MLB | ATS FoxSheet
Tuesday 6/8/2021Line$ LineOU LineScore
ATLANTA  SMYLY )
 
PHILADELPHIA  NOLA )
+1.5  -150

-1.5  +130
+145

-155

9un
 
9
Final
5

ATLANTA (28 - 29) at PHILADELPHIA (28 - 30)
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Tuesday, 6/8/2021 7:05 PM
DREW SMYLY (L) vs. AARON NOLA (R)
Board OpeningLatest
 LineTotalLineTotal
953ATLANTA+145Ov 8.5,+100+145Ov 9,-105
954PHILADELPHIA-155Un 8.5,-120-155Un 9,-115
STATFOX PLAYTRACKER™

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ATLANTA: He’s Here: RHP Charlie Morton, LHP Drew Smyly, RHP Carl Edwards Jr., SS Ehire Adrianza, 3B Jake Lamb, 2B Jason Kipnis, OF Guillermo Heredia, OF Phillip Ervin.
He’s Outta Here: OF Nick Markakis, OF Adam Duvall, INF Charlie Culberson, RHP Mike Foltynewicz, RHP Mark Melancon, C Tyler Flowers, RHP Shane Greene, RHP Darren O’Day, RHP Jhoulys Chacin, INF Adeiny Hechavarria, LHP Cole Hamels.
Projected Lineup: CF Ronald Acuña Jr. (.250, 14 HRs, 29 RBIs, 8 SBs), 2B Ozzie Albies (.271, 6, 19), 1B Freddie Freeman (.341, 13, 53, .462 OBP, NL MVP), LF Marcell Ozuna (.338, 18, 56, .431 OBP), C Travis d’Arnaud (.321, 9, 34), 3B Austin Riley (.239, 8, 27), SS Dansby Swanson (.274, 10, 35), CF Cristian Pache (.278, 11, 53 with Double-A Mississippi in 2019).
Rotation: LH Max Fried (7-0, 2.25 ERA), RH Charlie Morton (2-2, 4.74 with Rays; 3-1, 2.70 in postseason), RH Ian Anderson (3-2, 1.95), LH Drew Smyly (0-1, 3.42 with Giants), RH Kyle Wright (2-4, 5.21), RH Mike Soroka (0-1, 3.95, likely to begin season on injured list completing recovery from torn Achilles).
Key Relievers: LH Will Smith (2-2, 4.50, 7 HRs in 16 IP), RH Chris Martin (1-1, 1.00, 1 save), LH Tyler Matzek (4-3, 2.79, 43 Ks in 29 IP), LH A.J. Minter (1-1, 0.83), RH Luke Jackson (2-0, 6.84), RH Jacob Webb (0 ERs in 10 IP), RH Bryse Wilson (1-0, 4.02, 1 save).
Outlook: Even though the rest of the NL East bulked up, the Braves show no signs of slipping after winning three straight division titles. They finally won a postseason series — two of them, in fact — to break a drought going back to 2001. Then, the Braves came within one win of the World Series, taking a 3-1 lead in the NL Championship Series before the Dodgers rallied to win the last three games. That bitter disappointment only strengthened the Braves’ resolve; this season, it’s World Series or bust. Atlanta moved aggressively to bolster its thin rotation by signing veterans Morton and Smyly to one-year contracts. When Soroka (a 13-game winner and All-Star in 2019) is fully recovered, the rotation could be one of baseball’s best. Fried was fifth in NL Cy Young Award balloting, while Anderson also has the makings of a future ace after a stellar rookie campaign. The hitters are a dynamic group, as well, with MVP Freeman and Ozuna providing a powerful 1-2 punch in the middle of the lineup. If Acuña recaptures the form he showed in 2019, when he had 41 homers and 37 stolen bases, the Braves will have three of the game’s most feared offensive players. The only major question mark is the bullpen, where the Braves must find a replacement for Melancon’s 11 saves. No one in the current bullpen had more than one save in the pandemic-shortened 2020 campaign, though Smith is a former closer for the Giants.
PHILADELPHIA: He’s Here: RHP Archie Bradley, RHP Chase Anderson, LHP Matt Moore, LHP Jose Alvarado, RHP Sam Coonrod, INF C.J. Chatham, RHP Brandon Kintzler, OF Matt Joyce, LHP Tony Watson.
He’s Outta Here: OF Jay Bruce, RHP Jake Arrieta, RHP Brandon Workman, INF Phil Gosselin, RHP Heath Hembree, RHP David Phelps, RHP Blake Parker, LHP Adam Morgan, LHP Cole Irvin, OF Kyle Garlick, RHP Victor Arano.
Projected Lineup: LF Andrew McCutchen (.253, 10 HRs, 34 RBIs), 1B Rhys Hoskins (.245, 10, 26), RF Bryce Harper (.268, 13, 33, .420 OBP), C J.T. Realmuto (.266, 11, 32), SS Didi Gregorius (.284, 10, 40), 3B Alec Bohm (.338, 4, 23), SS Jean Segura (.266, 7, 25), CF Odubel Herrera (.222, 1, 16 in 2019) or Scott Kingery (.159, 3, 6).
Rotation: RH Aaron Nola (5-5, 3.28 ERA, 96 Ks in 71 1/3 IP), RH Zack Wheeler (4-2, 2.92), RH Zach Eflin (4-2, 3.97), RH Chase Anderson (1-2, 7.22 for Toronto), LH Matt Moore (6-3, 2.65 in Japan).
Key Relievers: RH Archie Bradley (2-0, 2.95, 6/7 saves for Arizona and Cincinnati), RH Hector Neris (2-2, 4.57, 5/8 saves), LH Jose Alvarado (0-0, 6.00), RH Brandon Kintzler (2-3, 2.22, 12/14 saves for Miami), LH Tony Watson (1-0, 2.50, 2 saves), RH Connor Brogdon (1-0, 3.97).
Outlook: Seeking their first winning season since 2011, the Phillies are determined to end a nine-year postseason drought. They have a strong offense that tied for fifth in scoring last season and returns everyone in the starting lineup. Harper, Realmuto and Gregorius anchor the middle of a deep batting order. Nola and Wheeler are a formidable 1-2 punch atop the rotation and Eflin is solid in the No. 3 spot. Anderson and Moore strengthen the back end with top prospect Spencer Howard providing depth. A dismal bullpen that had a 7.06 ERA is much improved with the additions of Bradley, Alvarado, Kintzler and Watson. Girardi hasn’t named a closer but has several options. If key players stay healthy, the offense lives up to expectations and the pitchers perform well, a return to October baseball is a realistic possibility. The Phillies will allow up to 8,800 fans to attend games at the start of the season.
BETTING TRENDS

