MLB | ATS FoxSheet
Friday 7/31/2020Line$ LineOU LineScore
PITTSBURGH  WILLIAMS )
 
CHICAGO CUBS  DARVISH )
+1.5  -120

-1.5  +100
+185

-200

8.5ev
 
3
Final
6

PITTSBURGH (2 - 4) at CHICAGO CUBS (4 - 2)
View Previous GameView Next Game
Friday, 7/31/2020 8:15 PM
TREVOR WILLIAMS (R) vs. YU DARVISH (R)
Board OpeningLatest
 LineTotalLineTotal
921PITTSBURGH+155Ov 8.5,-125+185Ov 8.5,-110
922CHICAGO CUBS-165Un 8.5,+105-200Un 8.5,-110
STATFOX PLAYTRACKER™

Your Money Line Selection:

CHICAGO CUBS -165, 1 units

Your Over-Under Selection:

No Selection

Comments:

 

BETTING TRENDS

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This data can be used to profit from. When given the choice, most professional bettors would choose to be on the side of the "house", or that opposite of the betting public. Alternatively, others believe in the theory that there is "strength in numbers". Neither belief is foolproof, but if you follow these Betting Trends for long enough, you’ll surely form your own opinion.

PITTSBURGH (Money)

(41%)

OVER

(51%)
CHICAGO CUBS (Money) (59%)UNDER (49%)
FOXSHEETS MEMBER CONSENSUS

PITTSBURGH

(0%)

CHICAGO CUBS

(100%)

OVER

(0%)

UNDER

(0%)

Last Updated: 11/30/2020 4:24:46 AM EST

STATFOX VIEW

No current opinions available.

PREVIEW
Cubs, Pirates open three-game set in Chicago
 

A pair of veteran starting pitchers will try to bounce back from shaky season debuts when the Chicago Cubs host the Pittsburgh Pirates on Friday night to open a three-game series.

Cubs right-hander Yu Darvish (0-1, 6.75 ERA) lasted only four innings in his first start against the Milwaukee Brewers last weekend. He gave up three runs on six hits with five strikeouts and no walks.

The results were even worse the first time around for Pirates right-hander Trevor Williams (0-1, 7.36 ERA), who managed only 3 2/3 innings against the St. Louis Cardinals on Saturday. He allowed three runs on five hits while walking one and striking out three.

Both the Cubs and Pirates have already played 10 percent of the season, but Chicago has won four of six and the Pirates have lost four of six. Both teams should be rested after a day off Thursday, although the Cubs spent much of the day waiting in Cincinnati before their scheduled game against the Reds was called off because of rain.

"The main thing with this environment is that you don't want guys sitting around the visiting clubhouse all day," Chicago manager David Ross said. "With all that we're dealing with right now, this makes a lot of sense. The sooner we can make a decision if we think we can play the game or not, the better."

Darvish initially was set to start Thursday but will face the Pirates on an extra day's rest instead. He is 7-12 with a 4.20 ERA in 40 career starts with the Cubs, but he shined in the second half of last season with a 2.76 ERA.

Against the Pirates in his career, Darvish is 1-2 with a 3.00 ERA in five starts. He has 31 strikeouts in 30 innings.

Ross said he remains high on Darvish despite the veteran's up-and-down first start. He cited Darvish's split-finger fastball as a key factor going forward.

"I thought he did a nice job of pitching the last time out, just some long innings without being able to put guys away," Ross said. "Looking for that 'splitty' to show up. I feel like that's the dominant pitch for him. When he's got that going, it lines up with all those other pitches."

For the Pirates, Williams is looking to recapture his sharpness from 2018, when he went 14-10 with a 3.11 ERA. Last season proved to be more difficult for the Arizona State product as he finished 7-9 with a 5.38 ERA.

Williams is 3-6 with a 6.30 ERA in 11 career appearances (nine starts) against the Cubs.

The Pirates' day off Thursday might have helped outfielder Gregory Polanco more than anybody else on the team. Polanco has started one game at designated hitter and one game in right field since coming back from a bout with COVID-19. He said he feels stronger every day but is still working to get into the rhythm of the game.

Polanco remains in search of his first hit on the season. He is 0-for-7 with four strikeouts but has stayed upbeat.

"I love having him around," Pirates manager Derek Shelton said. "He's happy. He's in a good mood. He smiles. He's great in the clubhouse. Having him back makes me smile because every day when he walks in, he smiles."

--Field Level Media

STATFOX SUPER SITUATIONS™
StatFox Super Situations favoring CHICAGO CUBS against the money line
There are 1 situations with a total rating of 3 stars.
Play Against - Road teams (PITTSBURGH) - after scoring and allowing 3 runs or less against opponent after scoring 7 runs or more 3 straight games.
(43-13 since 1997.) (76.8%, +28.6 units. Rating = 3*)

StatFox Super Situations favoring PITTSBURGH against the money line
There are 2 situations with a total rating of 6 stars.
Play On - Any team (PITTSBURGH) - terrible speed team - averaging 0.35 or less SB's/game on the season, after a game where they had 2 or less hits.
(66-37 over the last 5 seasons.) (64.1%, +34.8 units. Rating = 3*)
Play Against - Any team (CHICAGO CUBS) - National League team with an excellent starting pitcher whose WHIP was 1.150 or better last season, with a struggling bullpen whose ERA is over 6.50 the last 5 games.
(28-12 since 1997.) (70%, +23.9 units. Rating = 3*)

