NASCAR
South Point 400


Track Information
Track Name: Las Vegas Motor Speedway
Location: Las Vegas, Nev.
Track Type: COOKIE CUTTER SPEEDWAY
Track Length: 1.5 miles
Track Layout: OVAL
Banking: 20 Degrees
Seating Capacity: 107000
Home Page: http://www.lvms.com
Track Weather Info: Las Vegas Motor Speedway - Weather
Race Information
Race Name: South Point 400
Date, Time: 9/26/2021, 7:00 PM EST
Race Number: #30 of 36 races in the 2021 season
Track Name: Las Vegas Motor Speedway
Race Distance: 400 miles, 267 laps
* Note: This race is being run at night.
Past Race Averages
Average race finish time: 0:2:00
Average Speed: 135.59 MPH
Average # of cautions: 7 - 32 laps
Average # of lead changes: 19
Average # of drivers leading: 11

South Point 400 - Recent Top Finishers
Year1st2nd3rd4th5th
2020Kurt BuschMatt DiBenedettoDenny HamlinMartin TruexAlex Bowman
2019Martin TruexKevin HarvickBrad KeselowskiChase ElliottRyan Blaney
2018Brad KeselowskiKyle LarsonMartin TruexJoey LoganoRyan Blaney

The current season leaders in various stat categories are listed below.
Total Points
Kyle Larson - 1181
Denny Hamlin - 1168
Chase Elliott - 965
Ryan Blaney - 927
Martin Truex - 924
Kyle Busch - 905
William Byron - 905
Joey Logano - 898
Kevin Harvick - 891
Brad Keselowski - 837
Average finish
Jamie McMurray - 8
Denny Hamlin - 8.6
Kyle Larson - 9
AJ Allmendinger - 10.5
Kevin Harvick - 10.8
Ryan Blaney - 11.8
Chase Elliott - 12
Martin Truex - 12
Joey Logano - 12.9
Kyle Busch - 13.1
Races won
Kyle Larson - 6
Martin Truex - 4
Ryan Blaney - 3
Alex Bowman - 3
Kyle Busch - 2
Chase Elliott - 2
Denny Hamlin - 1
Brad Keselowski - 1
William Byron - 1
Kurt Busch - 1
Top 5 finishes
Kyle Larson - 16
Denny Hamlin - 15
Chase Elliott - 12
Kyle Busch - 11
William Byron - 10
Martin Truex - 10
Ryan Blaney - 9
Joey Logano - 9
Kevin Harvick - 8
Brad Keselowski - 7
Top 10 finishes
Kyle Larson - 21
Denny Hamlin - 20
Kevin Harvick - 19
Kyle Busch - 17
William Byron - 17
Chase Elliott - 17
Ryan Blaney - 16
Martin Truex - 16
Joey Logano - 15
Alex Bowman - 14

Listed below is the projected starting order according to the StatFox race simulator. The simulator factors in recent qualifying performance, past qualifying results at this track and track type, and overall driver strength when projecting the qualifying order. Note: Once the official qualifying results are known, this section will be changed to reflect the official qualifying order. The simulator's projected finish order will also be updated.

** Click on the driver's name to jump to a page containing his respective trends, stats, and angles for this race.

Projected Qualifying Order
RowPosition Driver Position Driver
11Kevin Harvick 2Denny Hamlin
23Martin Truex 4Brad Keselowski
35Kyle Larson 6Chase Elliott
47Kyle Busch 8Ryan Blaney
59Joey Logano 10Alex Bowman
611Austin Dillon 12Kurt Busch
713William Byron 14Christopher Bell
815Michael McDowell 16David Ragan
917Tyler Reddick 18Bubba Wallace
1019Chris Buescher 20Cole Custer
1121Ryan Newman 22Ricky Stenhouse Jr.
1223Ryan Preece 24Erik Jones
1325Ross Chastain 26Aric Almirola
1427Matt DiBenedetto 28AJ Allmendinger
1529Jamie McMurray 30Chase Briscoe
1631Daniel Suarez 32Austin Cindric
1733BJ McLeod 34Ben Rhodes
1835Ryan Eversley 36Scott Heckert
1937Derrike Cope 38Stewart Friesen
2039Corey Lajoie 40Justin Haley
2141Anthony Alfredo 42Cody Ware
2243Ty Dillon

Section Help

Listed below is the projected finish order according to the StatFox race simulator. The simulator factors in recent performance, qualifying position, past results at this track and track type, and overall driver strength when simulating the race. The race simulation is run 1000 times. For each driver, the table displays the number of race simulations they won, number of top 5 finishes, number of top 10 finishes, and number of times the driver failed to finish the race. In addition, the table displays the average finishing position for each driver and the projected odds of the driver winning the race.

