| The FoxSheets |

NASCAR

South Point 400

Track Information
Track Name:	Las Vegas Motor Speedway
Location:	Las Vegas, Nev.
Track Type:	COOKIE CUTTER SPEEDWAY
Track Length:	1.5 miles
Track Layout:	OVAL
Banking:	20 Degrees
Seating Capacity:	107000
Home Page:	http://www.lvms.com
Track Weather Info:	Las Vegas Motor Speedway - Weather

Race Information
Race Name:	South Point 400
Date, Time:	9/26/2021, 7:00 PM EST
Race Number:	#30 of 36 races in the 2021 season
Track Name:	Las Vegas Motor Speedway
Race Distance:	400 miles, 267 laps
* Note: This race is being run at night.

Past Race Averages
Average race finish time:	0:2:00
Average Speed:	135.59 MPH
Average # of cautions:	7 - 32 laps
Average # of lead changes:	19
Average # of drivers leading:	11

South Point 400 - Recent Top Finishers
Year	1st	2nd	3rd	4th	5th
2020	Kurt Busch	Matt DiBenedetto	Denny Hamlin	Martin Truex	Alex Bowman
2019	Martin Truex	Kevin Harvick	Brad Keselowski	Chase Elliott	Ryan Blaney
2018	Brad Keselowski	Kyle Larson	Martin Truex	Joey Logano	Ryan Blaney

The current season leaders in various stat categories are listed below.

Total Points

Kyle Larson - 1181

Denny Hamlin - 1168

Chase Elliott - 965

Ryan Blaney - 927

Martin Truex - 924

Kyle Busch - 905

William Byron - 905

Joey Logano - 898

Kevin Harvick - 891

Brad Keselowski - 837

Average finish

Jamie McMurray - 8

Denny Hamlin - 8.6

Kyle Larson - 9

AJ Allmendinger - 10.5

Kevin Harvick - 10.8

Ryan Blaney - 11.8

Chase Elliott - 12

Martin Truex - 12

Joey Logano - 12.9

Kyle Busch - 13.1

Races won

Kyle Larson - 6

Martin Truex - 4

Ryan Blaney - 3

Alex Bowman - 3

Kyle Busch - 2

Chase Elliott - 2

Denny Hamlin - 1

Brad Keselowski - 1

William Byron - 1

Kurt Busch - 1

Top 5 finishes

Kyle Larson - 16

Denny Hamlin - 15

Chase Elliott - 12

Kyle Busch - 11

William Byron - 10

Martin Truex - 10

Ryan Blaney - 9

Joey Logano - 9

Kevin Harvick - 8

Brad Keselowski - 7

Top 10 finishes

Kyle Larson - 21

Denny Hamlin - 20

Kevin Harvick - 19

Kyle Busch - 17

William Byron - 17

Chase Elliott - 17

Ryan Blaney - 16

Martin Truex - 16

Joey Logano - 15

Alex Bowman - 14

Listed below is the projected starting order according to the StatFox race simulator. The simulator factors in recent qualifying performance, past qualifying results at this track and track type, and overall driver strength when projecting the qualifying order. Note: Once the official qualifying results are known, this section will be changed to reflect the official qualifying order. The simulator's projected finish order will also be updated.

** Click on the driver's name to jump to a page containing his respective trends, stats, and angles for this race.

Projected Qualifying Order
Row	Position	Driver	Position	Driver
1	1	Kevin Harvick	2	Denny Hamlin
2	3	Martin Truex	4	Brad Keselowski
3	5	Kyle Larson	6	Chase Elliott
4	7	Kyle Busch	8	Ryan Blaney
5	9	Joey Logano	10	Alex Bowman
6	11	Austin Dillon	12	Kurt Busch
7	13	William Byron	14	Christopher Bell
8	15	Michael McDowell	16	David Ragan
9	17	Tyler Reddick	18	Bubba Wallace
10	19	Chris Buescher	20	Cole Custer
11	21	Ryan Newman	22	Ricky Stenhouse Jr.
12	23	Ryan Preece	24	Erik Jones
13	25	Ross Chastain	26	Aric Almirola
14	27	Matt DiBenedetto	28	AJ Allmendinger
15	29	Jamie McMurray	30	Chase Briscoe
16	31	Daniel Suarez	32	Austin Cindric
17	33	BJ McLeod	34	Ben Rhodes
18	35	Ryan Eversley	36	Scott Heckert
19	37	Derrike Cope	38	Stewart Friesen
20	39	Corey Lajoie	40	Justin Haley
21	41	Anthony Alfredo	42	Cody Ware
22	43	Ty Dillon

Listed below is the projected finish order according to the StatFox race simulator. The simulator factors in recent performance, qualifying position, past results at this track and track type, and overall driver strength when simulating the race. The race simulation is run 1000 times. For each driver, the table displays the number of race simulations they won, number of top 5 finishes, number of top 10 finishes, and number of times the driver failed to finish the race. In addition, the table displays the average finishing position for each driver and the projected odds of the driver winning the race.

