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NY JETS (4 - 5) at NEW ENGLAND (6 - 3)
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Week 11 Sunday, 11/22/2009 4:15 PM
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427NY JETS4545
428NEW ENGLAND-10.5-10.5
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STATFOX PLAYTRACKER™

Your ATS Selection:

NEW ENGLAND -10.5, -110, 1 units

Your Over-Under Selection:

Under 45, -110, 1 units

Comments:

*By clicking the Modify button above you will be erasing your current selections and comments.

BETTING TRENDS

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This data can be used to profit from. When given the choice, most professional bettors would choose to be on the side of the "house", or that opposite of the betting public. Alternatively, others believe in the theory that there is "strength in numbers". Neither belief is foolproof, but if you follow these Betting Trends for long enough, you’ll surely form your own opinion.

NY JETS (ATS) (15%)

OVER

(93%)
NEW ENGLAND (ATS) (85%)UNDER (7%)
FOXSHEETS MEMBER CONSENSUS

NY JETS

(0%)

NEW ENGLAND

(100%)

OVER

(50%)

UNDER

(50%)

Last Updated: 11/21/2009 3:47:26 AM EST

STATFOX VIEW

No current opinions available.

PREVIEW
~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~ PA SPORTSTICKER PRO FOOTBALL PREVIEW (NY JETS-NEW ENGLAND) ~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~

(UPDATES with Miami winning)

*Jets-Patriots Preview* =======================

By MIKE LIPKA STATS Writer

New England Patriots coach Bill Belichick has been the talk of the NFL this week following his controversial fourth-down call that led to a gut-wrenching loss.

His critics around Foxborough may be willing to forgive him quickly if his Patriots achieve a different kind of redemption Sunday.

After their offense sputtered in a loss to the rival New York Jets two months ago, the Patriots will have a chance to all but bury the struggling Jets in the AFC East if they can improve to 6-0 at home.

Belichick took plenty of heat following last Sunday night's wild 35-34 loss to Indianapolis, stemming from his decision to go for it on fourth-and-2 from the Patriots' own 28-yard line with just over 2 minutes to go and his team leading 34-28.

Tom Brady's pass to Kevin Faulk came up short and the Colts cruised in for the winning touchdown.

"I thought it was our best chance to win," Belichick said. "I thought we needed to make that one play and then we could basically run out the clock. We weren't able to make it."

The move also prompted questions about the coach's confidence level in his young defense. New England opponents are averaging 16.7 points - third-lowest in the NFL - but the team has been using an inexperienced group as it tries to replace several departed veterans.

"We would play well for a series, play real well, and then the next series (with) similar calls and we just maybe didn't play them quite as well," defensive coordinator Dean Pees said. "We're a little bit inconsistent at this point in time, and that's across the board basically with the young guys, and no particular guy."

The defeat ended New England's three-game winning streak and put a dent in its chances of gaining a first-round playoff bye, but the Patriots (6-3) still hold a two-game lead on New York in the East as they try to reclaim the division they won five straight times from 2003-07.

Miami moved into sole possession of second place in the division with a 24-17 win over Carolina on Thursday night.

A victory over the Jets (4-5) would give New England a three-game advantage and the tiebreaker over New York. The Patriots will be especially hungry after a 16-9 loss at Giants Stadium on Sept. 20, when they were held below 10 points for the first time since 2006.

That was Brady's second regular-season game following his return from major knee surgery, and the 2007 NFL MVP seems to have regained his swagger. He's passed for more than 300 yards in four straight games, throwing 13 touchdowns and four interceptions.

Randy Moss has been the biggest beneficiary lately, racking up 524 receiving yards and six touchdowns in the four contests.

Moss was held to four catches for 24 yards by the Jets and standout cornerback Darrelle Revis earlier this season, and New York consistently applied pressure to Brady.

"We're going to see how well we prepare and how much better we understand what they're doing," Brady said. "It's a good scheme, and it's been proven for a lot of years that it's a good scheme, and the players of the Jets have really seemed to adapt to it."

New York's defense hasn't been as dominant since an impressive 3-0 start under new coach Rex Ryan, the longtime Baltimore Ravens defensive coordinator. While the Jets still rank second in the NFL in total defense, they struggled to slow down Jacksonville's Maurice Jones-Drew in a 24-22 loss last Sunday.

The Jets' last six opponents have averaged 126.0 yards on the ground, with the team going 1-5.

"We're humbled, of course," linebacker Bart Scott said. "Nobody expects anything out of us. We've just got to go about our business."

The unit hasn't been getting much help from the NFL's 27th-ranked pass offense, and even New York's top-ranked rushing attack has been held under 4.0 yards per carry the last two weeks.

Rookie Mark Sanchez ranks 27th in the NFL with a 66.5 passer rating, but Ryan continues to loudly profess his confidence in his team.

"At the end of the day, I always say somebody is going to have egg on their face," Ryan said Monday. "So far, it looks like me. But, I'm betting on me. I'm betting on our football team.

"Trust me, I'm going to work to the best of my ability to find answers. Whatever it is, I believe we'll find them. I know our task is hard, but it's not impossible."