One of the growing resources utilized by sports handicappers is the public betting information offered by a variety of sources. Leading the way in this is Sportsbook.com, who offers the data at its website in real-time. Boasting a giant sports bettor customer base, Sportsbook is able to present data that is accurately reflective of public sentiment. This beats other sources that may be mixing sharp AND public opinion, have a much smaller customer base, or simply presenting the opinions of contest players, not bettors. The Betting Trends from Sportsbook show what percentage of bets are on each side of the pointspread or total. The results can be especially valuable in high profile games.

This data can be used to profit from. When given the choice, most professional bettors would choose to be on the side of the "house", or that opposite of the betting public. Alternatively, others believe in the theory that there is "strength in numbers". Neither belief is foolproof, but if you follow these Betting Trends for long enough, you’ll surely form your own opinion.

ATLANTA (Money)

(27%)

OVER

(95%)
PHILADELPHIA (Money) (73%)UNDER (5%)
FOXSHEETS MEMBER CONSENSUS

ATLANTA

(0%)

PHILADELPHIA

(0%)

OVER

(0%)

UNDER

(0%)

Last Updated: 9/27/2021 7:46:04 AM EST

STATFOX VIEW

No current opinions available.

PREVIEW
STATFOX SUPER SITUATIONS™

There are no StatFox Super Situations which apply to this game.

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STATFOX GAME ESTIMATOR™
 Projection
TeamsPitchersScoreLineTotalEdge
ATLANTASMYLY5.1 +131  
PHILADELPHIANOLA5.9-13111.0Over
STATFOX POWERLINE™
 Power Line
TeamPitcherEstimateEdge
ATLANTASMYLY +137 
PHILADELPHIANOLA-137 
STATFOX MATCHUP POWER TRENDS™
StatFox Matchup Power Trends against similar type opponents favoring ATLANTA to win against the money line
There are 13 trends with a total rating of 7 stars.
ATLANTA is 29-12 (+14.6 Units) against the money line in road games vs. an NL team with a team batting average of .245 or worse over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was ATLANTA 5.6, OPPONENT 4.2 - (Rating = 0*)
ATLANTA is 36-17 (+15.9 Units) against the money line in road games vs. an NL team with a team batting average of .250 or worse over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was ATLANTA 5.3, OPPONENT 4.2 - (Rating = 0*)
ATLANTA is 45-24 (+18.4 Units) against the money line in road games vs. an NL team with a team batting average of .255 or worse over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was ATLANTA 5.3, OPPONENT 4.5 - (Rating = 1*)
ATLANTA is 29-11 (+15.2 Units) against the money line in road games vs. an NL team with an on base percentage .315 or worse over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was ATLANTA 5.6, OPPONENT 4.0 - (Rating = 1*)
ATLANTA is 46-24 (+19.6 Units) against the money line in road games vs. an NL team with an on base percentage .325 or worse over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was ATLANTA 5.1, OPPONENT 4.1 - (Rating = 1*)
ATLANTA is 24-8 (+13.6 Units) against the money line in road games with a team slugging percentage .390 or worse on the season (NL) over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was ATLANTA 5.6, OPPONENT 3.8 - (Rating = 1*)
ATLANTA is 26-9 (+14.5 Units) against the money line in road games with a team slugging percentage .400 or worse on the season (NL) over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was ATLANTA 5.3, OPPONENT 3.8 - (Rating = 1*)
ATLANTA is 75-53 (+19.3 Units) against the money line in road games vs. teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was ATLANTA 5.2, OPPONENT 4.7 - (Rating = 0*)
ATLANTA is 25-11 (+13.0 Units) against the money line vs. a starting pitcher with good control (less than 1.75 BB's/start) over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was ATLANTA 6.8, OPPONENT 4.4 - (Rating = 1*)
ATLANTA is 632-579 (+67.1 Units) against the money line vs. a starting pitcher whose strikes out 5 or more batters per start since 1997.
The average score was ATLANTA 4.3, OPPONENT 4.2 - (Rating = 0*)
ATLANTA is 565-487 (+74.6 Units) against the money line vs. an NL starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.250 or better since 1997.
The average score was ATLANTA 4.2, OPPONENT 4.0 - (Rating = 1*)
SMYLY is 7-0 (+8.3 Units) against the money line in road games vs. an NL team with an on base percentage .325 or worse since 1997. (Team's Record)
The average score was SMYLY 5.6, OPPONENT 2.7 - (Rating = 0*)
PHILADELPHIA is 51-74 (-27.4 Units) against the money line vs. a starting pitcher whose gives up 5.5 or less hits/start over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was PHILADELPHIA 4.4, OPPONENT 5.1 - (Rating = 0*)

