CFB | ATS FoxSheet
Monday 1/11/2021Line$ LineOU LineScore
OHIO ST
 
ALABAMA
+9  

-9  
+280

-360

76
 
24
Final
52

OHIO ST (7 - 0) vs. ALABAMA (12 - 0)
No Previous GameNo Next Game
Week 18 Monday, 1/11/2021 8:00 PM
CFP Championship Game - Hard Rock Stadium - Miami Gardens, FL
Board OpenLatest
499OHIO ST75.575
500ALABAMA-6.5-8.5
STATFOX PLAYTRACKER™

Your ATS Selection:

No Selection

Your Over-Under Selection:

No Selection

Comments:

 

 

RETURNING PLAYERS
Starters and Key Players returning for the 2021 season:
TeamCoachOffensiveDefensiveLettermen
OHIO STRyan Day6*4 
 
TeamCoachOffensiveDefensiveLettermen
ALABAMANick Saban75 
BETTING TRENDS

One of the growing resources utilized by sports handicappers is the public betting information offered by a variety of sources. Leading the way in this is Sportsbook.com, who offers the data at its website in real-time. Boasting a giant sports bettor customer base, Sportsbook is able to present data that is accurately reflective of public sentiment. This beats other sources that may be mixing sharp AND public opinion, have a much smaller customer base, or simply presenting the opinions of contest players, not bettors. The Betting Trends from Sportsbook show what percentage of bets are on each side of the pointspread or total. The results can be especially valuable in high profile games.

This data can be used to profit from. When given the choice, most professional bettors would choose to be on the side of the "house", or that opposite of the betting public. Alternatively, others believe in the theory that there is "strength in numbers". Neither belief is foolproof, but if you follow these Betting Trends for long enough, you’ll surely form your own opinion.

OHIO ST (ATS) (51%)

OVER

(56%)
ALABAMA (ATS) (49%)UNDER (44%)
FOXSHEETS MEMBER CONSENSUS

OHIO ST

(0%)

ALABAMA

(0%)

OVER

(0%)

UNDER

(0%)

Last Updated: 6/21/2021 4:19:59 PM EST

STATFOX VIEW

No current opinions available.

PREVIEW
Alabama, Ohio State shaping up as high-scoring title game
 

Ohio State will be the underdog again in the CFP championship game vs. top-ranked Alabama on Monday in Miami Gardens, Fla., but Crimson Tide coach Nick Saban won't add motivation for the No. 3 Buckeyes.

"We're excited about having the opportunity to play against a great Ohio State team," Saban said Monday. "These guys are really well-coached. Ryan Day has done a great job there. They're one of the best defensive teams in the country in terms of points allowed. Tough to run against, really explosive on offense, really good skill players outside."

No bulletin-board material there by Alabama (12-0) to fuel Ohio State (7-0), which was rankled before its semifinal game when Clemson coach Dabo Swinney ranked the Buckeyes 11th in the coaches' poll.

Throw in a loss to the No. 2 Tigers in the semifinal a year before and the Buckeyes' 49-28 win on Friday was even sweeter, but Day cautioned his players that the job is not done.

"Well, the goal was never just to beat Clemson," he said Monday. "The goal was to win the national championship.

"While it was an emotional win, that wasn't the goal. The goal was to win this one. And so, I'd be disappointed if we didn't play well in this game."

The game should be high scoring even though the Crimson Tide's NCAA record of scoring 35-plus points ended at 24 games after a 31-14 victory against Notre Dame in the other semifinal on Friday.

Alabama boasts Heisman Trophy winner DeVonta Smith at wide receiver and finalist Mac Jones at quarterback. Smith has 105 catches for 1,641 yards and 20 touchdowns this season. Jones' 4,036 passing yards is an Alabama season record and he has also thrown 36 touchdowns against four interceptions.

Smith said Monday he had bigger concerns than the Heisman hype.

"I'm just trying to come in with the team this week and just look forward to getting on to the game plan for Ohio State," he said.

Alabama will be without center Landon Dickerson, who had a season-ending knee injury against Florida in the SEC Championship Game on Dec. 19, but receiver Jaylen Waddle, out since Oct. 24 with an ankle injury, may be back.

The question for the Buckeyes is the health of Justin Fields, who sustained a mid-body injury in the second quarter vs. Clemson but still had career highs in passing yards (385) and touchdowns (six).

"Yeah, I definitely expect him to play, but we don't get into specifics on injuries," Day said. "We put out our availability report at the end of the week and that's always been our policy."

The Buckeyes' running game is led by Trey Sermon, whose 524 yards in the past two games is an Ohio State record for consecutive games, breaking the record of 476 by Ezekiel Elliott in 2015.

"He's playing outstanding football right now," Saban said. "There's no doubt about that. He had a fantastic game against Clemson (193 yards)."

Ohio State last played the Crimson Tide in the 2014 season semifinal, won by the Buckeyes 42-35 en route to winning their most recent title with a win over Oregon.

Alabama's last championship was 26-23 in overtime vs. Georgia on Jan. 8, 2018.