StatFox Super Situations favoring the game to go OVER the total
There are 2 situations with a total rating of 7 stars.
Play Over - All teams where the total is 7 to 8.5 (CHICAGO CUBS) - terrible speed team - averaging 0.35 or less SB's/game on the season, after allowing 12 runs or more.
(42-14 over the last 5 seasons.) (75%, +26.8 units. Rating = 3*)
Play Over - All teams where the total is 8 to 8.5 (CHICAGO CUBS) - terrible speed team - averaging 0.35 or less SB's/game on the season, after allowing 12 runs or more.
(33-7 over the last 5 seasons.) (82.5%, +25.5 units. Rating = 4*)

View Expanded DetailsGo to Top
STATFOX GAME ESTIMATOR™
 Projection
TeamsPitchersScoreLineTotalEdge
PITTSBURGHWILLIAMS4 +221  
CHICAGO CUBSDARVISH6.2-22110.2Over
STATFOX POWERLINE™
 Power Line
TeamPitcherEstimateEdge
PITTSBURGHWILLIAMS +182 
CHICAGO CUBSDARVISH-182 
STATFOX MATCHUP POWER TRENDS™
StatFox Matchup Power Trends against similar type opponents favoring PITTSBURGH to win against the money line
There are 25 trends with a total rating of 11 stars.
PITTSBURGH is 39-30 (+17.0 Units) against the money line vs. teams averaging 3.5 or more extra base hits per game since 1997.
The average score was PITTSBURGH 5.2, OPPONENT 4.8 - (Rating = 0*)
PITTSBURGH is 48-43 (+10.5 Units) against the money line vs teams who strand 6.9 or less runners on base per game over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was PITTSBURGH 5.0, OPPONENT 5.2 - (Rating = 0*)
CHICAGO CUBS are 148-141 (-61.7 Units) against the money line when playing against a terrible team (Win Pct. <=38%) since 1997.
The average score was CHICAGO CUBS 4.8, OPPONENT 4.4 - (Rating = 1*)
CHICAGO CUBS are 909-830 (-157.2 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record since 1997.
The average score was CHICAGO CUBS 4.7, OPPONENT 4.4 - (Rating = 1*)
CHICAGO CUBS are 324-334 (-95.4 Units) against the money line vs. an NL team with a team batting average of .245 or worse since 1997.
The average score was CHICAGO CUBS 4.4, OPPONENT 4.4 - (Rating = 1*)
CHICAGO CUBS are 521-512 (-117.2 Units) against the money line vs. an NL team with a team batting average of .250 or worse since 1997.
The average score was CHICAGO CUBS 4.5, OPPONENT 4.3 - (Rating = 1*)
CHICAGO CUBS are 727-713 (-148.2 Units) against the money line vs. an NL team with a team batting average of .255 or worse since 1997.
The average score was CHICAGO CUBS 4.4, OPPONENT 4.3 - (Rating = 1*)
CHICAGO CUBS are 733-689 (-120.0 Units) against the money line vs. a team with a poor bullpen whose ERA is 4.20 or worse since 1997.
The average score was CHICAGO CUBS 4.8, OPPONENT 4.7 - (Rating = 0*)
CHICAGO CUBS are 733-660 (-119.0 Units) against the money line vs. an overused bullpen that pitches more than 3.2 innings per game since 1997.
The average score was CHICAGO CUBS 4.7, OPPONENT 4.3 - (Rating = 1*)
CHICAGO CUBS are 798-684 (-108.9 Units) against the money line in home games vs. teams averaging 2.75 or less extra base hits per game since 1997.
The average score was CHICAGO CUBS 4.6, OPPONENT 4.4 - (Rating = 0*)
CHICAGO CUBS are 384-383 (-79.2 Units) against the money line vs. poor fielding teams - averaging 0.75+ errors/game since 1997.
The average score was CHICAGO CUBS 4.7, OPPONENT 4.5 - (Rating = 0*)
CHICAGO CUBS are 877-832 (-179.5 Units) against the money line vs. NL teams allowing 4.5 or more runs/game on the season since 1997.
The average score was CHICAGO CUBS 4.8, OPPONENT 4.5 - (Rating = 1*)
CHICAGO CUBS are 437-441 (-138.8 Units) against the money line vs. NL teams allowing 5 or more runs/game on the season since 1997.
The average score was CHICAGO CUBS 4.9, OPPONENT 4.7 - (Rating = 1*)
CHICAGO CUBS are 347-352 (-90.5 Units) against the money line vs. NL teams scoring 4 or less runs/game on the season since 1997.
The average score was CHICAGO CUBS 4.2, OPPONENT 4.3 - (Rating = 1*)
CHICAGO CUBS are 522-499 (-97.6 Units) against the money line vs. an NL team with an on base percentage .315 or worse since 1997.
The average score was CHICAGO CUBS 4.4, OPPONENT 4.2 - (Rating = 0*)
CHICAGO CUBS are 928-876 (-124.2 Units) against the money line vs. an NL team with an on base percentage .325 or worse since 1997.
The average score was CHICAGO CUBS 4.5, OPPONENT 4.2 - (Rating = 0*)
CHICAGO CUBS are 577-480 (-91.3 Units) against the money line vs. teams outscored by opp by 0.5 or more runs/game on the season since 1997.
The average score was CHICAGO CUBS 4.8, OPPONENT 4.3 - (Rating = 0*)
CHICAGO CUBS are 217-191 (-74.5 Units) against the money line vs. teams outscored by opp by 1 or more runs/game on the season since 1997.
The average score was CHICAGO CUBS 4.9, OPPONENT 4.3 - (Rating = 1*)
CHICAGO CUBS are 1313-1309 (-185.0 Units) against the money line with a team slugging percentage .390 or worse on the season (NL) since 1997.
The average score was CHICAGO CUBS 4.4, OPPONENT 4.3 - (Rating = 0*)
CHICAGO CUBS are 1371-1366 (-194.0 Units) against the money line with a team slugging percentage .400 or worse on the season (NL) since 1997.
The average score was CHICAGO CUBS 4.4, OPPONENT 4.4 - (Rating = 0*)
CHICAGO CUBS are 1008-989 (-159.6 Units) against the money line vs. teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game since 1997.
The average score was CHICAGO CUBS 4.5, OPPONENT 4.4 - (Rating = 0*)
DARVISH is 39-36 (-23.4 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record since 1997. (Team's Record)
The average score was DARVISH 4.2, OPPONENT 4.0 - (Rating = 0*)
DARVISH is 7-13 (-9.8 Units) against the money line vs. an NL team with a team batting average of .255 or worse over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was DARVISH 4.3, OPPONENT 4.3 - (Rating = 0*)
DARVISH is 52-48 (-24.2 Units) against the money line vs teams who strand 6.9 or less runners on base per game since 1997. (Team's Record)
The average score was DARVISH 4.4, OPPONENT 4.1 - (Rating = 0*)
DARVISH is 72-70 (-37.5 Units) against the money line vs. teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game since 1997. (Team's Record)
The average score was DARVISH 4.1, OPPONENT 3.8 - (Rating = 1*)