** Click on the driver's name to jump to a page containing his respective trends, stats, and angles for this race.

Simulator - Projected Order Of Finish
Order	Driver	Make	Sponsor	Qual.	Finish	Wins	Odds	Top 5	Top 10	Trouble
1	Kevin Harvick	Ford	Subway Delivery	1 *	7.4	109	9.2 to 1	551	851	58
2	Kyle Larson	Chevrolet	Valvoline	5 *	8	164	6.1 to 1	640	855	107
3	Denny Hamlin	Toyota	FedEx Freight	2 *	9.9	58	17.2 to 1	325	649	63
4	Ryan Blaney	Ford	Menards/Richmond	8 *	11.2	77	13 to 1	367	679	128
5	Brad Keselowski	Ford	Discount Tire	4 *	11.7	58	17.2 to 1	309	619	119
6	William Byron	Chevrolet	Axalta	13 *	12	94	10.6 to 1	435	729	188
7	Kyle Busch	Toyota	M&M's	7 *	12	57	17.5 to 1	277	584	119
8	Joey Logano	Ford	Shell Pennzoil	9 *	12.4	42	23.8 to 1	256	539	110
9	Martin Truex	Toyota	Bass Pro Shops/SherryStro	3 *	12.4	51	19.6 to 1	244	534	107
10	Alex Bowman	Chevrolet	Ally	10 *	12.8	46	21.7 to 1	253	546	131
11	Tyler Reddick	Chevrolet	Food City/Childress Viney	17 *	12.8	47	21.3 to 1	251	531	129
12	Austin Dillon	Chevrolet	Bass Pro Shops/Tracker Of	11 *	13.8	37	27 to 1	178	432	107
13	Chase Elliott	Chevrolet	Hooters	6 *	14.4	30	33.3 to 1	172	422	125
14	Kurt Busch	Chevrolet	Monster Energy	12 *	16.4	21	47.6 to 1	124	327	150
15	Aric Almirola	Ford	Smithfield	26 *	18.6	9	111.1 to 1	61	188	120
16	Christopher Bell	Toyota	SiriusXM	14 *	18.8	17	58.8 to 1	77	174	138
17	Ross Chastain	Chevrolet	Moose Fraternity	25 *	19.4	18	55.6 to 1	80	190	169
18	Chase Briscoe	Ford	Rush Truck Centers/Cummin	30 *	19.6	11	90.9 to 1	45	166	143
19	Chris Buescher	Ford	Fastenal	19 *	20.8	8	125 to 1	44	124	138
20	Ricky Stenhouse Jr.	Chevrolet	Kroger	22 *	21.6	6	166.7 to 1	49	115	182
21	Bubba Wallace	Toyota	McDonald's	18 *	21.8	4	250 to 1	29	103	136
22	Matt DiBenedetto	Ford	Reese/Draw-Tite	27 *	23.2	6	166.7 to 1	21	71	97
23	Erik Jones	Chevrolet	US Air Force Tuskegee Air	24 *	24	6	166.7 to 1	27	62	140
24	Ryan Newman	Ford	Kohler Generators	21 *	24.2	6	166.7 to 1	16	59	128
25	Cole Custer	Ford	Autodesk/HaasTooling.com	20 *	24.9	1	1000 to 1	15	50	141
26	Ryan Preece	Chevrolet	Viva	23 *	25.1	1	1000 to 1	15	58	144
27	Daniel Suarez	Chevrolet	Coca-Cola	31 *	25.3	1	1000 to 1	14	37	109
28	Michael McDowell	Ford	Love's Travel Stops	15 *	25.9	4	250 to 1	14	41	125
29	Corey Lajoie	Chevrolet	Schluter Systems	39 *	26.4	0	0 chance	13	36	182
30	David Ragan	Ford	Select Blinds	16 *	26.9	1	1000 to 1	20	46	243
31	Jamie McMurray	Chevrolet	AdventHealth	29 *	27.3	3	333.3 to 1	13	29	196
32	Austin Cindric	Ford	MoneyLion	32 *	27.6	2	500 to 1	13	31	220
33	Justin Haley	Chevrolet	Diamond Creek Water	40 *	29.1	0	0 chance	8	21	149
34	Anthony Alfredo	Ford	Dude Wipes	41 *	29.8	0	0 chance	5	16	259
35	Ty Dillon	Toyota	Lure Lock/Bass Pro Shops	43 *	30.8	0	0 chance	4	7	92
36	AJ Allmendinger	Chevrolet	Hyperice	28 *	31.2	0	0 chance	5	13	183
37	Cody Ware	Chevrolet	Nurtec ODT	42 *	33.2	1	1000 to 1	6	9	365
38	Ben Rhodes	Chevrolet	Kaeding Performance	34 *	33.2	2	500 to 1	11	21	411
39	BJ McLeod	Ford	Honor And Remember	33 *	33.7	0	0 chance	5	13	379
40	Stewart Friesen	Chevrolet	Halmar International	38 *	34	1	1000 to 1	2	8	451
41	Ryan Eversley	Ford	Nurtec ODT	35 *	34.1	0	0 chance	3	7	447
42	Scott Heckert	Ford	Surface Sunscreen	36 *	34.1	0	0 chance	1	6	440
43	Derrike Cope	Chevrolet	Jacob Companies	37 *	34.1	1	1000 to 1	2	2	432

The top past performance trends relevant to this race are listed below. The results are sorted by average finish. To view a complete list of driver trends for the current race, browse to each driver's respective page.