--Field Level Media

STATFOX SUPER SITUATIONS™
StatFox Super Situations favoring OHIO ST to cover the spread
There are 4 situations with a total rating of 11 stars.
Play Against - Favorites of 3.5 to 10 points (ALABAMA) - after scoring 20 points or more in the first half in 2 straight games against opponent after scoring 24 points or more in the first half last game.
(40-15 over the last 5 seasons.) (72.7%, +23.5 units. Rating = 2*)
Play On - Neutral field underdogs (OHIO ST) - outrushing their opponents by 100 or more yards/game on the season, after gaining 225 or more rushing yards in 3 straight games.
(30-7 since 1992.) (81.1%, +22.3 units. Rating = 3*)
Play On - Neutral field underdogs (OHIO ST) - good rushing team - averaging 4.75 or more rushing yards/carry, after gaining 225 or more rushing yards in 3 straight games.
(38-12 since 1992.) (76%, +24.8 units. Rating = 3*)
Play On - Neutral field underdogs (OHIO ST) - outrushing their opponents by 1.25 or more yards/carry on the season, after gaining 225 or more rushing yards in 3 straight games.
(30-7 since 1992.) (81.1%, +22.3 units. Rating = 3*)

StatFox Super Situations favoring the game to go OVER the total
There are 4 situations with a total rating of 11 stars.
Play Over - All teams where the total is greater than or equal to 70 (ALABAMA) - in a game involving two average defensive teams (330 to 390 YPG) after 7+ games, after gaining 475 or more total yards/game over their last 3 games.
(31-7 since 1992.) (81.6%, +23.3 units. Rating = 3*)
Play Over - All teams where the total is greater than or equal to 70 (OHIO ST) - in a game involving two average defensive teams (330 to 390 YPG) after 7+ games, after gaining 475 or more total yards/game over their last 3 games.
(31-7 since 1992.) (81.6%, +23.3 units. Rating = 3*)
Play Over - All teams where the total is greater than or equal to 70 (OHIO ST) - in a game involving two dominant teams (outgaining opponents by 100+ YPG) after 7+ games, after gaining 450 or more total yards in 3 consecutive games.
(37-11 since 1992.) (77.1%, +24.9 units. Rating = 3*)
Play Over - All teams where the total is greater than or equal to 70 (OHIO ST) - in a game involving two dominant teams (outgaining opponents by 100+ YPG) after 7+ games, after gaining 450 or more total yards in 4 consecutive games.
(30-9 since 1992.) (76.9%, +20.1 units. Rating = 2*)

StatFox Super Situations favoring the game to go UNDER the total
There are 6 situations with a total rating of 13 stars.
Play Under - All teams where the total is greater than or equal to 63 (ALABAMA) - in a non-conference game between two teams from major division 1-A conferences.
(110-66 over the last 5 seasons.) (62.5%, +37.4 units. Rating = 2*)
Play Under - All teams where the total is greater than or equal to 63 (OHIO ST) - in a non-conference game between two teams from major division 1-A conferences.
(110-66 over the last 5 seasons.) (62.5%, +37.4 units. Rating = 2*)
Play Under - All teams where the total is greater than or equal to 63 (OHIO ST) - in a non-conference game between two teams from major division 1-A conferences, with an experienced QB returning as starter.
(75-41 over the last 5 seasons.) (64.7%, +29.9 units. Rating = 2*)
Play Under - All teams where the total is greater than or equal to 63 (OHIO ST) - after beating the spread by 35 or more points total in their last three games against opponent after beating the spread by 49 or more points total in their last seven games.
(26-4 over the last 10 seasons.) (86.7%, +21.6 units. Rating = 4*)
Play Under - All teams where the total is greater than or equal to 70 (OHIO ST) - after outgaining opp by 125 or more total yards in their previous game, with an experienced QB returning as starter.
(74-41 over the last 5 seasons.) (64.3%, +28.9 units. Rating = 2*)
Play Under - Neutral field teams where the total is greater than or equal to 63 (OHIO ST) - with an experienced QB returning as starter.
(37-18 over the last 5 seasons.) (67.3%, +17.2 units. Rating = 1*)

View Expanded DetailsGo to Top
STATFOX GAME ESTIMATOR™
 Estimate #1Estimate #2RushingPassingTotalTurnovers
TeamsScoreEdgeScoreEdgeATT-YDSYPRATT-YDSYPAATT-YDSYPPFL-INT
OHIO ST35 38 45-2445.428-28210.273-5257.21-1
ALABAMA48Over45Over35-1714.831-37012.166-5418.21-1

StatFox.Com has searched its database for all past games where the posted line or total were similar to this game's and where the final game statistics were comparable to the estimator's projections. (Yards/Play and turnovers) Here are the results against the spread, against the total, and straight up:
In past games, the underdog covered the spread 7 times, while the favorite covered the spread 4 times.
No Edge.
In past games, the underdog won the game straight up 6 times, while the favorite won the game straight up 5 times.
3 games went over the total, while 0 games went under the total.
No Edge.

Potential StatFox Power Trends to watch out for:
Potential StatFox Power Trends based on estimated statistics favoring OHIO ST to cover the spread
OHIO ST is 31-16 ATS (+13.4 Units) when they gain 250 to 300 net passing yards since 1992.
The average score was OHIO ST 38.7, OPPONENT 16.4
OHIO ST is 67-12 ATS (+53.8 Units) when they gain 10 or more net passing yards/attempt since 1992.
The average score was OHIO ST 45.3, OPPONENT 15.3
OHIO ST is 93-29 ATS (+61.1 Units) when they gain 9 or more net passing yards/attempt since 1992.
The average score was OHIO ST 42.4, OPPONENT 16.3
OHIO ST is 54-33 ATS (+17.7 Units) when they rush for 200 to 250 yards since 1992.
The average score was OHIO ST 34.6, OPPONENT 15.8
OHIO ST is 157-61 ATS (+89.9 Units) when they score 28 or more points since 1992.
The average score was OHIO ST 42.3, OPPONENT 15.4
OHIO ST is 35-15 ATS (+18.5 Units) when they score 35 to 41 points since 1992.
The average score was OHIO ST 37.6, OPPONENT 14.4
OHIO ST is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) when their defense forces 2 turnovers over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was OHIO ST 54.3, OPPONENT 18.5
OHIO ST is 32-16 ATS (+14.4 Units) when they gain 500 to 550 total yards since 1992.
The average score was OHIO ST 41.0, OPPONENT 15.0
OHIO ST is 76-25 ATS (+48.5 Units) when they gain 500 or more total yards since 1992.
The average score was OHIO ST 47.8, OPPONENT 15.5
OHIO ST is 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) when they gain 6.5 or more total yards per play over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was OHIO ST 49.5, OPPONENT 15.7
OHIO ST is 27-10 ATS (+16.0 Units) when they gain 7 to 7.5 total yards per play since 1992.
The average score was OHIO ST 44.5, OPPONENT 16.2