No visiting team has been able to win at Gillette Stadium this season, but the Jets have won two of their last three in Foxborough. They beat a Brady-less team 34-31 last Nov. 13.

New York is trying to win three straight overall against the Patriots for the first time since a four-game run from 1999-2001.

Game Notes: The budding rivalry between the Jets and Patriots picked up some intensity in Week 2 when New York won at home. This time around, it’s New England that gets to play the role as host. The light switch might have gone on for the Patriots in that 16-9 loss, as since that point, they’ve gone on a tear, 5-2 SU & ATS while scoring 33 PPG. Still, it will be interesting to see the reaction after the meltdown loss to the Colts. New England will be looking to stem a tide of 3-9 ATS at home when hosting the Jets. As a divisional host, Belichick’s team is just 1-6 ATS in its L7 as well. The Jets are 4-5 after losing to Jacksonville, and three of their losses have come in divisional play. Dating back to mid-’07, New York is 5-1 ATS on the road vs. AFC East rivals.

STATFOX SUPER SITUATIONS™
StatFox Super Situations favoring NY JETS to cover the spread
There are 2 situations with a total rating of 4 stars.
Play Against - Home favorites of 10.5 or more points (NEW ENGLAND) - after covering the spread in 2 out of their last 3 games, good team, winning 60-75% or more of their games on the season.
(51-22 since 1983.) (69.9%, +26.8 units. Rating = 2*)
Play On - Road teams (NY JETS) - after going over the total by 35 or more points total in their last five games, versus division opponents.
(75-38 over the last 10 seasons.) (66.4%, +33.2 units. Rating = 2*)

StatFox Super Situations favoring the game to go UNDER the total
There are 2 situations with a total rating of 4 stars.
Play Under - Any team against the total (NEW ENGLAND) - after a road game where both teams scored 24 or more points, in November games.
(69-34 over the last 10 seasons.) (67%, +31.6 units. Rating = 2*)
Play Under - Home teams against the total (NEW ENGLAND) - after a road game where both teams scored 24 or more points, in November games.
(49-20 over the last 10 seasons.) (71%, +27 units. Rating = 2*)

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STATFOX GAME ESTIMATOR™
 Estimate #1Estimate #2RushingPassingTotalTurnovers
TeamsScoreEdgeScoreEdgeATT-YDSYPRATT-YDSYPAATT-YDSYPPFL-INT
NY JETS192033-1554.725-1455.858-3005.21-1
NEW ENGLAND22 22 27-1053.939-2646.866-3695.61-1

StatFox.Com has searched its database for all past games where the posted line or total were similar to this game's and where the final game statistics were comparable to the estimator's projections. (Yards/Play and turnovers) Here are the results against the spread, against the total, and straight up:
In past games, the underdog covered the spread 16 times, while the favorite covered the spread 12 times.
No Edge.
In past games, the favorite won the game straight up 23 times, while the underdog won straight up 7 times.
39 games went under the total, while 32 games went over the total.
No Edge.

Potential StatFox Power Trends to watch out for:
Potential StatFox Power Trends based on estimated statistics favoring NY JETS to cover the spread
NY JETS are 38-14 ATS (+22.6 Units) when they rush for 125 or more yards since 1992.
The average score was NY JETS 26.8, OPPONENT 14.6

Potential StatFox Power Trends based on estimated statistics favoring NEW ENGLAND to cover the spread
NEW ENGLAND is 24-11 ATS (+11.9 Units) in home games when their defense allows 150 or less net passing yards since 1992.
The average score was NEW ENGLAND 25.4, OPPONENT 9.7
NEW ENGLAND is 45-22 ATS (+20.8 Units) when they score 22 to 28 points since 1992.
The average score was NEW ENGLAND 25.4, OPPONENT 17.5
NEW ENGLAND is 38-19 ATS (+17.1 Units) when they gain 350 to 400 total yards since 1992.
The average score was NEW ENGLAND 26.5, OPPONENT 18.5

Potential StatFox Power Trends based on estimated statistics favoring the OVER against the total
NY JETS are 8-0 OVER (+8.0 Units) when both teams score 20 or more points over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was NY JETS 31.5, OPPONENT 31.3
NEW ENGLAND is 8-0 OVER (+8.0 Units) when both teams score 20 or more points over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was NEW ENGLAND 33.5, OPPONENT 26.3

