensive teams - averaging >=5.65 yards/play this season.
The average score was TAMPA BAY 33.0, OPPONENT 22.5 - (Rating = 1*)
TAMPA BAY is 7-1 ATS (+5.9 Units) versus good offensive teams - averaging >=5.65 yards/play in the second half of the season this season.
The average score was TAMPA BAY 34.0, OPPONENT 21.4 - (Rating = 1*)
TAMPA BAY is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) versus excellent offensive teams - averaging >=6 yards/play this season.
The average score was TAMPA BAY 35.0, OPPONENT 20.0 - (Rating = 2*)

StatFox Matchup Power Trends against similar type opponents favoring the OVER against the total
There are 2 trends with a total rating of 2 stars.
TAMPA BAY is 18-7 OVER (+10.3 Units) vs. poor passing defenses - allowing a comp. pct. of 61% or worse over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was TAMPA BAY 30.8, OPPONENT 24.8 - (Rating = 1*)
TAMPA BAY is 19-8 OVER (+10.2 Units) vs. good passing teams with a completion pct. of 61% or better. over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was TAMPA BAY 31.4, OPPONENT 25.1 - (Rating = 1*)

StatFox Matchup Power Trends against similar type opponents favoring the UNDER against the total
There are 2 trends with a total rating of 1 stars.
KANSAS CITY is 65-44 UNDER (+16.6 Units) vs. poor kickoff coverage teams, allowing >= 24 yards per return since 1992.
The average score was KANSAS CITY 22.3, OPPONENT 19.7 - (Rating = 0*)
TAMPA BAY is 67-42 UNDER (+20.8 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season since 1992.
The average score was TAMPA BAY 18.3, OPPONENT 21.7 - (Rating = 1*)

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STATFOX SITUATIONAL POWER TRENDS™
StatFox Situational Power Trends favoring KANSAS CITY to cover the spread
There are 2 trends with a total rating of 1 stars.
KANSAS CITY is 32-16 ATS (+14.4 Units) after failing to cover the spread in 5 or 6 out of their last 7 games since 1992.
The average score was KANSAS CITY 25.8, OPPONENT 21.4 - (Rating = 1*)
TAMPA BAY is 20-35 ATS (-18.5 Units) in home games after a playing a game where 50 total points or more were scored since 1992.
The average score was TAMPA BAY 20.2, OPPONENT 22.5 - (Rating = 0*)

StatFox Situational Power Trends favoring TAMPA BAY to cover the spread
There are 2 trends with a total rating of 2 stars.
TAMPA BAY is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in all games where the total is greater than or equal to 49.5 this season.
The average score was TAMPA BAY 32.0, OPPONENT 21.0 - (Rating = 2*)
TAMPA BAY is 45-26 ATS (+16.4 Units) after scoring 30 points or more last game since 1992.
The average score was TAMPA BAY 24.3, OPPONENT 20.8 - (Rating = 0*)

StatFox Situational Power Trends favoring the OVER against the total
There are 7 trends with a total rating of 5 stars.
KANSAS CITY is 44-26 OVER (+15.4 Units) in road games after having won 2 out of their last 3 games since 1992.
The average score was KANSAS CITY 22.1, OPPONENT 24.8 - (Rating = 0*)
KANSAS CITY is 11-3 OVER (+7.7 Units) after scoring 17 points or more in the first half in 2 straight games over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was KANSAS CITY 31.9, OPPONENT 28.1 - (Rating = 0*)
TAMPA BAY is 23-12 OVER (+9.8 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was TAMPA BAY 29.8, OPPONENT 24.9 - (Rating = 1*)
TAMPA BAY is 23-12 OVER (+9.8 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was TAMPA BAY 29.8, OPPONENT 24.9 - (Rating = 1*)
TAMPA BAY is 11-3 OVER (+7.7 Units) revenging a loss against opponent over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was TAMPA BAY 25.9, OPPONENT 28.9 - (Rating = 0*)
TAMPA BAY is 8-0 OVER (+8.0 Units) revenging a close loss by 7 points or less to opponent over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was TAMPA BAY 28.5, OPPONENT 31.0 - (Rating = 3*)
TAMPA BAY is 13-5 OVER (+7.5 Units) after 1 or more consecutive wins against the spread over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was TAMPA BAY 30.2, OPPONENT 23.6 - (Rating = 0*)