Potential StatFox Power Trends based on estimated statistics favoring ALABAMA to cover the spread
ALABAMA is 52-25 ATS (+24.5 Units) when they gain 10 or more net passing yards/attempt since 1992.
The average score was ALABAMA 42.8, OPPONENT 15.8
ALABAMA is 79-41 ATS (+33.9 Units) when they gain 9 or more net passing yards/attempt since 1992.
The average score was ALABAMA 40.3, OPPONENT 15.5
ALABAMA is 137-77 ATS (+52.3 Units) when they score 28 or more points since 1992.
The average score was ALABAMA 40.3, OPPONENT 15.5
ALABAMA is 24-10 ATS (+13.0 Units) when they score 42 to 48 points since 1992.
The average score was ALABAMA 45.0, OPPONENT 16.0
ALABAMA is 65-39 ATS (+22.1 Units) when their defense forces 2 turnovers since 1992.
The average score was ALABAMA 33.4, OPPONENT 15.2
ALABAMA is 31-13 ATS (+16.7 Units) when they gain 500 to 550 total yards since 1992.
The average score was ALABAMA 43.6, OPPONENT 16.7
ALABAMA is 52-24 ATS (+25.6 Units) when they gain 500 or more total yards since 1992.
The average score was ALABAMA 46.4, OPPONENT 15.3
ALABAMA is 81-40 ATS (+37.0 Units) when they gain 6.5 or more total yards per play since 1992.
The average score was ALABAMA 44.1, OPPONENT 13.7
ALABAMA is 37-21 ATS (+13.9 Units) when they gain 7.5 or more total yards per play since 1992.
The average score was ALABAMA 46.9, OPPONENT 14.8
ALABAMA is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) in road games when they outgain their opponents by 1 to 1.5 yards/play since 1992.
The average score was ALABAMA 32.5, OPPONENT 17.3

Potential StatFox Power Trends based on estimated statistics favoring the UNDER against the total
OHIO ST is 16-6 UNDER (+9.4 Units) when they allow 4.5 to 5 rushing yards per attempt since 1992.
The average score was OHIO ST 28.2, OPPONENT 18.9
OHIO ST is 19-6 UNDER (+12.4 Units) when they are outgained by their opponents by <=50 yards since 1992.
The average score was OHIO ST 24.2, OPPONENT 20.5

View Expanded DetailsGo to Top
STATFOX POWERLINE™
 Power Rating
 EstimateEdge
OHIO ST  
ALABAMA-5 
STATFOX MATCHUP POWER TRENDS™
StatFox Matchup Power Trends against similar type opponents favoring OHIO ST to cover the spread
There are 5 trends with a total rating of 5 stars.
OHIO ST is 58-29 ATS (+26.1 Units) vesus good rushing teams - averaging >=4.75 rushing yards/carry since 1992.
The average score was OHIO ST 32.7, OPPONENT 19.8 - (Rating = 2*)
OHIO ST is 65-39 ATS (+22.1 Units) vs. good offensive teams - scoring 31 or more points/game since 1992.
The average score was OHIO ST 32.1, OPPONENT 21.3 - (Rating = 1*)
OHIO ST is 45-25 ATS (+17.5 Units) vs. very good offensive teams - scoring 34 or more points/game since 1992.
The average score was OHIO ST 31.8, OPPONENT 21.5 - (Rating = 1*)
OHIO ST is 59-38 ATS (+17.2 Units) versus good offensive teams - averaging >=5.9 yards/play since 1992.
The average score was OHIO ST 32.3, OPPONENT 21.3 - (Rating = 0*)
OHIO ST is 39-21 ATS (+15.9 Units) versus excellent offensive teams - averaging >=6.25 yards/play since 1992.
The average score was OHIO ST 32.1, OPPONENT 22.7 - (Rating = 1*)

StatFox Matchup Power Trends against similar type opponents favoring ALABAMA to cover the spread
There are 1 trends with a total rating of 0 stars.
ALABAMA is 30-16 ATS (+12.4 Units) in road games versus good rushing defenses - allowing <=3.25 rushing yards/carry since 1992.
The average score was ALABAMA 25.5, OPPONENT 20.5 - (Rating = 0*)

StatFox Matchup Power Trends against similar type opponents favoring the UNDER against the total
There are 1 trends with a total rating of 1 stars.
ALABAMA is 46-23 UNDER (+20.7 Units) versus good rushing teams - averaging >=200 rushing yards/game since 1992.
The average score was ALABAMA 27.9, OPPONENT 18.2 - (Rating = 1*)