** Click on the driver's name to jump to a page containing his respective trends, stats, and angles for this race.

Simulator - Projected Order Of Finish
Order DriverMakeSponsorQual.FinishWinsOddsTop 5Top 10Trouble
1Kevin HarvickFordSubway Delivery1 *7.41099.2 to 155185158
2Kyle LarsonChevroletValvoline5 *81646.1 to 1640855107
3Denny HamlinToyotaFedEx Freight2 *9.95817.2 to 132564963
4Ryan BlaneyFordMenards/Richmond8 *11.27713 to 1367679128
5Brad KeselowskiFordDiscount Tire4 *11.75817.2 to 1309619119
6William ByronChevroletAxalta13 *129410.6 to 1435729188
7Kyle BuschToyotaM&M's7 *125717.5 to 1277584119
8Joey LoganoFordShell Pennzoil9 *12.44223.8 to 1256539110
9Martin TruexToyotaBass Pro Shops/SherryStro3 *12.45119.6 to 1244534107
10Alex BowmanChevroletAlly10 *12.84621.7 to 1253546131
11Tyler ReddickChevroletFood City/Childress Viney17 *12.84721.3 to 1251531129
12Austin DillonChevroletBass Pro Shops/Tracker Of11 *13.83727 to 1178432107
13Chase ElliottChevroletHooters6 *14.43033.3 to 1172422125
14Kurt BuschChevroletMonster Energy12 *16.42147.6 to 1124327150
15Aric AlmirolaFordSmithfield26 *18.69111.1 to 161188120
16Christopher BellToyotaSiriusXM14 *18.81758.8 to 177174138
17Ross ChastainChevroletMoose Fraternity25 *19.41855.6 to 180190169
18Chase BriscoeFordRush Truck Centers/Cummin30 *19.61190.9 to 145166143
19Chris BuescherFordFastenal19 *20.88125 to 144124138
20Ricky Stenhouse Jr.ChevroletKroger22 *21.66166.7 to 149115182
21Bubba WallaceToyotaMcDonald's18 *21.84250 to 129103136
22Matt DiBenedettoFordReese/Draw-Tite27 *23.26166.7 to 1217197
23Erik JonesChevroletUS Air Force Tuskegee Air24 *246166.7 to 12762140
24Ryan NewmanFordKohler Generators21 *24.26166.7 to 11659128
25Cole CusterFordAutodesk/HaasTooling.com20 *24.911000 to 11550141
26Ryan PreeceChevroletViva23 *25.111000 to 11558144
27Daniel SuarezChevroletCoca-Cola31 *25.311000 to 11437109
28Michael McDowellFordLove's Travel Stops15 *25.94250 to 11441125
29Corey LajoieChevroletSchluter Systems39 *26.400 chance1336182
30David RaganFordSelect Blinds16 *26.911000 to 12046243
31Jamie McMurrayChevroletAdventHealth29 *27.33333.3 to 11329196
32Austin CindricFordMoneyLion32 *27.62500 to 11331220
33Justin HaleyChevroletDiamond Creek Water40 *29.100 chance821149
34Anthony AlfredoFordDude Wipes41 *29.800 chance516259
35Ty DillonToyotaLure Lock/Bass Pro Shops43 *30.800 chance4792
36AJ AllmendingerChevroletHyperice28 *31.200 chance513183
37Cody WareChevroletNurtec ODT42 *33.211000 to 169365
38Ben RhodesChevroletKaeding Performance34 *33.22500 to 11121411
39BJ McLeodFordHonor And Remember33 *33.700 chance513379
40Stewart FriesenChevroletHalmar International38 *3411000 to 128451
41Ryan EversleyFordNurtec ODT35 *34.100 chance37447
42Scott HeckertFordSurface Sunscreen36 *34.100 chance16440
43Derrike CopeChevroletJacob Companies37 *34.111000 to 122432