StatFox Situational Power Trends favoring the UNDER against the total
There are 3 trends with a total rating of 1 stars.
KANSAS CITY is 8-2 UNDER (+5.8 Units) after a playing a game where 50 total points or more were scored this season.
The average score was KANSAS CITY 26.5, OPPONENT 18.7 - (Rating = 0*)
TAMPA BAY is 18-6 UNDER (+11.4 Units) in a home game where the total is greater than or equal to 49.5 since 1992.
The average score was TAMPA BAY 21.8, OPPONENT 24.6 - (Rating = 1*)
TAMPA BAY is 198-157 UNDER (+25.3 Units) in games played on a grass field since 1992.
The average score was TAMPA BAY 19.5, OPPONENT 20.7 - (Rating = 0*)

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ADVANCED TEAM STATS
KANSAS CITY - Current Season Performance
 Straight UpAgainst SpreadTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsW-LO-UScoreHalfYardsYPPTOScoreHalfYardsYPPTO
All Games16-2+9.68-109-829.615.7418.3(6.5)1.022.411.2355.8(5.7)1.4
Road Games8-0+8.44-44-331.616.5443.1(6.4)1.323.010.8344.6(5.7)1.5
Last 3 Games2-1+11-22-127.018.0381.7(6.6)1.026.313.0362.3(5.7)1.0
Grass Games12-2+5.66-87-629.816.9412.8(6.7)1.121.910.9362.1(5.8)1.5
KANSAS CITY - Current Season Statistics
 RushingPassingTotal
 PPGHalfFDTOPATT-YDSYPRCMP-ATTPCTYDSPYAATT-YDSYPPYPPT
Offense (All Games)29.615.725.030:3425-113(4.5)26-3967.4%306(7.8)64-418(6.5)(14.1)
Opponents Defensive Avg.25.312.321.930:5526-118(4.5)23-3665.3%245(6.8)62-363(5.8)(14.4)
Offense Road Games31.616.526.833:1129-134(4.6)27-4068.8%309(7.8)69-443(6.4)(14)
Defense (All Games)22.411.222.129:5326-122(4.6)22-3662.3%234(6.6)62-356(5.7)(15.9)
Opponents Offensive Avg.24.912.821.730:2328-119(4.3)22-3565.0%243(7)62-361(5.8)(14.5)
Defense Road Games23.010.821.927:4925-113(4.5)21-3559.4%231(6.5)60-345(5.7)(15)
KANSAS CITY - Turnovers, Penalties and Special Teams Statistics
 Turnovers LostThird DownsFourth DownsKickoff ReturnsPunt ReturnsPenalties
 INTFLTODIFF#-MADEPCT#-MADEPCTKR-YDSYPKRPR-YDSYPPRPEN-YDS
Stats For (All Games)0.40.61.00.412-649.5%1-163.2%2-40(25.5)2-10(5.7)6-56
Opponents Avg. Stats Against0.70.51.31.713-542.4%1-157.7%2-41(23.4)14-1(9.8)6-49
Stats For (Road Games)0.50.81.30.312-651.0%1-171.4%1-36(26.2)2-15(6.9)7-62
Stats Against (All Games)1.00.41.4 12-540.9%1-172.0%1-33(23.4)1-7(7.4)6-46
Opponents Avg. Stats For0.90.51.5 13-543.0%1-155.7%2-41(22.3)14-1(9.8)5-48
Stats Against (Road Games)1.10.41.5 11-439.3%1-042.9%1-34(30.3)2-11(7.5)6-52

