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NASCAR

Talladega 500

Track Information
Track Name:	Talladega Superspeedway
Location:	Talladega, Ala.
Track Type:	RESTRICTOR PLATE TRACK
Track Length:	2.66 miles
Track Layout:	OVAL
Banking:	33 Degrees
Seating Capacity:	108000
Home Page:	http://www.talladegasuperspeedway.com
Track Weather Info:	Talladega Superspeedway - Weather

Race Information
Race Name:	Talladega 500
Date, Time:	4/25/2021, 2:00 PM EST
Race Number:	#10 of 36 races in the 2021 season
Track Name:	Talladega Superspeedway
Race Distance:	500 miles, 188 laps
* Note: This is a restrictor plate race.

Past Race Averages
Average race finish time:	0:3:00
Average Speed:	155.77 MPH
Average # of cautions:	5 - 28 laps
Average # of lead changes:	37
Average # of drivers leading:	14

Talladega 500 - Recent Top Finishers
Year	1st	2nd	3rd	4th	5th
2020	Ryan Blaney	Ricky Stenhouse Jr.	Aric Almirola	Denny Hamlin	Erik Jones
2019	Chase Elliott	Alex Bowman	Ryan Preece	Joey Logano	Daniel Hemric
2018	Joey Logano	Kurt Busch	Chase Elliott	Kevin Harvick	Ricky Stenhouse Jr.
2017	Ricky Stenhouse Jr.	Jamie McMurray	Kyle Busch	Aric Almirola	Kasey Kahne
2016	Brad Keselowski	Kyle Busch	Austin Dillon	Jamie McMurray	Chase Elliott
2015	Dale Earnhardt, Jr.	Jimmie Johnson	Paul Menard	Ryan Blaney	Martin Truex
2014	Denny Hamlin	Greg Biffle	Clint Bowyer	Brian Vickers	AJ Allmendinger
2013	David Ragan	David Gilliland	Carl Edwards	Michael Waltrip	Jimmie Johnson
2012	Brad Keselowski	Kyle Busch	Matt Kenseth	Kasey Kahne	Greg Biffle
2011	Jimmie Johnson	Clint Bowyer	Jeff Gordon	Dale Earnhardt, Jr.	Kevin Harvick

The current season leaders in various stat categories are listed below.

Total Points

Denny Hamlin - 434

Martin Truex - 353

Joey Logano - 345

William Byron - 310

Ryan Blaney - 299

Kyle Larson - 295

Chase Elliott - 279

Brad Keselowski - 269

Kevin Harvick - 265

Christopher Bell - 248

Average finish

Denny Hamlin - 4.2

AJ Allmendinger - 7

Jamie McMurray - 8

Joey Logano - 8.3

Martin Truex - 9

Kevin Harvick - 11

William Byron - 11.2

Kyle Larson - 11.8

Chase Elliott - 13

Ricky Stenhouse Jr. - 13.1

Races won

Martin Truex - 2

Christopher Bell - 1

Ryan Blaney - 1

Alex Bowman - 1

William Byron - 1

Kyle Larson - 1

Joey Logano - 1

Michael McDowell - 1

Top 5 finishes

Denny Hamlin - 8

Kyle Larson - 4

Joey Logano - 4

Martin Truex - 4

Chase Elliott - 3

Brad Keselowski - 3

Kevin Harvick - 2

Kyle Busch - 2

William Byron - 2

Christopher Bell - 2

Top 10 finishes

Denny Hamlin - 8

William Byron - 7

Kevin Harvick - 6

Kyle Larson - 6

Joey Logano - 6

Martin Truex - 6

Christopher Bell - 5

Kyle Busch - 5

Ryan Blaney - 4

Alex Bowman - 4

Listed below is the projected starting order according to the StatFox race simulator. The simulator factors in recent qualifying performance, past qualifying results at this track and track type, and overall driver strength when projecting the qualifying order. Note: Once the official qualifying results are known, this section will be changed to reflect the official qualifying order. The simulator's projected finish order will also be updated.