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STATFOX SITUATIONAL POWER TRENDS™
StatFox Situational Power Trends favoring OHIO ST to cover the spread
There are 7 trends with a total rating of 2 stars.
OHIO ST is 21-7 ATS (+13.3 Units) as an underdog of 3.5 to 10 points since 1992.
The average score was OHIO ST 29.0, OPPONENT 24.0 - (Rating = 1*)
OHIO ST is 203-155 ATS (+32.5 Units) in all games since 1992.
The average score was OHIO ST 33.5, OPPONENT 16.9 - (Rating = 0*)
OHIO ST is 203-155 ATS (+32.5 Units) in all lined games since 1992.
The average score was OHIO ST 33.5, OPPONENT 17.0 - (Rating = 0*)
OHIO ST is 65-43 ATS (+17.7 Units) after playing a non-conference game since 1992.
The average score was OHIO ST 34.6, OPPONENT 14.0 - (Rating = 0*)
OHIO ST is 123-89 ATS (+25.1 Units) in games played on a grass field since 1992.
The average score was OHIO ST 30.4, OPPONENT 16.2 - (Rating = 0*)
OHIO ST is 84-58 ATS (+20.2 Units) after outrushing opponent by 125 or more yards last game since 1992.
The average score was OHIO ST 36.1, OPPONENT 15.7 - (Rating = 0*)
OHIO ST is 116-79 ATS (+29.1 Units) after 1 or more consecutive wins against the spread since 1992.
The average score was OHIO ST 34.4, OPPONENT 16.3 - (Rating = 1*)

StatFox Situational Power Trends favoring ALABAMA to cover the spread
There are 16 trends with a total rating of 16 stars.
ALABAMA is 7-1 ATS (+5.9 Units) in games played on a grass field this season.
The average score was ALABAMA 50.6, OPPONENT 18.3 - (Rating = 1*)
ALABAMA is 63-41 ATS (+17.9 Units) off a no-cover where the team won as a favorite since 1992.
The average score was ALABAMA 33.8, OPPONENT 14.6 - (Rating = 0*)
ALABAMA is 23-5 ATS (+17.5 Units) off 2 no-covers where the team won as a favorite since 1992.
The average score was ALABAMA 35.0, OPPONENT 12.8 - (Rating = 3*)
ALABAMA is 22-10 ATS (+11.0 Units) after scoring 31 points or more in 5 straight games since 1992.
The average score was ALABAMA 40.0, OPPONENT 14.6 - (Rating = 0*)
ALABAMA is 46-26 ATS (+17.4 Units) in road games after 1 or more consecutive losses against the spread since 1992.
The average score was ALABAMA 29.3, OPPONENT 17.7 - (Rating = 1*)
ALABAMA is 44-23 ATS (+18.7 Units) after 2 or more consecutive losses against the spread since 1992.
The average score was ALABAMA 31.4, OPPONENT 15.0 - (Rating = 1*)
ALABAMA is 62-41 ATS (+16.9 Units) in road games after 2 or more consecutive straight up wins since 1992.
The average score was ALABAMA 32.4, OPPONENT 18.5 - (Rating = 0*)
ALABAMA is 49-30 ATS (+16.0 Units) in road games after 3 or more consecutive straight up wins since 1992.
The average score was ALABAMA 32.2, OPPONENT 17.4 - (Rating = 0*)
ALABAMA is 55-34 ATS (+17.6 Units) after 6 or more consecutive straight up wins since 1992.
The average score was ALABAMA 33.6, OPPONENT 14.1 - (Rating = 0*)
ALABAMA is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) after a game where they forced 1 or less turnovers over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was ALABAMA 44.1, OPPONENT 11.9 - (Rating = 1*)
ALABAMA is 14-5 ATS (+8.5 Units) after 3 consecutive game where they committed 1 or less turnovers over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was ALABAMA 44.9, OPPONENT 15.8 - (Rating = 0*)
ALABAMA is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) after gaining 6.25 or more yards/play in 2 consecutive games this season.
The average score was ALABAMA 48.9, OPPONENT 11.0 - (Rating = 3*)
ALABAMA is 60-37 ATS (+19.3 Units) after gaining 6.75 or more yards/play in their previous game since 1992.
The average score was ALABAMA 38.7, OPPONENT 15.0 - (Rating = 1*)
ALABAMA is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) after gaining 6.75 or more yards/play in 2 consecutive games this season.
The average score was ALABAMA 48.9, OPPONENT 11.0 - (Rating = 3*)
ALABAMA is 44-25 ATS (+16.5 Units) after gaining 7.25 or more yards/play in their previous game since 1992.
The average score was ALABAMA 40.4, OPPONENT 15.1 - (Rating = 1*)
ALABAMA is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) after gaining 7.25 or more yards/play in 2 consecutive games over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was ALABAMA 47.9, OPPONENT 16.2 - (Rating = 1*)

StatFox Situational Power Trends favoring the OVER against the total
There are 6 trends with a total rating of 2 stars.
ALABAMA is 25-12 OVER (+11.8 Units) as a neutral field favorite since 1992.
The average score was ALABAMA 33.8, OPPONENT 19.8 - (Rating = 0*)
ALABAMA is 8-1 OVER (+6.9 Units) after playing a non-conference game over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was ALABAMA 51.7, OPPONENT 24.7 - (Rating = 1*)
ALABAMA is 11-3 OVER (+7.7 Units) off 1 or more consecutive unders over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was ALABAMA 48.6, OPPONENT 19.1 - (Rating = 0*)
ALABAMA is 9-2 OVER (+6.8 Units) after allowing 14 points or less last game over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was ALABAMA 52.7, OPPONENT 22.5 - (Rating = 0*)
ALABAMA is 28-14 OVER (+12.6 Units) in road games after a game where they committed no turnovers since 1992.
The average score was ALABAMA 30.1, OPPONENT 20.4 - (Rating = 0*)
ALABAMA is 28-12 OVER (+14.8 Units) in road games after 2 consecutive games with a turnover margin of +1 or better since 1992.
The average score was ALABAMA 31.5, OPPONENT 20.6 - (Rating = 1*)