TAMPA BAY - Current Season Performance
 Straight UpAgainst SpreadTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsW-LO-UScoreHalfYardsYPPTOScoreHalfYardsYPPTO
All Games14-5+7.811-711-830.715.6385.2(6.1)1.122.313.0330.7(5.4)1.7
Home Games5-3+15-24-428.515.5349.6(6)1.423.914.8381.0(5.8)2.0
Last 3 Games3-0+3.42-12-130.717.3391.3(6)1.323.010.0350.0(5.5)2.3
Grass Games9-4+3.68-47-629.516.6376.2(6.1)1.322.513.5343.1(5.5)1.8
TAMPA BAY - Current Season Statistics
 RushingPassingTotal
 PPGHalfFDTOPATT-YDSYPRCMP-ATTPCTYDSPYAATT-YDSYPPYPPT
Offense (All Games)30.715.622.628:5924-98(4.1)25-3963.9%287(7.4)63-385(6.1)(12.5)
Opponents Defensive Avg.24.512.221.329:2626-113(4.3)23-3564.6%238(6.8)61-351(5.7)(14.3)
Offense Home Games28.515.520.925:4821-90(4.3)23-3862.0%260(6.9)58-350(6)(12.3)
Defense (All Games)22.313.020.331:0122-81(3.7)27-3967.9%249(6.4)61-331(5.4)(14.8)
Opponents Offensive Avg.25.213.12231:5327-117(4.3)24-3566.4%247(7)63-364(5.8)(14.4)
Defense Home Games23.914.822.434:1226-97(3.8)28-4071.2%284(7.1)65-381(5.8)(16)
TAMPA BAY - Turnovers, Penalties and Special Teams Statistics
 Turnovers LostThird DownsFourth DownsKickoff ReturnsPunt ReturnsPenalties
 INTFLTODIFF#-MADEPCT#-MADEPCTKR-YDSYPKRPR-YDSYPPRPEN-YDS
Stats For (All Games)0.80.31.10.612-644.9%1-162.5%2-36(21.7)2-11(6.1)5-43
Opponents Avg. Stats Against0.80.51.31.613-541.7%1-156.2%2-43(23.3)13-1(8.8)5-46
Stats For (Home Games)1.30.11.40.611-542.0%1-020.0%1-26(22.7)2-10(5.5)4-36
Stats Against (All Games)1.10.61.7 13-542.2%1-153.8%1-28(31.3)1-16(11.4)6-58
Opponents Avg. Stats For0.80.51.4 13-543.0%1-157.0%2-42(22.6)13-1(8.6)5-48
Stats Against (Home Games)0.91.12.0 14-648.1%2-169.2%0-7(26.5)2-10(5.6)6-63
Average power rating of opponents played: KANSAS CITY 20.4,  TAMPA BAY 21.6
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QUARTERBACK REPORT
NOTE: All stats over the past 5 seasons including playoffs unless stated otherwise.
Patrick Mahomes-KANSAS CITY
 SUATSOv/UnScorePassing Statistics
ConditionGW-LW-LO-UPPGOPPGPCPACPctPYPYATDINTRAT
All Games5142-930-2027-2331.722.724.437.165.8%309.48.31286.8%261.4%108.5
Current Season1514-16-97-729.522.126.940.566.6%326.38.1396.4%61.0%108.4
Last Season1714-313-48-930.519.423.035.165.6%290.18.3366.0%71.2%106.5
Last 3 Seasons5142-930-2027-2331.722.724.437.165.8%309.48.31286.8%261.4%108.5
Road Games2218-413-814-733.226.325.738.467.1%330.98.6617.2%121.4%112.1
as Favorite4336-723-2021-2230.921.024.337.065.7%306.18.31006.3%191.2%107.3
as Road Favorite1412-26-88-631.623.426.238.867.6%332.98.6336.1%50.9%110.6
in Playoff Games76-15-24-334.123.723.636.065.5%293.48.2176.7%20.8%109.8
games with a line of -6.5 to 0.52015-513-711-931.422.625.037.766.4%305.18.1456.0%81.1%106.6
games with a total of 52.5-59.52720-714-1316-1032.225.324.838.065.3%315.88.3727.0%131.3%109.3
vs. TAMPA BAY11-00-10-127.024.037.049.075.5%462.09.436.1%00.0%124.7
at TAMPA BAY11-00-10-127.024.037.049.075.5%462.09.436.1%00.0%124.7
vs. TAMPA BAY with coach Bruce Arians11-00-10-127.024.037.049.075.5%462.09.436.1%00.0%124.7
vs. teams giving up 19.3-25.3 points/game2418-613-1015-931.626.024.237.065.3%300.58.1637.1%121.4%108.4
vs teams with similiar Win Pct.(69% - 79%)53-22-33-228.625.221.836.060.6%272.07.695.0%21.1%96.1
vs. passing defenses allowing 5.4-7.4 passing yards/att.3426-817-1621-1231.624.225.037.267.1%313.58.4846.6%181.4%109.3
Tom Brady-TAMPA BAY
 SUATSOv/UnScorePassing Statistics
ConditionGW-LW-LO-UPPGOPPGPCPACPctPYPYATDINTRAT
All Games10782-2564-3852-5528.719.024.638.164.4%288.37.62165.3%601.5%98.8
Current Season1914-511-711-830.722.324.337.864.1%289.17.6476.5%152.1%100.4
Last Season1712-58-87-1025.514.423.138.260.5%250.96.6243.7%91.4%86.4
Last 3 Seasons7455-1943-2934-4028.319.324.237.664.2%280.77.51425.1%461.7%96.8
Home Games5242-1032-1527-2529.818.724.537.765.2%285.47.61095.6%321.6%99.7
as Underdog75-26-14-331.925.724.739.762.2%291.97.3165.8%93.2%90.3
as Home Underdog21-12-00-231.018.522.034.064.7%255.57.557.4%22.9%99.6
in Playoff Games1512-310-510-529.121.826.843.361.8%326.97.5274.2%121.8%91.2
games with a line of -0.5 to 6.575-26-14-331.925.724.739.762.2%291.97.3165.8%93.2%90.3
games with a total of 52.5-59.51916-314-57-1228.819.924.536.766.6%302.28.2365.2%152.1%100.1
vs. KANSAS CITY116-55-65-625.625.619.933.060.3%254.87.7133.6%113.0%83.8
at Home vs. KANSAS CITY52-32-33-227.430.422.838.060.0%284.67.573.7%31.6%89.0
vs. KANSAS CITY with coach Andy Reid63-33-34-229.030.524.039.361.0%295.27.583.4%52.1%86.7
vs. teams giving up 19.4-25.4 points/game6048-1238-2128-3228.217.124.938.464.8%283.07.41104.8%351.5%96.4
vs teams with similiar Win Pct.(84% - 94%)21-12-00-225.525.524.538.064.5%321.58.545.3%33.9%92.2
vs. passing defenses allowing 5.6-7.6 passing yards/att.8363-2052-2938-4528.219.124.538.264.1%286.67.51665.2%511.6%97.5
SCHEDULE AND RESULTS
KANSAS CITY - Season Results
 Team StatsOpp Stats
DateOpponentScoreSULineATSTot.O/URushingPassingTORushingPassingTO
12/13/2020@ MIAMI33-27W-11.5L52.5O24-9424-34-354424-8028-49-2871
12/20/2020@ NEW ORLEANS32-29W1.5W52.5O41-17926-47-232117-6015-34-2251
12/27/2020ATLANTA17-14W-10L52U21-11724-45-278223-9027-35-2771
1/3/2021LA CHARGERS21-38L7L43O17-5123-32-217135-13522-31-2810
1/17/2021CLEVELAND22-17W-8.5L56.5U24-12327-38-315122-11223-37-1962
1/24/2021BUFFALO38-24W-2.5W53.5O25-11429-38-325118-12928-48-2341
2/7/2021@ TAMPA BAY            