StatFox Matchup Power Trends against similar type opponents favoring the OVER against the total
There are 3 trends with a total rating of 1 stars.
ATLANTA is 20-10 OVER (+8.9 Units) vs. an NL team with a team batting average of .245 or worse this season.
The average score was ATLANTA 5.7, OPPONENT 5.3 - (Rating = 1*)
PHILADELPHIA is 540-457 OVER (+49.9 Units) vs. an NL team with a team batting average of .250 or worse since 1997.
The average score was PHILADELPHIA 4.5, OPPONENT 4.4 - (Rating = 0*)
NOLA is 21-9 OVER (+11.1 Units) vs. NL teams scoring 4.5 or more runs/game on the season over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was NOLA 6.1, OPPONENT 4.8 - (Rating = 0*)

StatFox Matchup Power Trends against similar type opponents favoring the UNDER against the total
There are 2 trends with a total rating of 1 stars.
NOLA is 41-23 UNDER (+15.8 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record since 1997. (Team's Record)
The average score was NOLA 4.4, OPPONENT 3.7 - (Rating = 0*)
NOLA is 17-4 UNDER (+12.8 Units) in home games vs. an NL team with an on base percentage .315 or worse since 1997. (Team's Record)
The average score was NOLA 3.9, OPPONENT 2.4 - (Rating = 1*)

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STATFOX SITUATIONAL POWER TRENDS™
StatFox Situational Power Trends favoring ATLANTA to win against the money line
There are 12 trends with a total rating of 6 stars.
ATLANTA is 552-642 (+73.9 Units) against the money line as an underdog of +100 or higher since 1997.
The average score was ATLANTA 4.2, OPPONENT 4.7 - (Rating = 1*)
ATLANTA is 456-479 (+63.0 Units) against the money line as an underdog of +100 to +150 since 1997.
The average score was ATLANTA 4.4, OPPONENT 4.6 - (Rating = 1*)
ATLANTA is 219-267 (+43.4 Units) against the money line as an underdog of +125 to +175 since 1997.
The average score was ATLANTA 4.1, OPPONENT 4.5 - (Rating = 0*)
ATLANTA is 387-453 (+63.4 Units) against the money line as a road underdog of +100 or higher since 1997.
The average score was ATLANTA 4.4, OPPONENT 4.6 - (Rating = 1*)
ATLANTA is 307-325 (+45.5 Units) against the money line as a road underdog of +100 to +150 since 1997.
The average score was ATLANTA 4.6, OPPONENT 4.5 - (Rating = 0*)
ATLANTA is 171-203 (+40.1 Units) against the money line as a road underdog of +125 to +175 since 1997.
The average score was ATLANTA 4.3, OPPONENT 4.5 - (Rating = 0*)
SMYLY is 18-9 (+13.6 Units) against the money line in road games against division opponents since 1997. (Team's Record)
The average score was SMYLY 5.7, OPPONENT 3.2 - (Rating = 0*)
PHILADELPHIA is 4-11 (-7.8 Units) against the money line after having won 2 of their last 3 games this season.
The average score was PHILADELPHIA 3.3, OPPONENT 4.9 - (Rating = 0*)
PHILADELPHIA is 22-33 (-17.7 Units) against the money line after having won 3 of their last 4 games over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was PHILADELPHIA 4.1, OPPONENT 5.1 - (Rating = 1*)
PHILADELPHIA is 23-37 (-22.2 Units) against the money line after a win by 4 runs or more over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was PHILADELPHIA 4.0, OPPONENT 5.1 - (Rating = 1*)
PHILADELPHIA is 0-7 (-9.0 Units) against the money line after scoring 12 runs or more over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was PHILADELPHIA 3.7, OPPONENT 6.0 - (Rating = 0*)
PHILADELPHIA is 9-19 (-10.1 Units) against the money line after a win this season.
The average score was PHILADELPHIA 3.6, OPPONENT 4.6 - (Rating = 1*)

StatFox Situational Power Trends favoring PHILADELPHIA to win against the money line
There are 4 trends with a total rating of 2 stars.
ATLANTA is 16-25 (-15.0 Units) against the money line when playing with a day off over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was ATLANTA 4.6, OPPONENT 5.2 - (Rating = 1*)
SMYLY is 23-39 (-24.0 Units) against the money line in the first half of the season since 1997. (Team's Record)
The average score was SMYLY 4.5, OPPONENT 5.0 - (Rating = 0*)
PHILADELPHIA is 313-260 (+61.6 Units) against the money line revenging a loss where the team scored 1 run or less since 1997.
The average score was PHILADELPHIA 4.9, OPPONENT 4.5 - (Rating = 1*)
PHILADELPHIA is 483-472 (+37.1 Units) against the money line with double revenge - 2 straight losses against opponent since 1997.
The average score was PHILADELPHIA 4.5, OPPONENT 4.6 - (Rating = 0*)