Section Help
The top past performance trends relevant to this race are listed below. The results are sorted by average finish. To view a complete list of driver trends for the current race, browse to each driver's respective page.
Top performers over the last two seasons at track type= COOKIE CUTTER SPEEDWAY.
1.) Kyle Busch's average finish at track type - COOKIE CUTTER SPEEDWAY is 7.1. In 8 races, he has 1 win and 6 top 10 finishes.
2.) Brad Keselowski's average finish at track type - COOKIE CUTTER SPEEDWAY is 7.1. In 8 races, he has 0 wins and 6 top 10 finishes.
3.) Martin Truex's average finish at track type - COOKIE CUTTER SPEEDWAY is 7.9. In 8 races, he has 0 wins and 6 top 10 finishes.
4.) Denny Hamlin's average finish at track type - COOKIE CUTTER SPEEDWAY is 8.0. In 8 races, he has 2 wins and 4 top 10 finishes.
5.) Kyle Larson's average finish at track type - COOKIE CUTTER SPEEDWAY is 8.3. In 4 races, he has 1 win and 3 top 10 finishes.
6.) Kevin Harvick's average finish at track type - COOKIE CUTTER SPEEDWAY is 9.6. In 8 races, he has 0 wins and 6 top 10 finishes.
7.) William Byron's average finish at track type - COOKIE CUTTER SPEEDWAY is 11.5. In 8 races, he has 1 win and 6 top 10 finishes.
8.) Chase Elliott's average finish at track type - COOKIE CUTTER SPEEDWAY is 12.5. In 8 races, he has 0 wins and 3 top 10 finishes.
9.) Alex Bowman's average finish at track type - COOKIE CUTTER SPEEDWAY is 12.6. In 8 races, he has 0 wins and 4 top 10 finishes.
10.) Ryan Blaney's average finish at track type - COOKIE CUTTER SPEEDWAY is 12.9. In 8 races, he has 0 wins and 4 top 10 finishes.

Best career performers at Las Vegas Motor Speedway
1.) Joey Logano's average finish at Las Vegas Motor Speedway is 8.4. In 16 races, he has 2 wins and 11 top 10 finishes.
2.) Ryan Blaney's average finish at Las Vegas Motor Speedway is 9.2. In 10 races, he has 0 wins and 7 top 10 finishes.
3.) Kyle Larson's average finish at Las Vegas Motor Speedway is 9.8. In 10 races, he has 1 win and 7 top 10 finishes.
4.) Martin Truex's average finish at Las Vegas Motor Speedway is 10.7. In 19 races, he has 2 wins and 10 top 10 finishes.
5.) Brad Keselowski's average finish at Las Vegas Motor Speedway is 10.8. In 16 races, he has 3 wins and 11 top 10 finishes.
6.) Kyle Busch's average finish at Las Vegas Motor Speedway is 12.0. In 20 races, he has 1 win and 11 top 10 finishes.
7.) Denny Hamlin's average finish at Las Vegas Motor Speedway is 12.9. In 19 races, he has 0 wins and 9 top 10 finishes.
8.) Kevin Harvick's average finish at Las Vegas Motor Speedway is 14.0. In 24 races, he has 2 wins and 12 top 10 finishes.
9.) Ryan Newman's average finish at Las Vegas Motor Speedway is 15.7. In 23 races, he has 0 wins and 10 top 10 finishes.
10.) Austin Dillon's average finish at Las Vegas Motor Speedway is 15.9. In 12 races, he has 0 wins and 2 top 10 finishes.

Hot Drivers - Top performers over the last 3 races.
1.) Kyle Larson's average finish over the past 3 races is 3.0. In 3 races, he has 1 win and 3 top 10 finishes.
2.) Martin Truex's average finish over the past 3 races is 4.0. In 3 races, he has 1 win and 3 top 10 finishes.
3.) Denny Hamlin's average finish over the past 3 races is 4.0. In 3 races, he has 1 win and 3 top 10 finishes.
4.) Kevin Harvick's average finish over the past 3 races is 5.0. In 3 races, he has 0 wins and 3 top 10 finishes.
5.) Ross Chastain's average finish over the past 3 races is 8.0. In 3 races, he has 0 wins and 2 top 10 finishes.

Hot Drivers - Top performers over the last 10 races.
1.) Kyle Larson's average finish over the past 10 races is 7.7. In 10 races, he has 2 wins and 7 top 10 finishes.
2.) Ryan Blaney's average finish over the past 10 races is 8.4. In 10 races, he has 2 wins and 7 top 10 finishes.
3.) Denny Hamlin's average finish over the past 10 races is 8.6. In 10 races, he has 1 win and 7 top 10 finishes.
4.) Martin Truex's average finish over the past 10 races is 9.3. In 10 races, he has 1 win and 7 top 10 finishes.
5.) Chase Elliott's average finish over the past 10 races is 10.8. In 10 races, he has 1 win and 7 top 10 finishes.
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