TAMPA BAY - Season Results
 Team StatsOpp Stats
DateOpponentScoreSULineATSTot.O/URushingPassingTORushingPassingTO
12/13/2020MINNESOTA26-14W-6W51.5U26-10715-23-196033-16224-37-1731
12/20/2020@ ATLANTA31-27W-5.5L48.5O18-5131-45-365013-3734-49-3320
12/26/2020@ DETROIT47-7W-12W55.5U26-11131-42-477015-7321-31-1132
1/3/2021ATLANTA44-27W-7W51O22-9426-41-391126-12729-44-2582
1/9/2021@ WASHINGTON31-23W-13.5L46.5O29-14222-40-365123-8626-44-2891
1/17/2021@ NEW ORLEANS30-20W2.5W53U35-12718-33-189025-10420-35-1904
1/24/2021@ GREEN BAY31-26W2.5W55O24-7620-36-275316-6733-48-3142
2/7/2021KANSAS CITY            
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HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORY
All games in this series since 1992
TAMPA BAY is 5-2 against the spread versus KANSAS CITY since 1992
TAMPA BAY is 5-2 straight up against KANSAS CITY since 1992
4 of 7 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL since 1992
Games over the last 3 seasons
TAMPA BAY is 1-0 against the spread versus KANSAS CITY over the last 3 seasons
KANSAS CITY is 1-0 straight up against TAMPA BAY over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