StatFox Matchup Power Trends against similar type opponents favoring CHICAGO CUBS to win against the money line
There are 4 trends with a total rating of 2 stars.
PITTSBURGH is 332-608 (-122.7 Units) against the money line in road games when playing against a team with a winning record since 1997.
The average score was PITTSBURGH 3.9, OPPONENT 4.9 - (Rating = 0*)
PITTSBURGH is 111-232 (-75.0 Units) against the money line in road games vs. good power teams - averaging 1.25 or more HR's/game since 1997.
The average score was PITTSBURGH 4.4, OPPONENT 5.8 - (Rating = 1*)
PITTSBURGH is 33-68 (-27.7 Units) against the money line vs. NL teams scoring 4.5 or more runs/game on the season over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was PITTSBURGH 4.5, OPPONENT 6.3 - (Rating = 1*)
CHICAGO CUBS are 69-31 (+22.3 Units) against the money line in home games vs. poor baserunning teams - averaging 0.5 or less SB's/game over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was CHICAGO CUBS 5.6, OPPONENT 4.3 - (Rating = 0*)

StatFox Matchup Power Trends against similar type opponents favoring the OVER against the total
There are 16 trends with a total rating of 17 stars.
PITTSBURGH is 53-38 OVER (+11.2 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was PITTSBURGH 4.3, OPPONENT 6.1 - (Rating = 0*)
PITTSBURGH is 60-41 OVER (+14.6 Units) vs. an NL team with a team batting average of .255 or worse over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was PITTSBURGH 4.7, OPPONENT 5.6 - (Rating = 1*)
PITTSBURGH is 63-42 OVER (+17.1 Units) vs. a team with a poor bullpen whose ERA is 4.20 or worse over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was PITTSBURGH 4.5, OPPONENT 5.8 - (Rating = 1*)
PITTSBURGH is 73-44 OVER (+24.8 Units) vs. good power teams - averaging 1.25 or more HR's/game over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was PITTSBURGH 4.7, OPPONENT 6.0 - (Rating = 2*)
PITTSBURGH is 48-31 OVER (+14.4 Units) vs. NL teams allowing 4.5 or more runs/game on the season over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was PITTSBURGH 4.4, OPPONENT 5.9 - (Rating = 1*)
PITTSBURGH is 60-39 OVER (+17.5 Units) vs. NL teams scoring 4.5 or more runs/game on the season over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was PITTSBURGH 4.5, OPPONENT 6.3 - (Rating = 1*)
PITTSBURGH is 70-46 OVER (+20.1 Units) vs. an NL team with an on base percentage .315 or worse over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was PITTSBURGH 5.0, OPPONENT 5.0 - (Rating = 1*)
PITTSBURGH is 55-36 OVER (+15.2 Units) vs. an NL team with an on base percentage .325 or worse over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was PITTSBURGH 4.5, OPPONENT 5.6 - (Rating = 1*)
PITTSBURGH is 49-32 OVER (+13.8 Units) vs. good defensive catchers - allowing 0.5 or less SB's/game over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was PITTSBURGH 4.8, OPPONENT 5.7 - (Rating = 1*)
PITTSBURGH is 20-7 OVER (+12.3 Units) in road games vs. terrible speed teams - averaging 0.35 or less SB's/game over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was PITTSBURGH 4.1, OPPONENT 6.7 - (Rating = 1*)
PITTSBURGH is 64-39 OVER (+20.9 Units) vs. poor baserunning teams - averaging 0.5 or less SB's/game over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was PITTSBURGH 5.0, OPPONENT 5.4 - (Rating = 2*)
PITTSBURGH is 45-30 OVER (+12.5 Units) with a team slugging percentage of .430 or better on the season (NL) over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was PITTSBURGH 4.4, OPPONENT 6.4 - (Rating = 1*)
PITTSBURGH is 89-60 OVER (+23.0 Units) vs. teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was PITTSBURGH 4.6, OPPONENT 5.7 - (Rating = 1*)
WILLIAMS is 12-2 OVER (+9.9 Units) vs teams who strand 6.9 or less runners on base per game over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was WILLIAMS 7.1, OPPONENT 5.6 - (Rating = 2*)
WILLIAMS is 8-0 OVER (+8.1 Units) vs. terrible speed teams - averaging 0.35 or less SB's/game over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was WILLIAMS 7.1, OPPONENT 6.8 - (Rating = 1*)
WILLIAMS is 17-7 OVER (+9.3 Units) vs. teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was WILLIAMS 5.6, OPPONENT 5.4 - (Rating = 0*)