View Expanded DetailsGo to Top
ADVANCED TEAM STATS
OHIO ST - Current Season Performance
 Straight UpAgainst SpreadTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsW-LO-UScoreHalfYardsYPPTOScoreHalfYardsYPPTO
All Games7-0+4.54-34-143.425.3544.9(7.5)1.322.07.7370.3(5.6)2.6
Road Games4-0+4.53-12-140.322.5549.8(7.5)1.018.87.5339.8(5.2)2.5
Last 3 Games3-0+3.52-12-141.023.0557.7(7.8)1.316.78.0344.7(5)3.0
Grass Games2-0+12-01-045.024.5523.5(6.9)0.518.53.0293.0(4.8)2.5
OHIO ST - Current Season Statistics
 RushingPassingTotal
 PPGHalfFDTOPATT-YDSYPRCMP-ATTPCTYDSPYAATT-YDSYPPYPPT
Offense (All Games)43.425.325.733:4345-273(6)20-2773.4%272(9.9)73-545(7.5)(12.5)
Opponents Defensive Avg.25.814.119.730:0338-151(4)19-3259.4%222(6.8)70-373(5.3)(14.4)
Offense Road Games40.322.525.033:4845-296(6.5)20-2869.9%254(9)74-550(7.5)(13.7)
Defense (All Games)22.07.719.026:1228-89(3.2)25-3963.8%281(7.3)67-370(5.6)(16.8)
Opponents Offensive Avg.27.814.720.930:0139-147(3.8)21-3461.5%240(7)73-387(5.3)(13.9)
Defense Road Games18.87.518.826:1228-68(2.5)24-3863.6%271(7.2)66-340(5.2)(18.1)

ALABAMA - Current Season Performance
 Straight UpAgainst SpreadTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsW-LO-UScoreHalfYardsYPPTOScoreHalfYardsYPPTO
All Games12-0+48-47-548.228.9535.0(7.8)0.919.09.9353.2(5)1.8
Road Games7-0+23-44-348.430.9551.3(7.8)0.923.410.7378.3(5.3)1.6
Last 3 Games3-0+21-21-245.031.3495.0(7.1)0.721.09.0341.7(5)2.3
Grass Games8-0+27-15-350.628.1565.1(8.3)1.018.311.1361.4(5.1)1.6
ALABAMA - Current Season Statistics
 RushingPassingTotal
 PPGHalfFDTOPATT-YDSYPRCMP-ATTPCTYDSPYAATT-YDSYPPYPPT
Offense (All Games)48.228.927.730:2337-186(5.1)24-3275.8%349(11)68-535(7.8)(11.1)
Opponents Defensive Avg.28.514.721.830:4236-147(4.1)22-3463.8%258(7.6)69-405(5.8)(14.2)
Offense Road Games48.430.928.931:4337-199(5.3)26-3478.3%352(10.5)71-551(7.8)(11.4)
Defense (All Games)19.09.920.029:3734-110(3.2)21-3658.6%243(6.7)71-353(5)(18.6)
Opponents Offensive Avg.29.315.422.230:1736-157(4.3)22-3463.9%259(7.7)70-416(5.9)(14.2)
Defense Road Games23.410.721.628:1738-121(3.2)21-3463.3%257(7.6)71-378(5.3)(16.1)
Average power rating of opponents played: OHIO ST 44.9,  ALABAMA 47.3
View Expanded DetailsGo to Top
SCHEDULE AND RESULTS
OHIO ST - Season Results
 Team StatsOpp Stats
DateOpponentScoreSULineATSTot.O/URushingPassingTORushingPassingTO
11/21/2020INDIANA42-35W-20.5L67O50-30718-30-300316--127-51-4914
12/5/2020@ MICHIGAN ST52-12W-22.5W59.5O48-32217-24-199128-8121-36-1804
12/19/2020*NORTHWESTERN22-10W-16.5L57U44-39912-27-114234-10524-37-2243
1/1/2021*CLEMSON49-28W7.5W69O44-25422-28-385122-4433-48-4002
1/11/2021*ALABAMA            

ALABAMA - Season Results
 Team StatsOpp Stats
DateOpponentScoreSULineATSTot.O/URushingPassingTORushingPassingTO
11/21/2020KENTUCKY63-3W-31W58.5O40-22618-26-283132-5910-25-1201
11/28/2020AUBURN42-13W-28.5W65.5U27-14318-26-302142-12023-38-2272
12/5/2020@ LSU55-17W-28.5W63.5O43-26520-29-385127-9825-45-2541
12/12/2020@ ARKANSAS52-3W-28W70.5U38-21627-33-227143-809-17-1084
12/19/2020*FLORIDA52-46W-16L74.5O40-18733-43-418126-5426-40-4082
1/1/2021*NOTRE DAME31-14W-18L65.5U25-14025-30-297038-13928-42-2361
1/11/2021*OHIO ST            
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HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORY
All games in this series since 1992
ALABAMA is 1-1 against the spread versus OHIO ST since 1992
ALABAMA is 1-1 straight up against OHIO ST since 1992
2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL since 1992
Games over the last 3 seasons
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.