All games played at TAMPA BAY since 1992
TAMPA BAY is 4-1 against the spread versus KANSAS CITY since 1992
TAMPA BAY is 3-2 straight up against KANSAS CITY since 1992
3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL since 1992
Games played at TAMPA BAY over the last 3 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 1-0 against the spread versus KANSAS CITY over the last 3 seasons
KANSAS CITY is 1-0 straight up against TAMPA BAY over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

 RushingPassingTurnoversPenalties
DateTeamsScoreLineResultHalfFDTOPATT-YDSCMP-ATTYDSFLINTPEN-YDS
11/29/2020KANSAS CITY27-5SU Under202636:4720-8737-504561010-82
 TAMPA BAY2459 ATS72023:1313-7527-41342028-57
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COACHING TRENDS
StatFox Coaching Situational Power Trends favoring KANSAS CITY to cover the spread
There are 21 trends with a total rating of 19 stars.
Reid is 30-16 ATS (+12.4 Units) in games where the line is +3 to -3 as the coach of KANSAS CITY.
The average score was KANSAS CITY 26.5, OPPONENT 20.0 - (Rating = 1*)
Reid is 79-59 ATS (+14.1 Units) in all games as the coach of KANSAS CITY.
The average score was KANSAS CITY 27.5, OPPONENT 20.7 - (Rating = 1*)
Reid is 79-59 ATS (+14.1 Units) in all lined games as the coach of KANSAS CITY.
The average score was KANSAS CITY 27.5, OPPONENT 20.7 - (Rating = 1*)
Reid is 22-10 ATS (+11.0 Units) as a road favorite of 7 points or less as the coach of KANSAS CITY.
The average score was KANSAS CITY 30.9, OPPONENT 19.6 - (Rating = 1*)
Reid is 41-24 ATS (+14.6 Units) in road games as the coach of KANSAS CITY.
The average score was KANSAS CITY 28.8, OPPONENT 22.8 - (Rating = 1*)
Reid is 41-24 ATS (+14.6 Units) in road lined games as the coach of KANSAS CITY.
The average score was KANSAS CITY 28.8, OPPONENT 22.8 - (Rating = 1*)
Reid is 69-47 ATS (+17.3 Units) in games played on a grass field as the coach of KANSAS CITY.
The average score was KANSAS CITY 27.7, OPPONENT 19.8 - (Rating = 1*)
Reid is 39-19 ATS (+18.1 Units) in road games after having won 2 out of their last 3 games in all games he has coached since 1992.
The average score was Reid 26.3, OPPONENT 20.8 - (Rating = 1*)
Reid is 11-2 ATS (+8.8 Units) in road games after having won 3 out of their last 4 games as the coach of KANSAS CITY.
The average score was KANSAS CITY 30.9, OPPONENT 20.8 - (Rating = 2*)
Reid is 46-30 ATS (+13.0 Units) after 1 or more consecutive wins against the spread as the coach of KANSAS CITY.
The average score was KANSAS CITY 27.9, OPPONENT 20.0 - (Rating = 1*)
Reid is 53-40 ATS (+9.0 Units) after 1 or more consecutive wins as the coach of KANSAS CITY.
The average score was KANSAS CITY 27.5, OPPONENT 20.4 - (Rating = 0*)
Reid is 22-8 ATS (+13.2 Units) in road games after 2 or more consecutive wins as the coach of KANSAS CITY.
The average score was KANSAS CITY 29.0, OPPONENT 20.9 - (Rating = 2*)
Reid is 34-17 ATS (+15.3 Units) in road games after gaining 400 or more total yards in their previous game in all games he has coached since 1992.
The average score was Reid 26.7, OPPONENT 21.1 - (Rating = 1*)
Reid is 42-26 ATS (+13.4 Units) after gaining 6 or more yards/play in their previous game as the coach of KANSAS CITY.
The average score was KANSAS CITY 29.3, OPPONENT 20.7 - (Rating = 1*)
Reid is 31-16 ATS (+13.4 Units) after gaining 6.5 or more yards/play in their previous game as the coach of KANSAS CITY.
The average score was KANSAS CITY 30.0, OPPONENT 20.4 - (Rating = 1*)
Reid is 19-9 ATS (+9.1 Units) in road games vs. good passing teams averaging 235 or more passing yards/game. as the coach of KANSAS CITY.
The average score was KANSAS CITY 28.6, OPPONENT 22.1 - (Rating = 1*)
Reid is 13-5 ATS (+7.5 Units) in road games vs. excellent passing teams averaging 260 or more passing yards/game. as the coach of KANSAS CITY.
The average score was KANSAS CITY 28.6, OPPONENT 21.9 - (Rating = 0*)
Reid is 34-15 ATS (+17.5 Units) in road games versus good offensive teams - averaging >=350 yards/game in the second half of the season in all games he has coached since 1992.
The average score was Reid 24.4, OPPONENT 22.5 - (Rating = 1*)
Reid is 38-24 ATS (+11.6 Units) versus good offensive teams - averaging >=5.65 yards/play as the coach of KANSAS CITY.
The average score was KANSAS CITY 29.2, OPPONENT 22.3 - (Rating = 1*)
Reid is 30-15 ATS (+13.5 Units) in road games versus good offensive teams - averaging >=5.65 yards/play in the second half of the season in all games he has coached since 1992.
The average score was Reid 25.9, OPPONENT 24.2 - (Rating = 0*)
Arians is 7-18 ATS (-12.8 Units) against teams who commit 1 or less turnovers/game on the season in all games he has coached since 1992.
The average score was Arians 22.3, OPPONENT 27.2 - (Rating = 0*)