Top performers over the last two seasons at track type= COOKIE CUTTER SPEEDWAY.

1.) Kyle Busch's average finish at track type - COOKIE CUTTER SPEEDWAY is 7.1. In 8 races, he has 1 win and 6 top 10 finishes.

2.) Brad Keselowski's average finish at track type - COOKIE CUTTER SPEEDWAY is 7.1. In 8 races, he has 0 wins and 6 top 10 finishes.

3.) Martin Truex's average finish at track type - COOKIE CUTTER SPEEDWAY is 7.9. In 8 races, he has 0 wins and 6 top 10 finishes.

4.) Denny Hamlin's average finish at track type - COOKIE CUTTER SPEEDWAY is 8.0. In 8 races, he has 2 wins and 4 top 10 finishes.

5.) Kyle Larson's average finish at track type - COOKIE CUTTER SPEEDWAY is 8.3. In 4 races, he has 1 win and 3 top 10 finishes.

6.) Kevin Harvick's average finish at track type - COOKIE CUTTER SPEEDWAY is 9.6. In 8 races, he has 0 wins and 6 top 10 finishes.

7.) William Byron's average finish at track type - COOKIE CUTTER SPEEDWAY is 11.5. In 8 races, he has 1 win and 6 top 10 finishes.

8.) Chase Elliott's average finish at track type - COOKIE CUTTER SPEEDWAY is 12.5. In 8 races, he has 0 wins and 3 top 10 finishes.

9.) Alex Bowman's average finish at track type - COOKIE CUTTER SPEEDWAY is 12.6. In 8 races, he has 0 wins and 4 top 10 finishes.

10.) Ryan Blaney's average finish at track type - COOKIE CUTTER SPEEDWAY is 12.9. In 8 races, he has 0 wins and 4 top 10 finishes.

Best career performers at Las Vegas Motor Speedway

1.) Joey Logano's average finish at Las Vegas Motor Speedway is 8.4. In 16 races, he has 2 wins and 11 top 10 finishes.

2.) Ryan Blaney's average finish at Las Vegas Motor Speedway is 9.2. In 10 races, he has 0 wins and 7 top 10 finishes.

3.) Kyle Larson's average finish at Las Vegas Motor Speedway is 9.8. In 10 races, he has 1 win and 7 top 10 finishes.

4.) Martin Truex's average finish at Las Vegas Motor Speedway is 10.7. In 19 races, he has 2 wins and 10 top 10 finishes.

5.) Brad Keselowski's average finish at Las Vegas Motor Speedway is 10.8. In 16 races, he has 3 wins and 11 top 10 finishes.

6.) Kyle Busch's average finish at Las Vegas Motor Speedway is 12.0. In 20 races, he has 1 win and 11 top 10 finishes.

7.) Denny Hamlin's average finish at Las Vegas Motor Speedway is 12.9. In 19 races, he has 0 wins and 9 top 10 finishes.

8.) Kevin Harvick's average finish at Las Vegas Motor Speedway is 14.0. In 24 races, he has 2 wins and 12 top 10 finishes.

9.) Ryan Newman's average finish at Las Vegas Motor Speedway is 15.7. In 23 races, he has 0 wins and 10 top 10 finishes.

10.) Austin Dillon's average finish at Las Vegas Motor Speedway is 15.9. In 12 races, he has 0 wins and 2 top 10 finishes.

Hot Drivers - Top performers over the last 3 races.

1.) Kyle Larson's average finish over the past 3 races is 3.0. In 3 races, he has 1 win and 3 top 10 finishes.

2.) Martin Truex's average finish over the past 3 races is 4.0. In 3 races, he has 1 win and 3 top 10 finishes.

3.) Denny Hamlin's average finish over the past 3 races is 4.0. In 3 races, he has 1 win and 3 top 10 finishes.

4.) Kevin Harvick's average finish over the past 3 races is 5.0. In 3 races, he has 0 wins and 3 top 10 finishes.

5.) Ross Chastain's average finish over the past 3 races is 8.0. In 3 races, he has 0 wins and 2 top 10 finishes.

Hot Drivers - Top performers over the last 10 races.

1.) Kyle Larson's average finish over the past 10 races is 7.7. In 10 races, he has 2 wins and 7 top 10 finishes.

2.) Ryan Blaney's average finish over the past 10 races is 8.4. In 10 races, he has 2 wins and 7 top 10 finishes.

3.) Denny Hamlin's average finish over the past 10 races is 8.6. In 10 races, he has 1 win and 7 top 10 finishes.

4.) Martin Truex's average finish over the past 10 races is 9.3. In 10 races, he has 1 win and 7 top 10 finishes.

5.) Chase Elliott's average finish over the past 10 races is 10.8. In 10 races, he has 1 win and 7 top 10 finishes.