Potential StatFox Power Trends based on estimated statistics favoring the UNDER against the total
NY JETS are 62-21 UNDER (+38.9 Units) when they gain 150 or less net passing yards since 1992.
The average score was NY JETS 13.4, OPPONENT 17.1
NY JETS are 49-18 UNDER (+29.2 Units) when they gain 100 to 150 net passing yards since 1992.
The average score was NY JETS 14.0, OPPONENT 17.1
NY JETS are 6-0 UNDER (+6.0 Units) when they gain 250 to 300 total yards over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was NY JETS 16.8, OPPONENT 14.3
NY JETS are 35-15 UNDER (+18.5 Units) when they're outgained by opponents by <=0.5 yards/play since 1992.
The average score was NY JETS 17.6, OPPONENT 18.1
NEW ENGLAND is 40-21 UNDER (+16.9 Units) when their defense allows 150 or less net passing yards since 1992.
The average score was NEW ENGLAND 21.7, OPPONENT 12.5
NEW ENGLAND is 31-14 UNDER (+15.6 Units) when their defense allows 100 to 150 net passing yards since 1992.
The average score was NEW ENGLAND 20.0, OPPONENT 14.2
NEW ENGLAND is 41-20 UNDER (+19.0 Units) when they allow 250 to 300 total yards since 1992.
The average score was NEW ENGLAND 19.4, OPPONENT 15.1
NEW ENGLAND is 15-5 UNDER (+9.5 Units) in home games when they are outgain their opponents by 50-100 yards since 1992.
The average score was NEW ENGLAND 22.0, OPPONENT 11.4

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STATFOX POWERLINE™
 Power Rating
 EstimateEdge
NY JETS  
NEW ENGLAND-13 
STATFOX MATCHUP POWER TRENDS™
StatFox Matchup Power Trends against similar type opponents favoring the OVER against the total
There are 1 trends with a total rating of 1 stars.
NEW ENGLAND is 10-2 OVER (+7.8 Units) versus good rushing teams - averaging >=4.5 rushing yards/carry over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was NEW ENGLAND 35.6, OPPONENT 21.2 - (Rating = 1*)

StatFox Matchup Power Trends against similar type opponents favoring the UNDER against the total
There are 7 trends with a total rating of 3 stars.
NY JETS are 21-8 UNDER (+12.2 Units) in road games vs. good passing teams averaging 7 or more passing yards/att. since 1992.
The average score was NY JETS 16.2, OPPONENT 21.2 - (Rating = 1*)
NY JETS are 23-10 UNDER (+12.0 Units) vs. very good offensive teams - scoring 27 or more points/game since 1992.
The average score was NY JETS 16.5, OPPONENT 23.1 - (Rating = 1*)
NY JETS are 15-5 UNDER (+9.5 Units) vs. very good offensive teams - scoring 27 or more points/game in the second half of the season since 1992.
The average score was NY JETS 14.5, OPPONENT 25.1 - (Rating = 0*)
NY JETS are 20-8 UNDER (+11.2 Units) in road games versus good offensive teams - averaging >=350 yards/game since 1992.
The average score was NY JETS 15.2, OPPONENT 22.5 - (Rating = 1*)
NY JETS are 35-19 UNDER (+14.1 Units) versus good offensive teams - averaging >=5.65 yards/play since 1992.
The average score was NY JETS 18.9, OPPONENT 22.3 - (Rating = 0*)
NY JETS are 15-5 UNDER (+9.5 Units) in road games versus good offensive teams - averaging >=5.65 yards/play in the second half of the season since 1992.
The average score was NY JETS 14.6, OPPONENT 22.6 - (Rating = 0*)
NY JETS are 13-4 UNDER (+8.6 Units) versus excellent offensive teams - averaging >=6 yards/play since 1992.
The average score was NY JETS 15.9, OPPONENT 23.4 - (Rating = 0*)

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STATFOX SITUATIONAL POWER TRENDS™
StatFox Situational Power Trends favoring NY JETS to cover the spread
There are 1 trends with a total rating of 0 stars.
NEW ENGLAND is 4-13 ATS (-10.3 Units) after gaining 275 or more passing yards in 3 straight games since 1992.
The average score was NEW ENGLAND 22.6, OPPONENT 22.0 - (Rating = 0*)

StatFox Situational Power Trends favoring NEW ENGLAND to cover the spread
There are 5 trends with a total rating of 2 stars.
NEW ENGLAND is 81-57 ATS (+18.3 Units) off 1 or more straight overs since 1992.
The average score was NEW ENGLAND 23.7, OPPONENT 18.7 - (Rating = 0*)
NEW ENGLAND is 58-38 ATS (+16.2 Units) after having won 2 out of their last 3 games since 1992.
The average score was NEW ENGLAND 24.2, OPPONENT 18.2 - (Rating = 0*)
NEW ENGLAND is 49-28 ATS (+18.2 Units) after having won 3 out of their last 4 games since 1992.
The average score was NEW ENGLAND 23.3, OPPONENT 16.7 - (Rating = 1*)
NEW ENGLAND is 26-10 ATS (+15.0 Units) revenging a same season loss against opponent since 1992.
The average score was NEW ENGLAND 21.6, OPPONENT 19.1 - (Rating = 1*)
NEW ENGLAND is 26-13 ATS (+11.7 Units) after allowing 30 points or more last game since 1992.
The average score was NEW ENGLAND 23.6, OPPONENT 20.2 - (Rating = 0*)

StatFox Situational Power Trends favoring the OVER against the total
There are 1 trends with a total rating of 0 stars.
NEW ENGLAND is 6-0 OVER (+6.0 Units) after a playing a game where 60 total points or more were scored over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was NEW ENGLAND 38.3, OPPONENT 21.6 - (Rating = 0*)