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COMMON OPPONENT STATS
OHIO ST - Performance against common opponents.
 TeamOpponent
 W-LATSO-UScoreFDYardsYPPTOScoreFDYardsYPPTO
This Season0-00-00-0000(0)0000(0)0
Last Season1-01-01-056.028.0577.0(7.5)1.027.021.0396.0(5.7)2.0

ALABAMA - Performance against common opponents.
 TeamOpponent
 W-LATSO-UScoreFDYardsYPPTOScoreFDYardsYPPTO
This Season0-00-00-0000(0)0000(0)0
Last Season1-01-00-135.020.0480.0(8.7)0.016.023.0395.0(4.9)2.0
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COACHING TRENDS
StatFox Coaching Situational Power Trends favoring OHIO ST to cover the spread
There are 1 trends with a total rating of 1 stars.
Saban is 9-19 ATS (-11.9 Units) versus excellent rushing teams - averaging >=230 rushing yards/game as the coach of ALABAMA.
The average score was ALABAMA 29.1, OPPONENT 21.6 - (Rating = 1*)

StatFox Coaching Situational Power Trends favoring ALABAMA to cover the spread
There are 34 trends with a total rating of 25 stars.
Saban is 104-84 ATS (+11.6 Units) in all games as the coach of ALABAMA.
The average score was ALABAMA 37.5, OPPONENT 14.9 - (Rating = 1*)
Saban is 104-84 ATS (+11.6 Units) in all lined games as the coach of ALABAMA.
The average score was ALABAMA 37.4, OPPONENT 15.0 - (Rating = 1*)
Saban is 99-81 ATS (+9.9 Units) as a favorite as the coach of ALABAMA.
The average score was ALABAMA 37.8, OPPONENT 14.7 - (Rating = 0*)
Saban is 81-68 ATS (+6.2 Units) in games played on a grass field as the coach of ALABAMA.
The average score was ALABAMA 37.7, OPPONENT 14.1 - (Rating = 0*)
Saban is 19-10 ATS (+8.0 Units) in road games in non-conference games as the coach of ALABAMA.
The average score was ALABAMA 35.0, OPPONENT 19.1 - (Rating = 0*)
Saban is 33-22 ATS (+8.8 Units) after failing to cover the spread in 2 out of their last 3 games as the coach of ALABAMA.
The average score was ALABAMA 37.6, OPPONENT 15.5 - (Rating = 0*)
Saban is 38-20 ATS (+16.0 Units) off a no-cover where the team won as a favorite as the coach of ALABAMA.
The average score was ALABAMA 40.5, OPPONENT 14.9 - (Rating = 2*)
Saban is 13-2 ATS (+10.8 Units) off 2 no-covers where the team won as a favorite as the coach of ALABAMA.
The average score was ALABAMA 42.7, OPPONENT 14.9 - (Rating = 3*)
Saban is 96-70 ATS (+19.0 Units) after allowing 14 points or less last game in all games he has coached since 1992.
The average score was Saban 36.0, OPPONENT 17.0 - (Rating = 0*)
Saban is 16-7 ATS (+8.3 Units) in road games after leading their last 3 games by 10+ points at the half as the coach of ALABAMA.
The average score was ALABAMA 40.6, OPPONENT 16.3 - (Rating = 0*)
Saban is 65-52 ATS (+7.8 Units) after a win by 17 or more points as the coach of ALABAMA.
The average score was ALABAMA 39.6, OPPONENT 15.6 - (Rating = 0*)
Saban is 36-25 ATS (+8.5 Units) after leading their last 2 games by 14+ points at the half as the coach of ALABAMA.
The average score was ALABAMA 41.7, OPPONENT 15.5 - (Rating = 0*)
Saban is 37-23 ATS (+11.7 Units) after scoring 31 points or more in 3 straight games as the coach of ALABAMA.
The average score was ALABAMA 39.7, OPPONENT 14.9 - (Rating = 1*)
Saban is 22-10 ATS (+11.0 Units) after scoring 31 points or more in 5 straight games as the coach of ALABAMA.
The average score was ALABAMA 40.0, OPPONENT 14.6 - (Rating = 1*)
Saban is 44-31 ATS (+9.9 Units) after scoring 20 points or more in the first half in 2 straight games as the coach of ALABAMA.
The average score was ALABAMA 40.9, OPPONENT 16.5 - (Rating = 0*)
Saban is 44-32 ATS (+8.8 Units) after 1 or more consecutive losses against the spread as the coach of ALABAMA.
The average score was ALABAMA 37.8, OPPONENT 14.9 - (Rating = 0*)
Saban is 19-9 ATS (+9.1 Units) after 2 or more consecutive losses against the spread as the coach of ALABAMA.
The average score was ALABAMA 39.6, OPPONENT 14.1 - (Rating = 1*)
Saban is 87-70 ATS (+10.0 Units) after 1 or more consecutive straight up wins as the coach of ALABAMA.
The average score was ALABAMA 38.5, OPPONENT 15.1 - (Rating = 0*)
Saban is 75-60 ATS (+9.0 Units) after 2 or more consecutive straight up wins as the coach of ALABAMA.
The average score was ALABAMA 37.9, OPPONENT 15.8 - (Rating = 0*)
Saban is 68-45 ATS (+18.5 Units) after 3 or more consecutive straight up wins as the coach of ALABAMA.
The average score was ALABAMA 37.0, OPPONENT 14.8 - (Rating = 1*)
Saban is 55-41 ATS (+9.9 Units) after 4 or more consecutive straight up wins as the coach of ALABAMA.
The average score was ALABAMA 36.9, OPPONENT 14.9 - (Rating = 0*)
Saban is 49-33 ATS (+12.7 Units) after 5 or more consecutive straight up wins as the coach of ALABAMA.
The average score was ALABAMA 36.5, OPPONENT 14.8 - (Rating = 1*)
Saban is 41-28 ATS (+10.2 Units) after 6 or more consecutive straight up wins as the coach of ALABAMA.
The average score was ALABAMA 36.2, OPPONENT 14.6 - (Rating = 0*)
Saban is 49-31 ATS (+14.9 Units) after a game where they forced 1 or less turnovers as the coach of ALABAMA.
The average score was ALABAMA 37.1, OPPONENT 14.2 - (Rating = 1*)
Saban is 33-20 ATS (+11.0 Units) after 3 consecutive game where they committed 1 or less turnovers as the coach of ALABAMA.
The average score was ALABAMA 38.8, OPPONENT 13.2 - (Rating = 1*)
Saban is 34-22 ATS (+9.8 Units) after gaining 475 or more total yards/game over their last 3 games as the coach of ALABAMA.
The average score was ALABAMA 40.6, OPPONENT 15.5 - (Rating = 0*)
Saban is 64-42 ATS (+17.8 Units) after gaining 6.25 or more yards/play in their previous game as the coach of ALABAMA.
The average score was ALABAMA 40.6, OPPONENT 15.1 - (Rating = 1*)
Saban is 44-28 ATS (+13.2 Units) after gaining 6.25 or more yards/play in 2 consecutive games as the coach of ALABAMA.
The average score was ALABAMA 40.6, OPPONENT 15.8 - (Rating = 1*)
Saban is 52-30 ATS (+19.0 Units) after gaining 6.75 or more yards/play in their previous game as the coach of ALABAMA.
The average score was ALABAMA 41.6, OPPONENT 15.1 - (Rating = 2*)
Saban is 32-15 ATS (+15.5 Units) after gaining 6.75 or more yards/play in 2 consecutive games as the coach of ALABAMA.
The average score was ALABAMA 41.5, OPPONENT 15.1 - (Rating = 2*)
Saban is 40-22 ATS (+15.8 Units) after gaining 7.25 or more yards/play in their previous game as the coach of ALABAMA.
The average score was ALABAMA 42.4, OPPONENT 14.9 - (Rating = 2*)
Saban is 21-8 ATS (+12.2 Units) after gaining 7.25 or more yards/play in 2 consecutive games as the coach of ALABAMA.
The average score was ALABAMA 44.0, OPPONENT 15.9 - (Rating = 2*)
Saban is 19-8 ATS (+10.2 Units) in road games vs. poor passing defenses - allowing a comp. pct. of 58% or worse as the coach of ALABAMA.
The average score was ALABAMA 40.3, OPPONENT 16.4 - (Rating = 1*)
Saban is 13-5 ATS (+7.5 Units) against teams with a turnover margin of +1 per game or better as the coach of ALABAMA.
The average score was ALABAMA 30.1, OPPONENT 11.4 - (Rating = 0*)