StatFox Situational Power Trends favoring the OVER against the total
There are 4 trends with a total rating of 2 stars.
ATLANTA is 55-35 OVER (+16.6 Units) in night games over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was ATLANTA 5.7, OPPONENT 5.3 - (Rating = 1*)
ATLANTA is 22-11 OVER (+10.2 Units) after having won 3 of their last 4 games over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was ATLANTA 4.9, OPPONENT 5.6 - (Rating = 0*)
ATLANTA is 26-11 OVER (+14.1 Units) after 2 or more consecutive wins over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was ATLANTA 5.6, OPPONENT 5.9 - (Rating = 1*)
PHILADELPHIA is 27-15 OVER (+11.0 Units) after 2 or more consecutive home games over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was PHILADELPHIA 5.3, OPPONENT 5.3 - (Rating = 0*)

StatFox Situational Power Trends favoring the UNDER against the total
There are 2 trends with a total rating of 1 stars.
PHILADELPHIA is 98-65 UNDER (+26.6 Units) off 2 straight home wins against division rivals since 1997.
The average score was PHILADELPHIA 4.3, OPPONENT 4.1 - (Rating = 0*)
NOLA is 26-11 UNDER (+13.5 Units) as a favorite of -150 or more since 1997. (Team's Record)
The average score was NOLA 4.3, OPPONENT 2.7 - (Rating = 1*)

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ADVANCED TEAM STATS
ATLANTA - Current Season Performance
 Team RecordsTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsO-URunsAvgOBPSLGOPSRunsAvgOBPSLGOPS
All Games28-29-9.629-264.90.2340.3090.4290.7384.90.2430.3150.4080.722
Road Games11-12-1.510-134.30.2200.3020.3730.6754.90.2490.3350.4370.772
vs Right-handed Starters21-21-6.421-204.70.2260.3070.4150.7224.90.2490.3200.4110.731
Past 7 Games4-3+0.53-44.90.2370.3240.3710.6955.00.2090.2790.3180.597
Grass Games28-29-9.629-264.90.2340.3090.4290.7384.90.2430.3150.4080.722
Night Games19-19-6.723-155.40.2500.3260.4720.7985.10.2350.3030.4010.704
Division13-14-713-144.40.2100.2830.3910.6745.00.2490.3160.4070.723
ATLANTA - Team Hitting and Fielding Statistics
Team BattingTeam BattingTeam Fielding
 RunsAVGOBPGABH2B3BHRSLGRBIBBSOSBLOBGIDPERRDPOSB
All Games4.90.2340.309571863436917860.4292672035372236727363126
Road Games4.30.2200.30223750165283270.3739688213715016151411
Righty Starters4.70.2260.307421367309617610.4151911603941527919222115
ATLANTA - Bullpen Pitching Statistics
 ERAWHIPIPRERHHRBBSOW-LSVBSVPct.
All Games4.731.398205.312410819327942208-1412860%
Road Games5.191.59876.35044711451843-56275%

PHILADELPHIA - Current Season Performance
 Team RecordsTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsO-URunsAvgOBPSLGOPSRunsAvgOBPSLGOPS
All Games28-30-1.429-284.20.2360.3040.3840.6894.40.2430.3060.4170.724
Home Games17-11+615-134.40.2370.3100.3830.6933.90.2250.2860.3840.670
vs Left-handed Starters7-12-5.712-74.10.2400.3050.3980.7035.50.2750.3250.4710.796
Past 7 Games3-4-15-25.90.2590.3220.4440.7655.00.2420.3170.4230.740
Grass Games26-26+0.526-254.40.2410.3100.3920.7024.40.2440.3040.4220.726
Night Games17-21-3.718-204.30.2310.2990.3830.6824.40.2530.3130.4280.741
Division15-16+0.413-174.10.2300.2930.3590.6534.00.2390.3060.3940.700
PHILADELPHIA - Team Hitting and Fielding Statistics
Team BattingTeam BattingTeam Fielding
 RunsAVGOBPGABH2B3BHRSLGRBIBBSOSBLOBGIDPERRDPOSB
All Games4.20.2360.304581908450837620.3842351885823638734384024
Home Games4.40.2370.31028895212394280.383116952871518414191711
Lefty Starters4.10.2400.30519645155333210.398776021422134132196
PHILADELPHIA - Bullpen Pitching Statistics
 ERAWHIPIPRERHHRBBSOW-LSVBSVPct.
All Games4.491.373192.310996182278219314-1014960.9%
Home Games4.811.34697.356529016411099-37370%
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SCHEDULE AND RESULTS
ATLANTA - Schedule
 Team StatsOpp Stats
DateTeam StarterOpponentOpp StarterScoreW/LLineTot.O/UHLOBEHLOBE
5/25/2021MORTON(R)@ BOSTONRICHARDS(R)3-1W-10510 evU8101350
5/26/2021SMYLY(L)@ BOSTONPIVETTA(R)5-9L12511 unO961730
5/29/2021ANDERSON(R)@ NY METSWALKER(R)2-13L-1406.5 ovO5521350
5/31/2021MORTON(R)WASHINGTONROSS(R)5-3W-1958.5 ovU662770
6/1/2021FRIED(L)WASHINGTONSTRASBURG(R)6-11L-1359 unO8801471
6/2/2021SMYLY(L)WASHINGTONLESTER(L)3-5L-15010 unU771961
6/3/2021DAVIDSON(L)WASHINGTONCORBIN(L)5-1W-13010 evU751481
6/4/2021ANDERSON(R)LA DODGERSURIAS(L)5-9L+1258.5 ovO771441
6/5/2021MORTON(R)LA DODGERSKERSHAW(L)6-4W+1158 evO1164570
6/6/2021FRIED(L)LA DODGERSBAUER(R)4-2W+1258.5 unU790750
6/8/2021SMYLY(L)@ PHILADELPHIANOLA(R) 
6/9/2021DAVIDSON(L)@ PHILADELPHIAEFLIN(R) 
6/10/2021ANDERSON(R)@ PHILADELPHIAWHEELER(R) 
6/11/2021MORTON(R)@ MIAMIALCANTARA(R) 
6/12/2021FRIED(L)@ MIAMITHOMPSON(R) 
6/13/2021SMYLY(L)@ MIAMILOPEZ(R) 
6/15/2021 BOSTON  