StatFox Situational Power Trends favoring the UNDER against the total
There are 2 trends with a total rating of 2 stars.
NY JETS are 51-29 UNDER (+19.1 Units) after failing to cover the spread in 2 out of their last 3 games since 1992.
The average score was NY JETS 16.7, OPPONENT 18.8 - (Rating = 1*)
NY JETS are 21-8 UNDER (+12.2 Units) after a 2 game home stand since 1992.
The average score was NY JETS 15.4, OPPONENT 19.8 - (Rating = 1*)

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ADVANCED TEAM STATS
NY JETS - Current Season Performance
 Straight UpAgainst SpreadTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsW-LO-UScoreHalfYardsYPPTOScoreHalfYardsYPPTO
All Games4-5-5.64-55-422.110.7339.9(5.4)2.017.68.1281.6(4.8)1.8
Road Games2-2+0.12-22-224.712.5365.5(5.8)1.215.56.7300.5(5.4)1.7
Last 3 Games1-2-3.11-23-028.313.3382.3(5.6)1.318.08.0238.0(4.7)2.0
Turf Games0-000-00-0000(0)0000(0)0
Division Games1-3-5.61-32-220.28.0338.7(5.4)2.021.56.2278.0(4.5)1.0
NY JETS - Current Season Statistics
 RushingPassingTotal
 PPGHalfFDTOPATT-YDSYPRCMP-ATTPCTYDSPYAATT-YDSYPPYPPT
Offense (All Games)22.110.718.431:5036-170(4.7)14-2753.1%170(6.2)63-340(5.4)(15.4)
Opponents Defensive Avg.23.212.11930:3628-123(4.5)20-3459.8%226(6.7)61-349(5.7)(15.1)
Offense Road Games24.712.520.532:0738-194(5.1)13-2454.6%171(7.1)62-365(5.8)(14.8)
Defense (All Games)17.68.116.429:3227-112(4.1)17-3254.7%170(5.4)59-282(4.8)(16)
Opponents Offensive Avg.22.712.118.731:4529-131(4.5)19-3261.2%206(6.5)61-337(5.5)(14.9)
Defense Road Games15.56.716.227:5325-115(4.6)19-3161.0%185(6)56-300(5.4)(19.4)
NY JETS - Turnovers, Penalties and Special Teams Statistics
 Turnovers LostThird DownsFourth DownsKickoff ReturnsPunt ReturnsPenalties
 INTFLTODIFF#-MADEPCT#-MADEPCTKR-YDSYPKRPR-YDSYPPRPEN-YDS
Stats For (All Games)1.40.62.0-0.214-536.8%1-176.9%3-62(21.6)3-22(8.1)6-41
Opponents Avg. Stats Against1.10.71.81.913-537.0%1-153.7%4-94(23.4)19-3(7.3)6-61
Stats For (Road Games)1.00.21.20.514-646.4%2-2100.0%2-40(20.2)2-17(8.4)5-41
Stats Against (All Games)0.81.01.8 13-538.0%1-011.1%4-110(25.5)2-10(6.6)6-61
Opponents Avg. Stats For10.81.8 14-641.7%1-047.3%4-97(23.4)18-2(7.9)6-41
Stats Against (Road Games)0.71.01.7 12-542.9%1-00.0%4-80(20)1-8(10.7)6-61