StatFox Coaching Situational Power Trends favoring TAMPA BAY to cover the spread
There are 9 trends with a total rating of 7 stars.
Arians is 15-5 ATS (+9.5 Units) as a home underdog in all games he has coached since 1992.
The average score was Arians 21.9, OPPONENT 21.6 - (Rating = 0*)
Arians is 10-1 ATS (+8.9 Units) as a home underdog of 3 points or less in all games he has coached since 1992.
The average score was Arians 23.0, OPPONENT 16.3 - (Rating = 2*)
Arians is 14-3 ATS (+10.7 Units) as a home underdog of 7 points or less in all games he has coached since 1992.
The average score was Arians 23.2, OPPONENT 20.2 - (Rating = 2*)
Arians is 16-6 ATS (+9.4 Units) in all games where the total is greater than or equal to 49.5 in all games he has coached since 1992.
The average score was Arians 30.4, OPPONENT 24.1 - (Rating = 0*)
Arians is 20-8 ATS (+11.2 Units) after allowing 300 or more passing yards in their last game in all games he has coached since 1992.
The average score was Arians 27.5, OPPONENT 21.6 - (Rating = 1*)
Arians is 22-10 ATS (+11.0 Units) vs. excellent punt coverage teams, allowing <= 7.5 yards per return in the second half of the season in all games he has coached since 1992.
The average score was Arians 29.0, OPPONENT 19.5 - (Rating = 0*)
Arians is 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) vs. good passing teams averaging 7 or more passing yards/att. as the coach of TAMPA BAY.
The average score was TAMPA BAY 31.8, OPPONENT 23.9 - (Rating = 0*)
Arians is 19-6 ATS (+12.4 Units) in home games versus poor defensive teams - allowing >=350 yards/game in all games he has coached since 1992.
The average score was Arians 28.2, OPPONENT 18.5 - (Rating = 1*)
Arians is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) versus excellent offensive teams - averaging >=6 yards/play as the coach of TAMPA BAY.
The average score was TAMPA BAY 33.2, OPPONENT 22.8 - (Rating = 1*)