StatFox Matchup Power Trends against similar type opponents favoring the UNDER against the total
There are 6 trends with a total rating of 3 stars.
CHICAGO CUBS are 58-38 UNDER (+17.2 Units) in home games vs. an NL team with a team batting average of .255 or worse over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was CHICAGO CUBS 4.2, OPPONENT 4.0 - (Rating = 1*)
CHICAGO CUBS are 518-410 UNDER (+58.7 Units) vs. teams whose hitters draw 3 walks or less/game since 1997.
The average score was CHICAGO CUBS 4.4, OPPONENT 4.1 - (Rating = 0*)
CHICAGO CUBS are 45-27 UNDER (+16.3 Units) in home games vs. NL teams allowing 4.5 or more runs/game on the season over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was CHICAGO CUBS 4.9, OPPONENT 3.9 - (Rating = 1*)
CHICAGO CUBS are 64-44 UNDER (+16.6 Units) in home games vs. an NL team with an on base percentage .325 or worse over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was CHICAGO CUBS 4.6, OPPONENT 4.0 - (Rating = 0*)
CHICAGO CUBS are 67-47 UNDER (+16.7 Units) in home games vs. good defensive catchers - allowing 0.5 or less SB's/game over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was CHICAGO CUBS 4.8, OPPONENT 3.8 - (Rating = 0*)
DARVISH is 83-52 UNDER (+24.9 Units) vs. teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game since 1997. (Team's Record)
The average score was DARVISH 4.1, OPPONENT 3.8 - (Rating = 1*)

View Expanded DetailsGo to Top
STATFOX SITUATIONAL POWER TRENDS™
StatFox Situational Power Trends favoring PITTSBURGH to win against the money line
There are 28 trends with a total rating of 19 stars.
PITTSBURGH is 31-22 (+12.5 Units) against the money line when playing on Friday over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was PITTSBURGH 5.1, OPPONENT 4.8 - (Rating = 0*)
PITTSBURGH is 8-1 (+10.9 Units) against the money line in road games after being shut out in a loss to a division rival over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was PITTSBURGH 5.0, OPPONENT 3.2 - (Rating = 2*)
WILLIAMS is 11-5 (+11.6 Units) against the money line on the road when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was WILLIAMS 4.3, OPPONENT 2.9 - (Rating = 1*)
CHICAGO CUBS are 138-154 (-61.6 Units) against the money line in home games after a 5 game span where the bullpen ERA was 6.50 or worse since 1997.
The average score was CHICAGO CUBS 4.9, OPPONENT 4.9 - (Rating = 1*)
CHICAGO CUBS are 101-117 (-48.9 Units) against the money line in home games after a 5 game span where the bullpen ERA was 7.00 or worse since 1997.
The average score was CHICAGO CUBS 5.0, OPPONENT 5.0 - (Rating = 1*)
CHICAGO CUBS are 175-204 (-63.9 Units) against the money line after a game where the bullpen was hit hard for 4 or more earned runs since 1997.
The average score was CHICAGO CUBS 4.5, OPPONENT 4.8 - (Rating = 0*)
CHICAGO CUBS are 1148-879 (-160.8 Units) against the money line as a favorite of -110 or higher since 1997.
The average score was CHICAGO CUBS 4.8, OPPONENT 4.2 - (Rating = 1*)
CHICAGO CUBS are 539-356 (-111.5 Units) against the money line as a favorite of -150 or more since 1997.
The average score was CHICAGO CUBS 5.1, OPPONENT 4.1 - (Rating = 1*)
CHICAGO CUBS are 1878-1912 (-277.8 Units) against the money line in all games since 1997.
The average score was CHICAGO CUBS 4.5, OPPONENT 4.5 - (Rating = 0*)
CHICAGO CUBS are 43-55 (-24.8 Units) against the money line when the total is 8.5 to 10 over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was CHICAGO CUBS 4.9, OPPONENT 4.9 - (Rating = 1*)
CHICAGO CUBS are 755-558 (-117.3 Units) against the money line as a home favorite of -110 or higher since 1997.
The average score was CHICAGO CUBS 4.8, OPPONENT 4.3 - (Rating = 0*)
CHICAGO CUBS are 285-215 (-74.5 Units) against the money line as a home favorite of -150 to -200 since 1997.
The average score was CHICAGO CUBS 4.7, OPPONENT 4.2 - (Rating = 1*)
CHICAGO CUBS are 420-282 (-99.9 Units) against the money line as a home favorite of -150 or more since 1997.
The average score was CHICAGO CUBS 5.0, OPPONENT 4.1 - (Rating = 1*)
CHICAGO CUBS are 1010-886 (-150.6 Units) against the money line in home games since 1997.
The average score was CHICAGO CUBS 4.6, OPPONENT 4.5 - (Rating = 1*)
CHICAGO CUBS are 526-479 (-91.3 Units) against the money line in home games in the second half of the season since 1997.
The average score was CHICAGO CUBS 4.7, OPPONENT 4.6 - (Rating = 1*)
CHICAGO CUBS are 215-237 (-56.4 Units) against the money line when playing with a day off since 1997.
The average score was CHICAGO CUBS 4.4, OPPONENT 4.6 - (Rating = 0*)
CHICAGO CUBS are 473-409 (-76.6 Units) against the money line in home games against division opponents since 1997.
The average score was CHICAGO CUBS 4.7, OPPONENT 4.5 - (Rating = 0*)
CHICAGO CUBS are 46-52 (-13.7 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was CHICAGO CUBS 4.9, OPPONENT 4.9 - (Rating = 0*)
CHICAGO CUBS are 1396-1427 (-211.1 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters since 1997.
The average score was CHICAGO CUBS 4.5, OPPONENT 4.4 - (Rating = 0*)
CHICAGO CUBS are 625-594 (-117.2 Units) against the money line after having won 4 or 5 of their last 6 games since 1997.
The average score was CHICAGO CUBS 4.5, OPPONENT 4.3 - (Rating = 1*)
CHICAGO CUBS are 3-10 (-9.7 Units) against the money line after scoring 7 runs or more 2 straight games over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was CHICAGO CUBS 4.5, OPPONENT 5.4 - (Rating = 0*)
DARVISH is 48-39 (-27.8 Units) against the money line as a favorite of -150 or more since 1997. (Team's Record)
The average score was DARVISH 4.5, OPPONENT 4.0 - (Rating = 0*)
DARVISH is 13-19 (-10.9 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was DARVISH 4.4, OPPONENT 4.5 - (Rating = 0*)
DARVISH is 36-30 (-23.9 Units) against the money line as a home favorite of -150 or more since 1997. (Team's Record)
The average score was DARVISH 4.4, OPPONENT 3.9 - (Rating = 0*)
DARVISH is 7-19 (-22.0 Units) against the money line in July games since 1997. (Team's Record)
The average score was DARVISH 3.5, OPPONENT 5.0 - (Rating = 3*)
DARVISH is 39-45 (-34.1 Units) against the money line in the second half of the season since 1997. (Team's Record)
The average score was DARVISH 4.1, OPPONENT 4.2 - (Rating = 1*)
DARVISH is 6-15 (-11.7 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was DARVISH 4.5, OPPONENT 4.9 - (Rating = 1*)
DARVISH is 32-37 (-25.4 Units) against the money line when working on 5 or 6 days rest since 1997. (Team's Record)
The average score was DARVISH 4.7, OPPONENT 4.2 - (Rating = 1*)