NEW ENGLAND - Current Season Performance
 Straight UpAgainst SpreadTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsW-LO-UScoreHalfYardsYPPTOScoreHalfYardsYPPTO
All Games6-3+0.95-44-528.819.1416.8(6.1)1.016.78.0306.1(5.3)1.9
Home Games5-0+53-23-232.820.2451.2(6.4)0.614.48.2286.0(5.3)1.8
Last 3 Games2-102-11-232.020.3441.0(6.9)1.719.710.3327.0(5.3)1.7
Turf Games5-0+53-23-232.820.2451.2(6.4)0.614.48.2286.0(5.3)1.8
Division Games2-1+0.40-31-220.311.7390.7(5.7)1.019.09.0288.0(5.2)0.7
NEW ENGLAND - Current Season Statistics
 RushingPassingTotal
 PPGHalfFDTOPATT-YDSYPRCMP-ATTPCTYDSPYAATT-YDSYPPYPPT
Offense (All Games)28.819.123.734:0828-114(4.1)27-4066.7%303(7.5)68-417(6.1)(14.5)
Opponents Defensive Avg.21.511.118.831:0428-123(4.3)20-3361.1%215(6.5)61-338(5.5)(15.7)
Offense Home Games32.820.227.035:5729-126(4.3)30-4270.8%326(7.8)71-451(6.4)(13.8)
Defense (All Games)16.78.017.826:2424-110(4.5)19-3357.3%196(6)57-306(5.3)(18.4)
Opponents Offensive Avg.21.810.918.429:2128-126(4.5)19-3259.9%202(6.3)60-329(5.4)(15.1)
Defense Home Games14.48.216.824:0324-118(4.9)16-3053.6%168(5.6)54-286(5.3)(19.9)
NEW ENGLAND - Turnovers, Penalties and Special Teams Statistics
 Turnovers LostThird DownsFourth DownsKickoff ReturnsPunt ReturnsPenalties
 INTFLTODIFF#-MADEPCT#-MADEPCTKR-YDSYPKRPR-YDSYPPRPEN-YDS
Stats For (All Games)0.70.31.00.914-645.5%1-145.5%3-79(23.8)3-32(12.1)6-39
Opponents Avg. Stats Against1.10.71.72.214-539.6%1-149.4%4-87(22.4)21-2(8.6)6-60
Stats For (Home Games)0.40.20.61.214-748.5%2-155.6%3-79(24.7)2-19(8.6)5-39
Stats Against (All Games)1.00.91.9 12-539.3%1-033.3%4-99(23.4)1-8(8.6)6-60
Opponents Avg. Stats For10.51.5 13-540.0%1-149.3%4-88(24)17-2(7.4)6-39
Stats Against (Home Games)0.61.21.8 12-543.3%2-137.5%5-118(23.6)0-1(5)7-60
Average power rating of opponents played: NY JETS 20.8,  NEW ENGLAND 21.2
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SCHEDULE AND RESULTS
NY JETS - Season Results
 Team StatsOpp Stats
DateOpponentScoreSULineATSTot.O/URushingPassingTORushingPassingTO
9/27/2009TENNESSEE24-17W-1W36O31-8317-30-146230-12715-37-1594
10/4/2009@ NEW ORLEANS10-24L7.5L47U27-13214-27-112432-15320-32-1901
10/12/2009@ MIAMI27-31L-3L35.5O30-13812-24-171036-15121-28-2620
10/18/2009BUFFALO13-16L-9L35.5U40-31810-30-96642-14215-30-1542
10/25/2009@ OAKLAND38-0W-6W34O54-3169-15-131019-11916-30-1444
11/1/2009MIAMI25-30L-3L40O40-12720-35-251123-5212-22-521
11/15/2009JACKSONVILLE22-24L-6.5L40.5O29-11016-31-212332-13916-26-2081
11/22/2009@ NEW ENGLAND            
11/29/2009CAROLINA            
12/3/2009@ BUFFALO            
12/13/2009@ TAMPA BAY            
12/20/2009ATLANTA            

NEW ENGLAND - Season Results
 Team StatsOpp Stats
DateOpponentScoreSULineATSTot.O/URushingPassingTORushingPassingTO
9/27/2009ATLANTA26-10W-4W45.5U39-16825-42-277017-5817-28-1991
10/4/2009BALTIMORE27-21W-2W45O30-8521-32-234117-11627-47-2472
10/11/2009@ DENVER17-20L-3L41U27-9619-33-209125-10335-48-3212
10/18/2009TENNESSEE59-0W-9W39O30-19338-45-426036-1932-14-75
10/25/2009*TAMPA BAY35-7W-15.5W44.5U28-10723-32-307226-8911-30-1513
11/8/2009MIAMI27-17W-11L47U24-10925-37-323131-13320-37-2010
11/15/2009@ INDIANAPOLIS34-35L3W48.5O28-11329-42-364218-9128-44-3162
11/22/2009NY JETS            
11/30/2009@ NEW ORLEANS            
12/6/2009@ MIAMI            
12/13/2009CAROLINA            
12/20/2009@ BUFFALO            
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HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORY
All games in this series since 1992
NEW ENGLAND is 17-17 against the spread versus NY JETS since 1992
NEW ENGLAND is 21-15 straight up against NY JETS since 1992
18 of 34 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL since 1992
Games over the last 3 seasons
NY JETS is 3-2 against the spread versus NEW ENGLAND over the last 3 seasons
NEW ENGLAND is 3-2 straight up against NY JETS over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

All games played at NEW ENGLAND since 1992
NY JETS is 11-6 against the spread versus NEW ENGLAND since 1992
NEW ENGLAND is 10-8 straight up against NY JETS since 1992
9 of 18 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL since 1992
Games played at NEW ENGLAND over the last 3 seasons.
NY JETS is 2-0 against the spread versus NEW ENGLAND over the last 3 seasons
NEW ENGLAND is 1-1 straight up against NY JETS over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