StatFox Coaching Situational Power Trends favoring the OVER against the total
There are 10 trends with a total rating of 8 stars.
Reid is 9-1 OVER (+7.9 Units) in road games after failing to cover the spread in 4 or 5 out of their last 6 games as the coach of KANSAS CITY.
The average score was KANSAS CITY 34.7, OPPONENT 25.0 - (Rating = 2*)
Arians is 23-12 OVER (+9.8 Units) in all games as the coach of TAMPA BAY.
The average score was TAMPA BAY 29.8, OPPONENT 24.9 - (Rating = 1*)
Arians is 23-12 OVER (+9.8 Units) in all lined games as the coach of TAMPA BAY.
The average score was TAMPA BAY 29.8, OPPONENT 24.9 - (Rating = 1*)
Arians is 13-5 OVER (+7.5 Units) after 1 or more consecutive wins against the spread as the coach of TAMPA BAY.
The average score was TAMPA BAY 30.2, OPPONENT 23.6 - (Rating = 0*)
Arians is 18-7 OVER (+10.3 Units) vs. poor passing defenses - allowing a comp. pct. of 61% or worse as the coach of TAMPA BAY.
The average score was TAMPA BAY 30.8, OPPONENT 24.8 - (Rating = 1*)
Arians is 19-8 OVER (+10.2 Units) vs. good passing teams with a completion pct. of 61% or better. as the coach of TAMPA BAY.
The average score was TAMPA BAY 31.4, OPPONENT 25.1 - (Rating = 1*)
Arians is 29-15 OVER (+12.5 Units) vs. excellent passing teams with a completion pct. of 64% or better in all games he has coached since 1992.
The average score was Arians 27.4, OPPONENT 25.4 - (Rating = 0*)
Arians is 23-10 OVER (+12.0 Units) vs. excellent passing teams averaging 260 or more passing yards/game. in all games he has coached since 1992.
The average score was Arians 27.3, OPPONENT 26.3 - (Rating = 1*)
Arians is 16-5 OVER (+10.5 Units) vs. excellent passing teams averaging 260 or more passing yards/game after 8+ games in all games he has coached since 1992.
The average score was Arians 27.5, OPPONENT 27.9 - (Rating = 1*)
Arians is 35-19 OVER (+14.1 Units) versus good offensive teams - averaging >=5.65 yards/play in all games he has coached since 1992.
The average score was Arians 25.7, OPPONENT 26.7 - (Rating = 0*)

StatFox Coaching Situational Power Trends favoring the UNDER against the total
There are 7 trends with a total rating of 7 stars.
Reid is 60-45 UNDER (+10.5 Units) as a favorite as the coach of KANSAS CITY.
The average score was KANSAS CITY 28.0, OPPONENT 18.7 - (Rating = 0*)
Reid is 22-6 UNDER (+15.4 Units) when playing with 2 weeks or more of rest in all games he has coached since 1992.
The average score was Reid 24.5, OPPONENT 15.8 - (Rating = 2*)
Reid is 22-7 UNDER (+14.3 Units) after a bye week in all games he has coached since 1992.
The average score was Reid 25.7, OPPONENT 15.7 - (Rating = 2*)
Reid is 35-20 UNDER (+13.0 Units) after scoring 35 points or more last game in all games he has coached since 1992.
The average score was Reid 25.4, OPPONENT 19.4 - (Rating = 0*)
Reid is 34-19 UNDER (+13.1 Units) after a playing a game where 60 total points or more were scored in all games he has coached since 1992.
The average score was Reid 24.1, OPPONENT 19.5 - (Rating = 0*)
Reid is 51-36 UNDER (+11.4 Units) vs. poor passing defenses - allowing a comp. pct. of 61% or worse as the coach of KANSAS CITY.
The average score was KANSAS CITY 27.3, OPPONENT 19.7 - (Rating = 1*)
Arians is 10-1 UNDER (+8.9 Units) as a home underdog of 3 points or less in all games he has coached since 1992.
The average score was Arians 23.0, OPPONENT 16.3 - (Rating = 2*)

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STATFOX LINE TRACKER™
Here is a summary of past results against the spread in games where the line movement was similar to:
Opening Line = 3, Closing Line = 3
Since 1992, the home underdog has covered the spread 280 times, while the road favorite covered the spread 270 times.
Over the last 3 seasons, the home underdog has covered the spread 20 times, while the road favorite covered the spread 15 times.
Since 1992, the road favorite won the game straight up 341 times, while the home underdog won straight up 245 times.
Over the last 3 seasons, the road favorite won the game straight up 18 times, while the home underdog won straight up 18 times.

Here is a summary of past over/under results in games where the total movement was similar to:
Opening Total = 57.5, Closing Total = 56
Since 1992, 4 games went under the total, while 3 games went over the total.
Over the last 3 seasons, 3 games went under the total, while 2 games went over the total.