StatFox Situational Power Trends favoring CHICAGO CUBS to win against the money line
There are 3 trends with a total rating of 1 stars.
PITTSBURGH is 26-49 (-21.5 Units) against the money line after a 3 game span where the bullpen threw 13 total innings or more over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was PITTSBURGH 4.1, OPPONENT 5.6 - (Rating = 0*)
PITTSBURGH is 405-655 (-131.8 Units) against the money line on the road when the total is 8.5 to 10 since 1997.
The average score was PITTSBURGH 4.3, OPPONENT 5.2 - (Rating = 0*)
PITTSBURGH is 23-44 (-20.4 Units) against the money line after 2 or more consecutive home games over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was PITTSBURGH 4.4, OPPONENT 6.3 - (Rating = 1*)

StatFox Situational Power Trends favoring the OVER against the total
There are 15 trends with a total rating of 19 stars.
PITTSBURGH is 30-15 OVER (+13.6 Units) after a game where the bullpen gave up no earned runs over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was PITTSBURGH 4.7, OPPONENT 5.6 - (Rating = 1*)
PITTSBURGH is 32-17 OVER (+13.1 Units) after a 3 game span where the bullpen threw 13 total innings or more over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was PITTSBURGH 4.4, OPPONENT 6.2 - (Rating = 1*)
PITTSBURGH is 74-49 OVER (+19.9 Units) as an underdog of +100 or higher over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was PITTSBURGH 4.7, OPPONENT 5.7 - (Rating = 1*)
PITTSBURGH is 33-16 OVER (+15.7 Units) as an underdog of +150 or more over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was PITTSBURGH 4.5, OPPONENT 6.4 - (Rating = 2*)
PITTSBURGH is 96-64 OVER (+25.6 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was PITTSBURGH 4.6, OPPONENT 5.6 - (Rating = 2*)
PITTSBURGH is 69-40 OVER (+24.9 Units) when the total is 8.5 to 10 over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was PITTSBURGH 4.9, OPPONENT 5.9 - (Rating = 2*)
PITTSBURGH is 25-13 OVER (+10.9 Units) as a road underdog of +150 or more over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was PITTSBURGH 4.3, OPPONENT 6.4 - (Rating = 1*)
PITTSBURGH is 50-32 OVER (+14.4 Units) in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was PITTSBURGH 4.7, OPPONENT 5.9 - (Rating = 1*)
PITTSBURGH is 32-18 OVER (+11.8 Units) after 3 consecutive game versus a division rival over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was PITTSBURGH 4.9, OPPONENT 5.5 - (Rating = 1*)
PITTSBURGH is 63-40 OVER (+18.7 Units) in night games over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was PITTSBURGH 4.6, OPPONENT 5.5 - (Rating = 1*)
PITTSBURGH is 67-51 OVER (+11.2 Units) against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was PITTSBURGH 4.7, OPPONENT 5.5 - (Rating = 0*)
PITTSBURGH is 41-21 OVER (+18.0 Units) after 2 or more consecutive home games over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was PITTSBURGH 4.4, OPPONENT 6.3 - (Rating = 2*)
PITTSBURGH is 33-15 OVER (+16.6 Units) after 3 or more consecutive home games over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was PITTSBURGH 4.3, OPPONENT 6.4 - (Rating = 2*)
PITTSBURGH is 55-37 OVER (+14.5 Units) after a loss over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was PITTSBURGH 4.7, OPPONENT 5.8 - (Rating = 1*)
WILLIAMS is 13-3 OVER (+9.7 Units) in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was WILLIAMS 5.9, OPPONENT 6.4 - (Rating = 1*)