 RushingPassingTurnoversPenalties
DateTeamsScoreLineResultHalfFDTOPATT-YDSCMP-ATTYDSFLINTPEN-YDS
9/20/2009NEW ENGLAND9-3.5 Under91830:5020-8323-472160111-89
 NY JETS1644.5SU ATS31429:1031-11714-22137108-55
11/13/2008NY JETS3441SU ATS242339:1839-14026-33235104-25
 NEW ENGLAND31-3 Over132628:3225-12530-51386105-29
9/14/2008NEW ENGLAND19-1SU ATS61831:3533-10416-23156002-10
 NY JETS1037 Under31228:2521-10418-26152016-60
12/16/2007NY JETS1042 ATS71326:2317-9025-40146116-42
 NEW ENGLAND20-20SU Under171633:3735-13114-27134016-48
9/9/2007NEW ENGLAND38-6SU ATS142833:0937-13422-28297004-16
 NY JETS1441.5 Over71726:5119-6021-31167002-20
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COACHING TRENDS
StatFox Coaching Situational Power Trends favoring NEW ENGLAND to cover the spread
There are 31 trends with a total rating of 42 stars.
Belichick is 98-69 ATS (+22.1 Units) in all games as the coach of NEW ENGLAND.
The average score was NEW ENGLAND 25.0, OPPONENT 18.1 - (Rating = 1*)
Belichick is 98-69 ATS (+22.1 Units) in all lined games as the coach of NEW ENGLAND.
The average score was NEW ENGLAND 25.0, OPPONENT 18.1 - (Rating = 1*)
Belichick is 65-51 ATS (+8.9 Units) as a favorite as the coach of NEW ENGLAND.
The average score was NEW ENGLAND 26.0, OPPONENT 16.6 - (Rating = 0*)
Belichick is 74-51 ATS (+17.9 Units) against conference opponents as the coach of NEW ENGLAND.
The average score was NEW ENGLAND 24.6, OPPONENT 18.4 - (Rating = 1*)
Belichick is 75-47 ATS (+23.3 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest as the coach of NEW ENGLAND.
The average score was NEW ENGLAND 25.2, OPPONENT 18.1 - (Rating = 2*)
Belichick is 39-22 ATS (+14.8 Units) versus division opponents as the coach of NEW ENGLAND.
The average score was NEW ENGLAND 23.4, OPPONENT 16.0 - (Rating = 1*)
Belichick is 33-20 ATS (+11.0 Units) in games played on turf as the coach of NEW ENGLAND.
The average score was NEW ENGLAND 29.3, OPPONENT 17.1 - (Rating = 1*)
Belichick is 49-30 ATS (+16.0 Units) off 1 or more straight overs as the coach of NEW ENGLAND.
The average score was NEW ENGLAND 25.2, OPPONENT 18.1 - (Rating = 1*)
Belichick is 39-21 ATS (+15.9 Units) after having won 2 out of their last 3 games as the coach of NEW ENGLAND.
The average score was NEW ENGLAND 25.0, OPPONENT 18.2 - (Rating = 2*)
Belichick is 22-11 ATS (+9.9 Units) after covering the spread in 3 out of their last 4 games as the coach of NEW ENGLAND.
The average score was NEW ENGLAND 26.6, OPPONENT 18.3 - (Rating = 1*)
Belichick is 33-13 ATS (+18.7 Units) after having won 3 out of their last 4 games as the coach of NEW ENGLAND.
The average score was NEW ENGLAND 23.5, OPPONENT 15.5 - (Rating = 3*)
Belichick is 32-17 ATS (+13.3 Units) after covering the spread in 4 or 5 out of their last 6 games as the coach of NEW ENGLAND.
The average score was NEW ENGLAND 26.4, OPPONENT 17.7 - (Rating = 1*)
Belichick is 36-18 ATS (+16.2 Units) after having won 4 or 5 out of their last 6 games as the coach of NEW ENGLAND.
The average score was NEW ENGLAND 25.0, OPPONENT 16.4 - (Rating = 2*)
Belichick is 24-14 ATS (+8.6 Units) after covering the spread in 5 or 6 out of their last 7 games as the coach of NEW ENGLAND.
The average score was NEW ENGLAND 25.3, OPPONENT 16.6 - (Rating = 0*)
Belichick is 26-16 ATS (+8.4 Units) after having won 5 or 6 out of their last 7 games as the coach of NEW ENGLAND.
The average score was NEW ENGLAND 23.9, OPPONENT 17.0 - (Rating = 0*)
Belichick is 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) revenging an upset loss against opponent as a favorite as the coach of NEW ENGLAND.
The average score was NEW ENGLAND 26.7, OPPONENT 19.9 - (Rating = 2*)
Belichick is 23-12 ATS (+9.8 Units) revenging a loss against opponent as the coach of NEW ENGLAND.
The average score was NEW ENGLAND 23.8, OPPONENT 20.5 - (Rating = 1*)
Belichick is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) revenging a loss where team scored less than 14 points as the coach of NEW ENGLAND.
The average score was NEW ENGLAND 26.2, OPPONENT 18.8 - (Rating = 1*)
Belichick is 14-4 ATS (+9.6 Units) in home games revenging a road loss against opponent in all games he has coached since 1992.
The average score was Belichick 25.9, OPPONENT 19.2 - (Rating = 1*)
Belichick is 14-5 ATS (+8.5 Units) after allowing 30 points or more last game as the coach of NEW ENGLAND.
The average score was NEW ENGLAND 26.7, OPPONENT 18.8 - (Rating = 1*)
Belichick is 46-28 ATS (+15.2 Units) after playing their last game on the road as the coach of NEW ENGLAND.
The average score was NEW ENGLAND 26.3, OPPONENT 17.6 - (Rating = 1*)
Belichick is 57-36 ATS (+17.4 Units) after 1 or more consecutive wins against the spread as the coach of NEW ENGLAND.
The average score was NEW ENGLAND 25.2, OPPONENT 17.9 - (Rating = 1*)
Belichick is 29-14 ATS (+13.6 Units) after 1 or more consecutive losses as the coach of NEW ENGLAND.
The average score was NEW ENGLAND 25.5, OPPONENT 16.3 - (Rating = 2*)
Belichick is 24-14 ATS (+8.6 Units) vs. excellent punt coverage teams, allowing <= 7.5 yards per return as the coach of NEW ENGLAND.
The average score was NEW ENGLAND 27.3, OPPONENT 18.3 - (Rating = 0*)
Belichick is 20-8 ATS (+11.2 Units) vs. good passing defenses - allowing 5.7 or less passing yards/att. as the coach of NEW ENGLAND.
The average score was NEW ENGLAND 24.1, OPPONENT 18.6 - (Rating = 2*)
Belichick is 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) vs. good passing defenses - allowing 5.7 or less passing yards/att. in the second half of the season as the coach of NEW ENGLAND.
The average score was NEW ENGLAND 24.0, OPPONENT 17.7 - (Rating = 2*)
Belichick is 14-3 ATS (+10.7 Units) vs. poor passing teams averaging 175 or less passing yards/game in the second half of the season as the coach of NEW ENGLAND.
The average score was NEW ENGLAND 29.0, OPPONENT 16.1 - (Rating = 3*)
Belichick is 24-8 ATS (+15.2 Units) versus good defensive teams - allowing <=285 yards/game as the coach of NEW ENGLAND.
The average score was NEW ENGLAND 23.5, OPPONENT 16.0 - (Rating = 3*)
Belichick is 15-3 ATS (+11.7 Units) versus good defensive teams - allowing <=285 yards/game in the second half of the season as the coach of NEW ENGLAND.
The average score was NEW ENGLAND 23.0, OPPONENT 14.0 - (Rating = 3*)
Belichick is 70-44 ATS (+21.6 Units) after the first month of the season as the coach of NEW ENGLAND.
The average score was NEW ENGLAND 25.8, OPPONENT 17.9 - (Rating = 2*)
Belichick is 46-33 ATS (+9.7 Units) in the second half of the season as the coach of NEW ENGLAND.
The average score was NEW ENGLAND 25.4, OPPONENT 17.7 - (Rating = 0*)