Here is a summary of past ATS and Over/Under results in games where the closing line and closing total were similar to:
Closing Line = 3, Closing Total = 56
Since 1992, the home underdog has covered the spread 3 times, while the road favorite covered the spread 1 times.
Over the last 3 seasons, the home underdog has covered the spread 1 times, while the road favorite covered the spread 0 times.
Since 1992, the home underdog won the game straight up 3 times, while the road favorite won the game straight up 1 times.
Over the last 3 seasons, the home underdog won the game straight up 1 times, while the road favorite won the game straight up 0 times.
Since 1992, 3 games went under the total, while 1 games went over the total.
Over the last 3 seasons, 1 games went over the total, while 0 games went under the total.
STATFOX MONEY TRACKER™
As indicated by the movement of the line, the betting public is favoring Nobody in this game
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in KANSAS CITY games 53.3% of the time since 1992. (196-172)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in KANSAS CITY games 43.8% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (21-27)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in TAMPA BAY games 50.6% of the time since 1992. (177-173)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in TAMPA BAY games 37.5% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (15-25)
No Edge.
 
As indicated by the movement of the total, the betting public is favoring the UNDER in this game
The betting public is correct when moving the total in KANSAS CITY games 49.4% of the time since 1992. (197-202)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in KANSAS CITY games 51% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (25-24)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in TAMPA BAY games 48.2% of the time since 1992. (189-203)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in TAMPA BAY games 42% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (21-29)
No Edge.
KEY PLAYER INJURIES
KANSAS CITY
[RB] 02/06/2021 - Le'Veon Bell is probable Sunday vs Tampa Bay ( Knee )
[CB] 02/06/2021 - Rashad Fenton is probable Sunday vs Tampa Bay ( Foot )
[WR] 02/05/2021 - Demarcus Robinson is upgraded to probable Sunday vs Tampa Bay ( COVID-19 )
[C] 02/05/2021 - Daniel Kilgore is upgraded to probable Sunday vs Tampa Bay ( Quarantine )
[CB] 02/04/2021 - L'Jarius Sneed is upgraded to probable Sunday vs Tampa Bay ( Concussion )
[S] 02/04/2021 - Armani Watts is upgraded to probable Sunday vs Tampa Bay ( Concussion )
[LB] 01/29/2021 - Willie Gay Jr. is downgraded to OUT Sunday vs Tampa Bay ( Knee )
[WR] 01/27/2021 - Sammy Watkins is upgraded to probable Sunday vs Tampa Bay ( Calf )
[T] 01/25/2021 - Eric Fisher is OUT Sunday vs Tampa Bay ( Achilles )
[CB] 01/03/2021 - Deandre Baker is out for season ( Leg )
[LB] 12/03/2020 - Dorian O'Daniel is out indefinitely ( Ankle )
[T] 11/21/2020 - Mitchell Schwartz IR ( Back )
[DE] 11/21/2020 - Taco Charlton IR ( Ankle )
[G] 10/11/2020 - Kelechi Osemele IR ( Knee )
[DB] 09/05/2020 - Alex Brown IR ( Knee )
[OL] 08/03/2020 - Laurent Duvernay-Tardif is out for season ( Left Team )
[RB] 08/03/2020 - Damien Williams is out for season ( Left Team )
TAMPA BAY
[WR] 02/05/2021 - Antonio Brown is upgraded to probable Sunday vs Kansas City ( Knee )
[TE] 02/04/2021 - Cameron Brate is probable Sunday vs Kansas City ( Back )
[LB] 02/04/2021 - Lavonte David is upgraded to probable Sunday vs Kansas City ( Hamstring )
[S] 02/04/2021 - Antoine Winfield Jr. is upgraded to probable Sunday vs Kansas City ( Ankle )
[S] 01/29/2021 - Jordan Whitehead is downgraded to doubtful Sunday vs Kansas City ( Shoulder )
[LB] 01/18/2021 - Jack Cichy is out for season ( Elbow )
[G] 01/11/2021 - Alex Cappa is out for season ( Ankle )
[RB] 12/30/2020 - Kenjon Barner IR ( Groin )
[WR] 12/23/2020 - Cyril Grayson IR ( Undisclosed )
[OL] 12/01/2020 - A.Q. Shipley IR ( Neck )
[RB] 11/20/2020 - T.J. Logan IR, is out for season ( Knee )
[TE] 10/04/2020 - O.J. Howard is out for season ( Achilles )

Last Updated: 9/27/2021 7:26:03 AM EST


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