StatFox Situational Power Trends favoring the UNDER against the total
There are 6 trends with a total rating of 4 stars.
WILLIAMS is 24-11 UNDER (+11.9 Units) when the total is 7 to 8.5 over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was WILLIAMS 4.1, OPPONENT 3.4 - (Rating = 0*)
CHICAGO CUBS are 70-45 UNDER (+21.2 Units) as a favorite of -150 or more over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was CHICAGO CUBS 5.0, OPPONENT 3.8 - (Rating = 1*)
CHICAGO CUBS are 42-25 UNDER (+14.8 Units) as a home favorite of -150 to -200 over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was CHICAGO CUBS 4.4, OPPONENT 4.0 - (Rating = 0*)
CHICAGO CUBS are 54-34 UNDER (+17.2 Units) as a home favorite of -150 or more over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was CHICAGO CUBS 5.0, OPPONENT 3.9 - (Rating = 1*)
CHICAGO CUBS are 51-33 UNDER (+16.0 Units) at home when the total is 7 to 8.5 over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was CHICAGO CUBS 3.9, OPPONENT 3.4 - (Rating = 1*)
DARVISH is 68-40 UNDER (+24.0 Units) when the total is 7 to 8.5 since 1997. (Team's Record)
The average score was DARVISH 4.2, OPPONENT 3.2 - (Rating = 1*)

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ADVANCED TEAM STATS
PITTSBURGH - Current Season Performance
 Team RecordsTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsO-URunsAvgOBPSLGOPSRunsAvgOBPSLGOPS
All Games2-4-14-23.80.1710.2340.2800.5145.00.2360.3320.4050.737
Road Games1-2-0.82-13.30.1960.2350.2890.5245.00.2530.3110.4420.753
vs Right-handed Starters2-4-14-23.80.1710.2340.2800.5145.00.2360.3320.4050.737
Past 7 Games2-4-14-23.80.1710.2340.2800.5145.00.2360.3320.4050.737
Grass Games2-4-14-23.80.1710.2340.2800.5145.00.2360.3320.4050.737
Night Games1-3-1.33-14.20.1680.2320.2670.5005.00.2370.3510.4350.786
Division2-4-14-23.80.1710.2340.2800.5145.00.2360.3320.4050.737
PITTSBURGH - Team Hitting and Fielding Statistics
Team BattingTeam BattingTeam Fielding
 RunsAVGOBPGABH2B3BHRSLGRBIBBSOSBLOBGIDPERRDPOSB
All Games3.80.1710.2346193336050.2802116551273571
Road Games3.30.1960.235397193020.289105200131211
Righty Starters3.80.1710.2346193336050.2802116551273571
PITTSBURGH - Bullpen Pitching Statistics
 ERAWHIPIPRERHHRBBSOW-LSVBSVPct.
All Games4.451.52026.3181327113321-11150%
Road Games3.381.22010.7841211140-000100%