PHILADELPHIA - Schedule
 Team StatsOpp Stats
DateTeam StarterOpponentOpp StarterScoreW/LLineTot.O/UHLOBEHLOBE
5/25/2021VELASQUEZ(R)@ MIAMIALCANTARA(R)2-0W1307 unU200560
5/26/2021NOLA(R)@ MIAMINEIDERT(R)2-4L-1557 ovU590781
5/27/2021HOWARD(R)@ MIAMILOPEZ(R)3-2W1307 unU650460
5/29/2021WHEELER(R)@ TAMPA BAYYARBROUGH(L)3-5L1107 ovO560662
5/30/2021EFLIN(R)@ TAMPA BAYMCHUGH(R)2-6L1307.5 evO1081950
5/31/2021VELASQUEZ(R)@ CINCINNATIMILEY(L)1-11L-1058.5 ovO81011150
6/1/2021NOLA(R)@ CINCINNATIGRAY(R)17-3W1007.5 ovO1870941
6/4/2021WHEELER(R)WASHINGTONSCHERZER(R)1-2L+1007 unU640640
6/5/2021HOWARD(R)WASHINGTONROSS(R)5-2W-12010 ovU6434101
6/6/2021VELASQUEZ(R)WASHINGTONVOTH(R)12-6W-1209.5 ovO9411081
6/8/2021NOLA(R)ATLANTASMYLY(L) 
6/9/2021EFLIN(R)ATLANTADAVIDSON(L) 
6/10/2021WHEELER(R)ATLANTAANDERSON(R) 
6/12/2021HOWARD(R)NY YANKEESTAILLON(R) 
6/13/2021VELASQUEZ(R)NY YANKEESGERMAN(R) 
6/14/2021NOLA(R)@ LA DODGERSGONSOLIN(R) 
6/15/2021 @ LA DODGERS  
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STARTING PITCHER PERFORMANCE
DREW SMYLY recent results and season statistics
DREW SMYLY - Season Statistics in Games Started
 Starter StatisticsTeam Records
 ERAWHIPW-LGIPIP/SRERHHRBBSOW-LUnitsO-U
All Starts5.981.3722-3946.75.23631481416432-7-7.66-2
Road Starts4.941.2812-2527.35.5191524611232-3-0.84-1
Last 3 Starts7.471.4050-1315.75.213131854170-3-4.42-1
DREW SMYLY - Recent Starts
DateOpponentScoreLine TotalResultDecIPRERHHRBBSOOpp Starter
6/2/2021WASHINGTON3-5-15010Loss,Under 4.3337126LESTER(L)
5/26/2021at BOSTON5-9+12511Loss,OverL5.3775214PIVETTA(R)
5/20/2021PITTSBURGH4-6-1959Loss,Over 6336217CROWE(R)

AARON NOLA recent results and season statistics
AARON NOLA - Season Statistics in Games Started
 Starter StatisticsTeam Records
 ERAWHIPW-LGIPIP/SRERHHRBBSOW-LUnitsO-U
All Starts3.841.1664-41270.35.9313067815786-6-1.56-6
Home Starts2.351.0112-1530.76.1982625404-1+2.63-2
Last 3 Starts4.501.4371-13165.3981726171-2-22-1
AARON NOLA - Recent Starts
DateOpponentScoreLine TotalResultDecIPRERHHRBBSOOpp Starter
6/1/2021at CINCINNATI17-3+1007.5Win,OverW5338122GRAY(R)
5/26/2021at MIAMI2-4-1557Loss,Under 6112036NEIDERT(R)
5/21/2021BOSTON3-11-1458.5Loss,OverL5547119PEREZ(L)
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HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORY
Games over the last 3 seasons
PHILADELPHIA is 20-18 (+4.3 Units) against ATLANTA over the last 3 seasons
24 of 37 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+9.5 Units)
Games this season
PHILADELPHIA is 5-4 (+1.9 Units) against ATLANTA this season
5 of 9 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+0.6 Units)

All games at PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
PHILADELPHIA is 13-7 (+6.4 Units) against ATLANTA over the last 3 seasons
12 of 19 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+4.1 Units)
Games played at PHILADELPHIA this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 3-0 (+3.1 Units) against ATLANTA this season
3 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+3.1 Units)