StatFox Coaching Situational Power Trends favoring the OVER against the total
There are 1 trends with a total rating of 0 stars.
Belichick is 9-2 OVER (+6.8 Units) in home games after a dominating performance - 34+ minutes TOP, 24+ First downs as the coach of NEW ENGLAND.
The average score was NEW ENGLAND 29.3, OPPONENT 23.2 - (Rating = 0*)

StatFox Coaching Situational Power Trends favoring the UNDER against the total
There are 13 trends with a total rating of 8 stars.
Belichick is 42-30 UNDER (+9.0 Units) as a home favorite as the coach of NEW ENGLAND.
The average score was NEW ENGLAND 24.7, OPPONENT 15.6 - (Rating = 0*)
Belichick is 25-14 UNDER (+9.6 Units) in November games as the coach of NEW ENGLAND.
The average score was NEW ENGLAND 24.8, OPPONENT 19.4 - (Rating = 1*)
Belichick is 32-14 UNDER (+16.6 Units) after having won 3 out of their last 4 games as the coach of NEW ENGLAND.
The average score was NEW ENGLAND 23.5, OPPONENT 15.5 - (Rating = 2*)
Belichick is 17-8 UNDER (+8.2 Units) in home games after covering the spread in 4 or 5 out of their last 6 games as the coach of NEW ENGLAND.
The average score was NEW ENGLAND 23.2, OPPONENT 15.3 - (Rating = 0*)
Belichick is 33-21 UNDER (+9.9 Units) after having won 4 or 5 out of their last 6 games as the coach of NEW ENGLAND.
The average score was NEW ENGLAND 25.0, OPPONENT 16.4 - (Rating = 0*)
Belichick is 15-6 UNDER (+8.4 Units) in home games after covering the spread in 5 or 6 out of their last 7 games as the coach of NEW ENGLAND.
The average score was NEW ENGLAND 22.4, OPPONENT 13.7 - (Rating = 1*)
Belichick is 15-6 UNDER (+8.4 Units) in home games after having won 5 or 6 out of their last 7 games as the coach of NEW ENGLAND.
The average score was NEW ENGLAND 22.5, OPPONENT 13.7 - (Rating = 1*)
Belichick is 12-4 UNDER (+7.6 Units) in home games after allowing 6 or more yards/play in their previous game as the coach of NEW ENGLAND.
The average score was NEW ENGLAND 22.9, OPPONENT 13.4 - (Rating = 0*)
Belichick is 15-6 UNDER (+8.4 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a losing record as the coach of NEW ENGLAND.
The average score was NEW ENGLAND 25.2, OPPONENT 12.2 - (Rating = 1*)
Belichick is 9-2 UNDER (+6.8 Units) when playing against a marginal losing team (Win Pct. 40% to 49%) as the coach of NEW ENGLAND.
The average score was NEW ENGLAND 19.6, OPPONENT 13.8 - (Rating = 0*)
Belichick is 9-2 UNDER (+6.8 Units) in home games vs. good passing defenses - allowing 175 or less passing yards/game in the second half of the season as the coach of NEW ENGLAND.
The average score was NEW ENGLAND 21.9, OPPONENT 11.6 - (Rating = 0*)
Belichick is 29-14 UNDER (+13.6 Units) versus good defensive teams - allowing <=285 yards/game in all games he has coached since 1992.
The average score was Belichick 21.6, OPPONENT 16.4 - (Rating = 1*)
Belichick is 10-2 UNDER (+7.8 Units) in home games versus good defensive teams - allowing <=285 yards/game in the second half of the season as the coach of NEW ENGLAND.
The average score was NEW ENGLAND 21.8, OPPONENT 11.2 - (Rating = 1*)