CHICAGO CUBS - Current Season Performance
 Team RecordsTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsO-URunsAvgOBPSLGOPSRunsAvgOBPSLGOPS
All Games4-2+1.74-26.30.2410.3090.4730.7825.50.1980.2950.3810.675
Home Games2-1+0.61-25.00.2320.3050.4740.7783.00.1750.2310.2890.519
vs Right-handed Starters3-2+0.73-26.00.2460.3150.4850.8005.20.2040.2830.4070.691
Past 7 Games4-2+1.74-26.30.2410.3090.4730.7825.50.1980.2950.3810.675
Grass Games4-2+1.74-26.30.2410.3090.4730.7825.50.1980.2950.3810.675
Night Games3-1+2.13-16.50.2350.2930.4630.7566.00.1920.3000.3850.685
Division4-2+1.74-26.30.2410.3090.4730.7825.50.1980.2950.3810.675
CHICAGO CUBS - Team Hitting and Fielding Statistics
Team BattingTeam BattingTeam Fielding
 RunsAVGOBPGABH2B3BHRSLGRBIBBSOSBLOBGIDPERRDPOSB
All Games6.30.2410.309620349121110.4733720670414432
Home Games5.00.2320.305395225060.4741510300193021
Righty Starters6.00.2460.31551674181100.4853017540324231
CHICAGO CUBS - Bullpen Pitching Statistics
 ERAWHIPIPRERHHRBBSOW-LSVBSVPct.
All Games9.642.03518.7212018720240-010100%
Home Games5.621.25085552560-000100%
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SCHEDULE AND RESULTS
PITTSBURGH - Schedule
 Team StatsOpp Stats
DateTeam StarterOpponentOpp StarterScoreW/LLineTot.O/UHLOBEHLOBE
7/24/2020MUSGROVE(R)@ ST LOUISFLAHERTY(R)4-5L1708 ovO841951
7/25/2020WILLIAMS(R)@ ST LOUISWAINWRIGHT(R)1-9L1559 ovO3511060
7/26/2020KELLER(R)@ ST LOUISHUDSON(R)5-1W1259 unU840540
7/27/2020BRAULT(L)MILWAUKEEHOUSER(R)5-6L+1559.5 unO45111121
7/28/2020HOLLAND(L)MILWAUKEELINDBLOM(R)8-6W+1709.5 ovO971541
7/29/2020MUSGROVE(R)MILWAUKEEWOODRUFF(R)0-3L+1308.5 ovU121680
7/31/2020WILLIAMS(R)@ CHICAGO CUBSDARVISH(R) 
8/1/2020KELLER(R)@ CHICAGO CUBSCHATWOOD(R) 
8/2/2020BRAULT(L)@ CHICAGO CUBSLESTER(L) 
8/3/2020HOLLAND(L)@ MINNESOTAHILL(L) 
8/4/2020MUSGROVE(R)@ MINNESOTABERRIOS(R) 
8/5/2020 MINNESOTA  
8/6/2020 MINNESOTA  
8/7/2020 DETROIT  

CHICAGO CUBS - Schedule
 Team StatsOpp Stats
DateTeam StarterOpponentOpp StarterScoreW/LLineTot.O/UHLOBEHLOBE
7/24/2020HENDRICKS(R)MILWAUKEEWOODRUFF(R)3-0W-1108.5 ovU530331
7/25/2020DARVISH(R)MILWAUKEEBURNES(R)3-8L-1459.5 ovO6901170
7/26/2020CHATWOOD(R)MILWAUKEEPERALTA(R)9-1W-10511.5 ovU1170370
7/27/2020LESTER(L)@ CINCINNATIMILEY(L)8-7W-11510 ovO8926131
7/28/2020MILLS(R)@ CINCINNATIMAHLE(R)8-5W11010.5 evO1261640
7/29/2020HENDRICKS(R)@ CINCINNATIGRAY(R)7-12L1009.5 unO7711041
7/31/2020DARVISH(R)PITTSBURGHWILLIAMS(R) 
8/1/2020CHATWOOD(R)PITTSBURGHKELLER(R) 
8/2/2020LESTER(L)PITTSBURGHBRAULT(L) 
8/3/2020HENDRICKS(R)KANSAS CITYDUFFY(L) 
8/4/2020MILLS(R)KANSAS CITYSINGER(R) 
8/5/2020 @ KANSAS CITY  
8/6/2020 @ KANSAS CITY  
8/7/2020 @ ST LOUIS  
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STARTING PITCHER PERFORMANCE
TREVOR WILLIAMS recent results and season statistics
TREVOR WILLIAMS - Season Statistics in Games Started
 Starter StatisticsTeam Records
 ERAWHIPW-LGIPIP/SRERHHRBBSOW-LUnitsO-U
All Starts7.361.6350-113.73.73351130-1-11-0
Road Starts7.361.6350-113.73.73351130-1-11-0
Last 3 Starts7.361.6350-113.73.73351130-1-11-0
TREVOR WILLIAMS - Recent Starts
DateOpponentScoreLine TotalResultDecIPRERHHRBBSOOpp Starter
7/25/2020at ST LOUIS1-9+1559Loss,OverL3.7335113WAINWRIGHT(R)
9/29/2019CINCINNATI1-3+1058.5Loss,UnderL7225225MAHLE(R)
9/22/2019at MILWAUKEE3-4+2459Loss,UnderL5223226WOODRUFF(R)

YU DARVISH recent results and season statistics
YU DARVISH - Season Statistics in Games Started
 Starter StatisticsTeam Records
 ERAWHIPW-LGIPIP/SRERHHRBBSOW-LUnitsO-U
All Starts6.751.5000-1144.03360050-1-1.41-0
Home Starts6.751.5000-1144.03360050-1-1.41-0
Last 3 Starts6.751.5000-1144.03360050-1-1.41-0
YU DARVISH - Recent Starts
DateOpponentScoreLine TotalResultDecIPRERHHRBBSOOpp Starter
7/25/2020MILWAUKEE3-8-1459.5Loss,OverL4336005BURNES(R)
9/22/2019ST LOUIS2-3-17012Loss,UnderL8.33371012MIKOLAS(R)
9/17/2019CINCINNATI2-4-1557.5Loss,UnderL74461113GRAY(R)
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HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORY
Games over the last 3 seasons
PITTSBURGH is 17-21 (+1.8 Units) against CHICAGO CUBS over the last 3 seasons
21 of 38 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+2.7 Units)
Games this season
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