 Team StatsStarting Pitcher Stats
DateTeamsScoreLineTotalResultHHRSBLOBERRStarterW/LIPERHBB
5/9/2021PHILADELPHIA1-105 Under61160NOLA(R)L4551
 ATLANTA6-1058 unWin92121YNOA(R)W6141
5/8/2021PHILADELPHIA7+145 Over1110111VELASQUEZ(R) 5.3123
 ATLANTA8-1559 unWin920163ANDERSON(R) 6363
5/7/2021PHILADELPHIA12+135  1620100EFLIN(R)W6.7251
 ATLANTA2-1458 evOver51030MORTON(R)L0.7042
4/11/2021PHILADELPHIA7+150  83110MOORE(L) 5590
 ATLANTA6-1609.5 unOver103050SMYLY(L) 5550
4/10/2021PHILADELPHIA4+125 Over62041EFLIN(R) 6471
 ATLANTA5-1358 ovWin91060ANDERSON(R) 5.3451
4/9/2021PHILADELPHIA1+110 Over60062WHEELER(R)L4.7374
 ATLANTA8-1207.5 ovWin113080MORTON(R)W6141
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PITCHER vs. TEAM HISTORY
DREW SMYLY vs. PHILADELPHIA since 1997
SMYLY is 0-0 when starting against PHILADELPHIA with an ERA of 9.00 and a WHIP of 1.000.
His team's record is 0-1 (-1.6 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 0-1. (-1.2 units)
DREW SMYLY recent starts vs. PHILADELPHIA
DateOpponentScoreLine TotalResultDecIPRERHHRBBSOOpp Starter
4/11/2021PHILADELPHIA6-7-1609.5Loss,Over 5555203MOORE(L)

AARON NOLA vs. ATLANTA since 1997
NOLA is 11-7 when starting against ATLANTA with an ERA of 3.27 and a WHIP of 1.158.
His team's record is 13-9 (+1.8 units) in these starts. The OVER is 12-10. (+0.9 units)
AARON NOLA recent starts vs. ATLANTA
DateOpponentScoreLine TotalResultDecIPRERHHRBBSOOpp Starter
5/9/2021at ATLANTA1-6-1058Loss,UnderL4555214YNOA(R)
4/1/2021ATLANTA3-2-1207Win,Under 6.7226106FRIED(L)
8/21/2020at ATLANTA2-11+1058Loss,OverL2.7446233FRIED(L)
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UMPIRE STATS
Scheduled Home Plate Umpire:
There is no historical information available for
STATFOX LINE TRACKER™
Here is a summary of past results against the money line in games where the line movement was similar to:
Opening Money Line: Home=-155 (Road=+145), Closing Money Line: Home=-155 (Road=+145)
Since 1997, the home team won the game 1343 times, while the road team won straight up 943 times. (Home=-116 units, Road=+21.7 units) No Edge.
Over the last 3 seasons, the home team won the game 68 times, while the road team won straight up 63 times. (Home=-29.3 units, Road=+23 units) No Edge.

Here is a summary of past over/under results in games where the total movement was similar to:
Opening Total = 8.5, Closing Total = 9
Since 1997, 658 games went over the total, while 657 games went under the total. (Over=-37.1 units, Under=-94.9 units)
Over the last 3 seasons, 77 games went under the total, while 68 games went over the total. (Over=-15.2 units, Under=+0.7 units)

Here is a summary of past Money Line and Over/Under results in games where the closing line and closing total were similar to:
Closing Money Line: Home=-155 (Road=+145), Closing Total = 9
Since 1997, the home team won the game 528 times, while the road team won straight up 404 times. (Home=-94.3 units, Road=+53.9 units) No Edge.
Over the last 3 seasons, the home team won the game 47 times, while the road team won straight up 29 times. (Home=+2.4 units, Road=-5.3 units) No Edge.
Since 1997, 412 games went over the total, while 408 games went under the total. (Over=-26.4 units, Under=-54.3 units)
Over the last 3 seasons, 38 games went over the total, while 30 games went under the total. (Over=+4.7 units, Under=-11.9 units)
STATFOX MONEY TRACKER™
As indicated by the movement of the line, the betting public is favoring Nobody in this game.
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in ATLANTA games 52.9% of the time since 1997. (1738-1549, +30.9 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in ATLANTA games 56.7% of the time over the last 3 seasons. (153-117, +16.2 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in PHILADELPHIA games 51.7% of the time since 1997. (1672-1564, -62.1 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in PHILADELPHIA games 54% of the time over the last 3 seasons. (134-114, +2.2 units)
No Edge.
 