StatFox Coaching Situational Power Trends favoring the OVER against the total
There are 19 trends with a total rating of 19 stars.
Saban is 23-10 OVER (+12.0 Units) as a neutral field favorite as the coach of ALABAMA.
The average score was ALABAMA 35.4, OPPONENT 20.2 - (Rating = 2*)
Saban is 18-8 OVER (+9.2 Units) in road games after playing a non-conference game as the coach of ALABAMA.
The average score was ALABAMA 37.8, OPPONENT 21.9 - (Rating = 1*)
Saban is 24-13 OVER (+9.7 Units) in games played on a neutral field as the coach of ALABAMA.
The average score was ALABAMA 34.3, OPPONENT 20.1 - (Rating = 1*)
Saban is 29-10 OVER (+18.0 Units) in road games off 1 or more consecutive unders as the coach of ALABAMA.
The average score was ALABAMA 35.0, OPPONENT 20.7 - (Rating = 3*)
Saban is 19-10 OVER (+8.0 Units) in road games after having won 8 or more out of their last 10 games as the coach of ALABAMA.
The average score was ALABAMA 32.6, OPPONENT 23.9 - (Rating = 0*)
Saban is 34-23 OVER (+8.7 Units) off a no-cover where the team won as a favorite as the coach of ALABAMA.
The average score was ALABAMA 40.5, OPPONENT 14.9 - (Rating = 0*)
Saban is 61-45 OVER (+11.5 Units) after allowing 14 points or less last game as the coach of ALABAMA.
The average score was ALABAMA 38.9, OPPONENT 15.4 - (Rating = 1*)
Saban is 36-19 OVER (+15.1 Units) in road games after a win by 17 or more points as the coach of ALABAMA.
The average score was ALABAMA 38.2, OPPONENT 19.9 - (Rating = 2*)
Saban is 20-10 OVER (+9.0 Units) in road games after leading their last 2 games by 14+ points at the half as the coach of ALABAMA.
The average score was ALABAMA 43.6, OPPONENT 18.5 - (Rating = 1*)
Saban is 45-26 OVER (+16.4 Units) in road games after 1 or more consecutive straight up wins as the coach of ALABAMA.
The average score was ALABAMA 37.0, OPPONENT 19.1 - (Rating = 1*)
Saban is 41-23 OVER (+15.7 Units) in road games after 2 or more consecutive straight up wins as the coach of ALABAMA.
The average score was ALABAMA 37.4, OPPONENT 19.2 - (Rating = 1*)
Saban is 21-8 OVER (+12.2 Units) in road games after a game where they committed no turnovers as the coach of ALABAMA.
The average score was ALABAMA 33.9, OPPONENT 20.2 - (Rating = 2*)
Saban is 41-20 OVER (+19.0 Units) in road games after a game where they committed 1 or less turnovers as the coach of ALABAMA.
The average score was ALABAMA 36.7, OPPONENT 20.4 - (Rating = 2*)
Saban is 29-15 OVER (+12.5 Units) in road games after 2 consecutive game where they committed 1 or less turnovers as the coach of ALABAMA.
The average score was ALABAMA 38.7, OPPONENT 18.6 - (Rating = 1*)
Saban is 19-8 OVER (+10.2 Units) in road games after 2 consecutive games with a turnover margin of +1 or better as the coach of ALABAMA.
The average score was ALABAMA 37.6, OPPONENT 20.1 - (Rating = 1*)
Saban is 31-20 OVER (+9.0 Units) in road games after gaining 6.25 or more yards/play in their previous game as the coach of ALABAMA.
The average score was ALABAMA 38.8, OPPONENT 19.2 - (Rating = 0*)
Saban is 46-33 OVER (+9.7 Units) after gaining 6.75 or more yards/play in their previous game as the coach of ALABAMA.
The average score was ALABAMA 41.6, OPPONENT 15.1 - (Rating = 0*)
Saban is 35-24 OVER (+8.6 Units) after gaining 7.25 or more yards/play in their previous game as the coach of ALABAMA.
The average score was ALABAMA 42.4, OPPONENT 14.9 - (Rating = 0*)
Saban is 32-20 OVER (+10.0 Units) in road games vs. good passing teams with a completion pct. of 58% or better. as the coach of ALABAMA.
The average score was ALABAMA 34.6, OPPONENT 19.6 - (Rating = 0*)