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STATFOX LINE TRACKER™
Here is a summary of past results against the spread in games where the line movement was similar to:
Opening Line = -10.5, Closing Line = -10.5
Since 1992, the road underdog has covered the spread 56 times, while the home favorite covered the spread 45 times.
Over the last 3 seasons, the road underdog has covered the spread 10 times, while the home favorite covered the spread 6 times.
Since 1992, the home favorite won the game straight up 82 times, while the road underdog won straight up 20 times.
Over the last 3 seasons, the home favorite won the game straight up 14 times, while the road underdog won straight up 2 times.

Here is a summary of past over/under results in games where the total movement was similar to:
Opening Total = 45, Closing Total = 45
Since 1992, 70 games went over the total, while 64 games went under the total.
Over the last 3 seasons, 12 games went under the total, while 9 games went over the total.

Here is a summary of past ATS and Over/Under results in games where the closing line and closing total were similar to:
Closing Line = -10.5, Closing Total = 45
Since 1992, the home favorite has covered the spread 9 times, while the road underdog covered the spread 9 times.
Over the last 3 seasons, the home favorite has covered the spread 1 times, while the road underdog covered the spread 1 times.
Since 1992, the home favorite won the game straight up 18 times, while the road underdog won straight up 1 times.
Over the last 3 seasons, the home favorite won the game straight up 2 times, while the road underdog won straight up 0 times.
Since 1992, 13 games went over the total, while 6 games went under the total.
Over the last 3 seasons, 2 games went under the total, while 0 games went over the total.
STATFOX MONEY TRACKER™
As indicated by the movement of the line, the betting public is favoring Nobody in this game
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in NY JETS games 50% of the time since 1992. (108-108)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in NY JETS games 50% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (17-17)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in NEW ENGLAND games 43.9% of the time since 1992. (100-128)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in NEW ENGLAND games 45.9% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (17-20)
No Edge.
 
As indicated by the movement of the total, the betting public is favoring nothing on the total in this game
The betting public is correct when moving the total in NY JETS games 51.9% of the time since 1992. (120-111)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in NY JETS games 51.4% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (18-17)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in NEW ENGLAND games 53.8% of the time since 1992. (133-114)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in NEW ENGLAND games 64.1% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (25-14)
No Edge.
KEY PLAYER INJURIES
NY JETS
[DT] 10/20/2009 - Kris Jenkins IR ( Knee )
[RB] 10/26/2009 - Leon Washington IR ( Ankle )
[LB] 11/19/2009 - Vernon Gholston doubtful Sunday vs. New England ( Hamstring )
[S] 11/20/2009 - Jim Leonhard is upgraded to probable Sunday vs. New England ( Thumb )
NEW ENGLAND
[LB] 08/26/2009 - Tyrone McKenzie IR ( Knee )
[OL] 09/05/2009 - George Bussey IR ( Knee )
[RB] 10/08/2009 - Fred Taylor out at least 6-8 weeks ( Ankle )
[RB] 11/15/2009 - Sammy Morris "?" Sunday vs. NY Jets ( Knee )
[OT] 11/15/2009 - Matt Light "?" Sunday vs. NY Jets ( Knee )
[DE] 11/03/2009 - Jarvis Green out indefinitely ( Knee )
[C] 11/15/2009 - Dan Koppen "?" Sunday vs. NY Jets ( Knee )
[SS] 11/15/2009 - Brandon Meriweather "?" Sunday vs. NY Jets ( Foot )
[DT] 11/15/2009 - Ty Warren "?" Sunday vs. NY Jets ( Knee )
[LB] 11/15/2009 - Eric Alexander "?" Sunday vs. NY Jets ( Groin )
[WR] 11/18/2009 - Brandon Tate IR ( Knee )
[DB] 11/19/2009 - Shawn Springs is upgraded to probable Sunday vs. NY Jets ( Knee )
[OG] 11/16/2009 - Stephen Neal injured last game, "?" Sunday vs. NY Jets ( Head )
[WR] 11/16/2009 - Sam Aiken injured last game, "?" Sunday vs. NY Jets ( Hip )
[LB] 11/16/2009 - Tully Banta-Cain injured last game, "?" Sunday vs. NY Jets ( Groin )
[LB] 11/19/2009 - Rob Ninkovich "?" Sunday vs. NY Jets ( Knee )
[LB] 11/19/2009 - Gary Guyton "?" Sunday vs. NY Jets ( Illness )

Last Updated: 11/21/2009 4:18:22 AM EST


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