The betting public is favoring the OVER in this game.
The betting public is correct when moving the total in ATLANTA games 50.4% of the time since 1997. (1389-1368, -157.4 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in ATLANTA games 49.4% of the time over the last 3 seasons. (129-132, -15.8 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in PHILADELPHIA games 49.9% of the time since 1997. (1365-1368, -196.7 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in PHILADELPHIA games 48.6% of the time over the last 3 seasons. (121-128, -20.1 units)
No Edge.
STATFOX MANAGER TRENDS™
StatFox Manager Situational Power Trends favoring ATLANTA to win against the money line
There are 39 trends with a total rating of 40 stars.
SNITKER is 173-197 (+46.0 Units) against the money line as an underdog of +100 or higher as the manager of ATLANTA.
The average score was ATLANTA 4.4, OPPONENT 4.9 - (Rating = 1*)
SNITKER is 78-85 (+28.0 Units) against the money line as an underdog of +125 to +175 as the manager of ATLANTA.
The average score was ATLANTA 4.2, OPPONENT 4.7 - (Rating = 0*)
SNITKER is 114-129 (+36.2 Units) against the money line as a road underdog of +100 or higher as the manager of ATLANTA.
The average score was ATLANTA 4.6, OPPONENT 4.8 - (Rating = 1*)
SNITKER is 75-75 (+16.6 Units) against the money line as a road underdog of +100 to +150 as the manager of ATLANTA.
The average score was ATLANTA 4.8, OPPONENT 4.6 - (Rating = 1*)
SNITKER is 55-61 (+18.5 Units) against the money line as a road underdog of +125 to +175 as the manager of ATLANTA.
The average score was ATLANTA 4.4, OPPONENT 4.9 - (Rating = 1*)
SNITKER is 187-175 (+48.9 Units) against the money line in road games as the manager of ATLANTA.
The average score was ATLANTA 4.7, OPPONENT 4.6 - (Rating = 1*)
SNITKER is 54-44 (+17.3 Units) against the money line on the road when the total is 9 to 9.5 as the manager of ATLANTA.
The average score was ATLANTA 5.3, OPPONENT 4.7 - (Rating = 1*)
SNITKER is 87-74 (+30.4 Units) against the money line in road games in the first half of the season as the manager of ATLANTA.
The average score was ATLANTA 4.7, OPPONENT 4.4 - (Rating = 2*)
SNITKER is 65-50 (+22.1 Units) against the money line in June games as the manager of ATLANTA.
The average score was ATLANTA 5.1, OPPONENT 4.7 - (Rating = 1*)
SNITKER is 199-155 (+46.8 Units) against the money line against division opponents as the manager of ATLANTA.
The average score was ATLANTA 5.0, OPPONENT 4.3 - (Rating = 1*)
SNITKER is 130-122 (+34.6 Units) against the money line in road games in night games as the manager of ATLANTA.
The average score was ATLANTA 4.7, OPPONENT 4.6 - (Rating = 1*)
SNITKER is 146-131 (+44.0 Units) against the money line in road games against right-handed starters as the manager of ATLANTA.
The average score was ATLANTA 4.7, OPPONENT 4.4 - (Rating = 1*)
SNITKER is 45-39 (+15.8 Units) against the money line in road games after a win by 2 runs or less as the manager of ATLANTA.
The average score was ATLANTA 4.7, OPPONENT 4.9 - (Rating = 1*)
SNITKER is 34-20 (+22.9 Units) against the money line in road games after 2 or more consecutive home games as the manager of ATLANTA.
The average score was ATLANTA 5.0, OPPONENT 4.2 - (Rating = 2*)
SNITKER is 32-20 (+20.3 Units) against the money line in road games after 3 or more consecutive home games as the manager of ATLANTA.
The average score was ATLANTA 5.1, OPPONENT 4.3 - (Rating = 2*)
SNITKER is 30-19 (+18.9 Units) against the money line in road games after 4 or more consecutive home games as the manager of ATLANTA.
The average score was ATLANTA 5.2, OPPONENT 4.3 - (Rating = 2*)
SNITKER is 30-18 (+19.9 Units) against the money line in road games after 5 or more consecutive home games as the manager of ATLANTA.
The average score was ATLANTA 5.2, OPPONENT 4.3 - (Rating = 2*)
SNITKER is 66-47 (+24.2 Units) against the money line after 6 or more consecutive home games as the manager of ATLANTA.
The average score was ATLANTA 4.9, OPPONENT 4.3 - (Rating = 1*)
SNITKER is 100-89 (+26.9 Units) against the money line in road games after a win as the manager of ATLANTA.
The average score was ATLANTA 4.7, OPPONENT 4.8 - (Rating = 0*)
SNITKER is 57-45 (+23.1 Units) against the money line in road games after 2 or more consecutive wins as the manager of ATLANTA.
The average score was ATLANTA 4.5, OPPONENT 4.4 - (Rating = 2*)
SNITKER is 163-110 (+47.9 Units) against the money line vs. an NL team with a team batting average of .245 or worse as the manager of ATLANTA.
The average score was ATLANTA 4.9, OPPONENT 4.1 - (Rating = 1*)
SNITKER is 96-75 (+30.5 Units) against the money line in road games vs. an NL team with a team batting average of .250 or worse as the manager of ATLANTA.
The average score was ATLANTA 4.5, OPPONENT 4.0 - (Rating = 1*)
SNITKER is 114-92 (+36.4 Units) against the money line in road games vs. an NL team with a team batting average of .255 or worse as the manager of ATLANTA.
The average score was ATLANTA 4.7, OPPONENT 4.3 - (Rating = 1*)
SNITKER is 151-130 (+38.5 Units) against the money line in road games vs. an overused bullpen that pitches more than 3.2 innings per game as the manager of ATLANTA.
The average score was ATLANTA 4.7, OPPONENT 4.4 - (Rating = 1*)
SNITKER is 48-38 (+18.1 Units) against the money line in road games vs. a bad bullpen that blows 38% or more of their save opportunities as the manager of ATLANTA.
The average score was ATLANTA 5.0, OPPONENT 4.3 - (Rating = 1*)
SNITKER is 196-150 (+55.6 Units) against the money line vs. teams averaging 2.75 or less extra base hits per game as the manager of ATLANTA.
The average score was ATLANTA 4.8, OPPONENT 4.5 - (Rating = 1*)
SNITKER is 108-94 (+27.8 Units) against the money line in road games vs teams who strand 6.9 or less runners on base per game as the manager of ATLANTA.
The average score was ATLANTA 4.7, OPPONENT 4.4 - (Rating = 1*)
SNITKER is 76-56 (+24.6 Units) against the money line in road games vs. an NL team with an on base percentage .315 or worse as the manager of ATLANTA.
The average score was ATLANTA 4.6, OPPONENT 4.0 - (Rating = 1*)
SNITKER is 118-96 (+35.5 Units) against the money line in road games vs. an NL team with an on base percentage .325 or worse as the manager of ATLANTA.
The average score was ATLANTA 4.7, OPPONENT 4.2 - (Rating = 1*)
SNITKER is 112-104 (+27.7 Units) against the money line in road games vs. good defensive catchers - allowing 0.5 or less SB's/game as the manager of ATLANTA.
The average score was ATLANTA 4.8, OPPONENT 4.8 - (Rating = 1*)
SNITKER is 164-122 (+49.2 Units) against the money line with a team slugging percentage .390 or worse on the season (NL) as the manager of ATLANTA.
The average score was ATLANTA 4.9, OPPONENT 4.4 - (Rating = 1*)
SNITKER is 191-148 (+46.0 Units) against the money line with a team slugging percentage .400 or worse on the season (NL) as the manager of ATLANTA.
The average score was ATLANTA 4.7, OPPONENT 4.3 - (Rating = 1*)
SNITKER is 377-329 (+56.5 Units) against the money line vs. teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game as the manager of ATLANTA.
The average score was ATLANTA 4.8, OPPONENT 4.6 - (Rating = 0*)
SNITKER is 148-125 (+43.0 Units) against the money line vs. a starting pitcher with good control (less than 1.75 BB's/start) as the manager of ATLANTA.
The average score was ATLANTA 4.8, OPPONENT 4.6 - (Rating = 1*)
SNITKER is 166-156 (+42.5 Units) against the money line vs. a starting pitcher whose strikes out 5 or more batters per start as the manager of ATLANTA.
The average score was ATLANTA 4.7, OPPONENT 4.6 - (Rating = 1*)
SNITKER is 136-119 (+44.1 Units) against the money line vs. an NL starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.250 or better as the manager of ATLANTA.
The average score was ATLANTA 4.7, OPPONENT 4.5 - (Rating = 1*)
GIRARDI is 285-268 (-57.5 Units) against the money line after having won 3 of their last 4 games in all games he has managed since 1997.
The average score was GIRARDI 4.7, OPPONENT 4.5 - (Rating = 1*)
GIRARDI is 0-7 (-9.0 Units) against the money line after scoring 12 runs or more as the manager of PHILADELPHIA.
The average score was PHILADELPHIA 3.7, OPPONENT 6.0 - (Rating = 0*)
GIRARDI is 121-123 (-35.7 Units) against the money line after a game with a combined score of 15 runs or more in all games he has managed since 1997.
The average score was GIRARDI 4.7, OPPONENT 4.5 - (Rating = 0*)