All games at CHICAGO CUBS over the last 3 seasons
CHICAGO CUBS is 13-6 (+3.0 Units) against PITTSBURGH over the last 3 seasons
10 of 19 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+0.1 Units)
Games played at CHICAGO CUBS this season.
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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PITCHER vs. TEAM HISTORY
TREVOR WILLIAMS vs. CHICAGO CUBS since 1997
WILLIAMS is 2-6 when starting against CHICAGO CUBS with an ERA of 6.60 and a WHIP of 1.778.
His team's record is 2-7 (-4.1 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 5-4. (+0.3 units)
TREVOR WILLIAMS recent starts vs. CHICAGO CUBS
DateOpponentScoreLine TotalResultDecIPRERHHRBBSOOpp Starter
9/15/2019at CHICAGO CUBS6-16+22511.5Loss,OverL2.3776230QUINTANA(L)
7/14/2019at CHICAGO CUBS3-8+1659.5Loss,OverL5.38811334QUINTANA(L)
7/1/2019CHICAGO CUBS18-5+1159.5Win,OverW5.7559134ALZOLAY(R)

YU DARVISH vs. PITTSBURGH since 1997
DARVISH is 1-2 when starting against PITTSBURGH with an ERA of 3.00 and a WHIP of 0.800.
His team's record is 2-3 (-2.5 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 4-1. (+2.9 units)
YU DARVISH recent starts vs. PITTSBURGH
DateOpponentScoreLine TotalResultDecIPRERHHRBBSOOpp Starter
7/12/2019PITTSBURGH4-3-1659.5Win,Under 6002018ARCHER(R)
7/3/2019at PITTSBURGH5-6-1159.5Loss,Over 6.7447206ARCHER(R)
4/10/2019PITTSBURGH2-5-1707.5Loss,UnderL5.3545204LYLES(R)
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UMPIRE STATS
Scheduled Home Plate Umpire: unknown
The home plate umpire for this game has not been determined.
STATFOX LINE TRACKER™
Here is a summary of past results against the money line in games where the line movement was similar to:
Opening Money Line: Home=-165 (Road=+155), Closing Money Line: Home=-200 (Road=+185)
Since 1997, the home team won the game 79 times, while the road team won straight up 44 times. (Home=-8.8 units, Road=+2.1 units) No Edge.
Over the last 3 seasons, the home team won the game 10 times, while the road team won straight up 5 times. (Home=+0 units, Road=-0.8 units) No Edge.

Here is a summary of past over/under results in games where the total movement was similar to:
Opening Total = 8.5, Closing Total = 8.5
Since 1997, 3209 games went under the total, while 3200 games went over the total. (Over=-268.3 units, Under=-348.9 units)
Over the last 3 seasons, 296 games went under the total, while 248 games went over the total. (Over=-79.8 units, Under=+26.3 units)

Here is a summary of past Money Line and Over/Under results in games where the closing line and closing total were similar to:
Closing Money Line: Home=-200 (Road=+185), Closing Total = 8.5
Since 1997, the home team won the game 161 times, while the road team won straight up 72 times. (Home=+16.9 units, Road=-27.9 units) No Edge.
Over the last 3 seasons, the home team won the game 29 times, while the road team won straight up 13 times. (Home=+3.1 units, Road=-5 units) No Edge.
Since 1997, 124 games went under the total, while 109 games went over the total. (Over=-24.4 units, Under=+3.8 units)
Over the last 3 seasons, 25 games went under the total, while 17 games went over the total. (Over=-10.4 units, Under=+6.1 units)
STATFOX MONEY TRACKER™
As indicated by the movement of the line, the betting public is favoring CHICAGO CUBS in this game.
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in PITTSBURGH games 51.7% of the time since 1997. (1602-1499, -47.0 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in PITTSBURGH games 50.4% of the time over the last 3 seasons. (140-138, -16.0 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in CHICAGO CUBS games 51.8% of the time since 1997. (1635-1524, -24.5 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in CHICAGO CUBS games 47.6% of the time over the last 3 seasons. (141-155, -23.4 units)
No Edge.
 
The betting public is favoring nothing on the total in this game.
The betting public is correct when moving the total in PITTSBURGH games 52.3% of the time since 1997. (1332-1215, -54.8 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in PITTSBURGH games 52.7% of the time over the last 3 seasons. (146-131, -0.3 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in CHICAGO CUBS games 51.3% of the time since 1997. (1449-1373, -125.4 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in CHICAGO CUBS games 49.8% of the time over the last 3 seasons. (142-143, -17.1 units)
No Edge.
STATFOX MANAGER TRENDS™
There are no StatFox Manager Situational Power Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

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KEY PLAYER INJURIES
PITTSBURGH
[P] 07/29/2020 - Kyle Crick 10-day IL (07/29) ( Shoulder )
[P] 07/29/2020 - Clay Holmes 10-day IL (07/28) ( Forearm )
[C] 07/24/2020 - Luke Maile 60-day IL (07/24) ( Finger )
[SS] 07/23/2020 - JT Riddle 10-day IL (07/20) ( Abdominal )
[P] 07/17/2020 - Keone Kela 10-day IL (07/16) ( Undisclosed )
[P] 07/08/2020 - Jameson Taillon 60-day IL (07/08) ( Elbow )
[P] 07/08/2020 - Chris Archer 60-day IL (07/08) ( Shoulder )
[LF] 07/08/2020 - Kevin Kramer 60-day IL (07/08) ( Hip )
[P] 07/08/2020 - Hector Noesi is out for season ( Personal )
CHICAGO CUBS
[P] 07/23/2020 - Jose Quintana 10-day IL (07/20) ( Thumb )
[3B] 07/23/2020 - Daniel Descalso 45-day IL (07/23) ( Ankle )

Last Updated: 11/30/2020 4:24:46 AM EST


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