StatFox Coaching Situational Power Trends favoring the UNDER against the total
There are 2 trends with a total rating of 1 stars.
Saban is 26-16 UNDER (+8.4 Units) vs. poor kickoff return teams, less than 19 yards per return as the coach of ALABAMA.
The average score was ALABAMA 31.8, OPPONENT 15.0 - (Rating = 0*)
Saban is 34-19 UNDER (+13.1 Units) versus good rushing teams - averaging >=200 rushing yards/game as the coach of ALABAMA.
The average score was ALABAMA 30.8, OPPONENT 17.9 - (Rating = 1*)

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STATFOX LINE TRACKER™
Line Movement Analysis not posted for neutral field games.

Here is a summary of past over/under results in games where the total movement was similar to:
Opening Total = 75.5, Closing Total = 75
Since 1992, 12 games went over the total, while 10 games went under the total.
Over the last 3 seasons, 1 games went over the total, while 1 games went under the total.

STATFOX MONEY TRACKER™
As indicated by the movement of the line, the betting public is favoring ALABAMA in this game
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in OHIO ST games 50.5% of the time since 1992. (157-154)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in OHIO ST games 50% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (14-14)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in ALABAMA games 52.1% of the time since 1992. (170-156)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in ALABAMA games 50% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (17-17)
No Edge.
 
As indicated by the movement of the total, the betting public is favoring the UNDER in this game
The betting public is correct when moving the total in OHIO ST games 58.3% of the time since 1992. (165-118)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in OHIO ST games 74.2% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (23-8)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in ALABAMA games 45.5% of the time since 1992. (117-140)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in ALABAMA games 51.4% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (18-17)
Edge=Under
KEY PLAYER INJURIES
OHIO ST
[RB] 01/09/2021 - Miyan Williams is OUT Monday vs Alabama ( Undisclosed )
[QB] 01/04/2021 - Justin Fields is probable Monday vs Alabama ( Undisclosed )
[WR] 01/02/2021 - Cameron Brown is "?" Monday vs Alabama ( Undisclosed )
[WR] 01/02/2021 - Jaylen Harris is "?" Monday vs Alabama ( Undisclosed )
[DE] 01/02/2021 - Tyler Friday is "?" Monday vs Alabama ( Undisclosed )
[DT] 01/02/2021 - Zaid Hamdan is "?" Monday vs Alabama ( Undisclosed )
[LB] 01/02/2021 - Cade Kacherski is "?" Monday vs Alabama ( Undisclosed )
[S] 01/02/2021 - Kourt Williams is "?" Monday vs Alabama ( Undisclosed )
[DL] 01/02/2021 - Jacolbe Cowan is "?" Monday vs Alabama ( Undisclosed )
[OL] 01/02/2021 - Harry Miller is "?" Monday vs Alabama ( Undisclosed )
[RB] 01/02/2021 - Master Teague is "?" Monday vs Alabama ( Undisclosed )
[DE] 01/02/2021 - Zach Harrison is "?" Monday vs Alabama ( Undisclosed )
[OL] 01/02/2021 - Josh Fryar is "?" Monday vs Alabama ( Undisclosed )
[TE] 01/02/2021 - Joe Royer is "?" Monday vs Alabama ( Undisclosed )
[OL] 01/02/2021 - Grant Toutant is "?" Monday vs Alabama ( Undisclosed )
[OL] 01/02/2021 - Enokk Vimahi is "?" Monday vs Alabama ( Undisclosed )
[LB] 01/02/2021 - Craig Young is "?" Monday vs Alabama ( Undisclosed )
ALABAMA
[S] 01/10/2021 - Malachi Moore missed last game, is "?" Monday vs Ohio State ( Undisclosed )
[WR] 01/02/2021 - Jaylen Waddle is "?" Monday vs Ohio State ( Ankle )
[DL] 01/02/2021 - Labryan Ray is "?" Monday vs Ohio State ( Elbow )
[OL] 12/20/2020 - Landon Dickerson is out for season ( Knee )
[DE] 12/11/2020 - Ishmael Sopsher left the team ( Transferred )
[LB] 11/13/2020 - Kevin Harris II left the team ( Transferred )
[RB] 11/09/2020 - Trey Sanders is out for season ( Hip )

Last Updated: 6/21/2021 4:19:58 PM EST


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