StatFox Manager Situational Power Trends favoring the OVER against the total
There are 3 trends with a total rating of 1 stars.
SNITKER is 82-65 OVER (+11.5 Units) as a road underdog of +100 to +150 as the manager of ATLANTA.
The average score was ATLANTA 4.8, OPPONENT 4.6 - (Rating = 0*)
SNITKER is 90-66 OVER (+18.0 Units) in road games vs. a starting pitcher whose strikes out 5 or more batters per start as the manager of ATLANTA.
The average score was ATLANTA 4.8, OPPONENT 4.7 - (Rating = 1*)
GIRARDI is 27-15 OVER (+11.0 Units) after 2 or more consecutive home games as the manager of PHILADELPHIA.
The average score was PHILADELPHIA 5.3, OPPONENT 5.3 - (Rating = 0*)

View Expanded DetailsGo to Top
KEY PLAYER INJURIES
ATLANTA
[P] 06/07/2021 - Grant Dayton 10-day IL (06/05) ( Shoulder )
[LF] 06/01/2021 - Marcell Ozuna is out indefinitely ( Legal problems )
[P] 05/31/2021 - Huascar Ynoa 60-day IL (05/31) ( Hand )
[P] 05/28/2021 - Mike Soroka is out for season ( Achilles )
[C] 05/02/2021 - Travis d'Arnaud 60-day IL (05/02) ( Thumb )
[C] 05/02/2021 - Alex Jackson 10-day IL (05/02) ( Hamstring )
[P] 03/31/2021 - Touki Toussaint 60-day IL (03/27) ( Shoulder )
PHILADELPHIA
[P] 06/08/2021 - Brandon Kintzler 10-day IL (06/07) ( Neck )
[P] 06/07/2021 - Chase Anderson 10-day IL (06/06) ( Undisclosed )
[P] 06/07/2021 - David Hale 10-day IL (06/06) ( Undisclosed )
[CF] 05/31/2021 - Roman Quinn is out for season ( Achilles )
[P] 05/18/2021 - JoJo Romero 60-day IL (05/06) ( Elbow )
[SS] 05/18/2021 - Didi Gregorius 10-day IL (05/14) ( Elbow )
[CF] 04/14/2021 - Adam Haseley is out indefinitely ( Personal )
[P] 03/31/2021 - Seranthony Dominguez 60-day IL (02/17) ( Elbow )

Last Updated: 9/27/2021 7:46:04 AM EST


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