** Click on the driver's name to jump to a page containing his respective trends, stats, and angles for this race.

Projected Qualifying Order
Row	Position	Driver	Position	Driver
1	1	Alex Bowman	2	Joey Logano
2	3	Kevin Harvick	4	Brad Keselowski
3	5	Martin Truex	6	Chase Elliott
4	7	Denny Hamlin	8	William Byron
5	9	Austin Dillon	10	Kyle Larson
6	11	Aric Almirola	12	Kurt Busch
7	13	Kyle Busch	14	Ryan Blaney
8	15	Stewart Friesen	16	Ryan Newman
9	17	Ricky Stenhouse Jr.	18	Matt DiBenedetto
10	19	David Ragan	20	Bubba Wallace
11	21	Chris Buescher	22	Christopher Bell
12	23	Michael McDowell	24	Cole Custer
13	25	Tyler Reddick	26	AJ Allmendinger
14	27	Erik Jones	28	Chase Briscoe
15	29	Anthony Alfredo	30	Daniel Suarez
16	31	Justin Haley	32	Jamie McMurray
17	33	Quin Houff	34	Garrett Smithley
18	35	Scott Heckert	36	Derrike Cope
19	37	JJ Yeley	38	Ryan Preece
20	39	Cody Ware	40	Joey Gase
21	41	Ty Dillon	42	Ross Chastain
22	43	Corey Lajoie

Listed below is the projected finish order according to the StatFox race simulator. The simulator factors in recent performance, qualifying position, past results at this track and track type, and overall driver strength when simulating the race. The race simulation is run 1000 times. For each driver, the table displays the number of race simulations they won, number of top 5 finishes, number of top 10 finishes, and number of times the driver failed to finish the race. In addition, the table displays the average finishing position for each driver and the projected odds of the driver winning the race.

** Click on the driver's name to jump to a page containing his respective trends, stats, and angles for this race.

Simulator - Projected Order Of Finish
Order	Driver	Make	Sponsor	Qual.	Finish	Wins	Odds	Top 5	Top 10	Trouble
1	Denny Hamlin	Toyota	FedEx Office	7 *	6.7	306	3.3 to 1	815	877	119
2	Martin Truex	Toyota	Bass Pro	5 *	10.5	114	8.8 to 1	538	775	175
3	Alex Bowman	Chevrolet	Ally	1 *	11.3	75	13.3 to 1	394	726	165
4	Joey Logano	Ford	Shell Pennzoil	2 *	12.2	35	28.6 to 1	264	579	124
5	William Byron	Chevrolet	Liberty University	8 *	13.2	59	16.9 to 1	333	625	206
6	Michael McDowell	Ford	Fr8Auctions	23 *	13.4	55	18.2 to 1	351	614	208
7	Chase Elliott	Chevrolet	NAPA Auto Parts	6 *	13.7	51	19.6 to 1	300	601	206
8	Austin Dillon	Chevrolet	Chevrolet	9 *	14.8	35	28.6 to 1	206	492	200
9	Chris Buescher	Ford	Fastenal	21 *	16	21	47.6 to 1	169	402	209
10	Christopher Bell	Toyota	Toyota	22 *	16.5	19	52.6 to 1	169	422	245
11	Kyle Larson	Chevrolet	HendrickCars.com	10 *	17	26	38.5 to 1	154	340	213
12	Ryan Blaney	Ford	Menards/Pennzoil	14 *	17.5	11	90.9 to 1	88	273	164
13	Kevin Harvick	Ford	Ford	3 *	17.5	8	125 to 1	73	220	102
14	Matt DiBenedetto	Ford	Motorcraft Quick Lane	18 *	18	14	71.4 to 1	94	244	163
15	Ricky Stenhouse Jr.	Chevrolet	Kroger/Crest	17 *	18.8	30	33.3 to 1	150	351	316
16	Ryan Newman	Ford	Guaranteed Rate	16 *	19.2	10	100 to 1	63	197	161
17	Erik Jones	Chevrolet	Petty's Garage	27 *	19.4	14	71.4 to 1	98	255	246
18	Ross Chastain	Chevrolet	Chevrolet Accessories	42 *	19.8	16	62.5 to 1	87	228	259
19	Stewart Friesen	Chevrolet	Halmar International	15 *	20	12	83.3 to 1	83	225	255
20	Aric Almirola	Ford	Smithfield Anytime Favori	11 *	20.5	14	71.4 to 1	78	168	219
21	Ryan Preece	Chevrolet	Louisiana Hot Sauce	38 *	20.6	9	111.1 to 1	77	203	265
22	Brad Keselowski	Ford	Autotrader	4 *	21.6	9	111.1 to 1	51	139	209
23	Kurt Busch	Chevrolet	GEARWRENCH	12 *	21.8	5	200 to 1	57	151	241
24	Bubba Wallace	Toyota	DoorDash	20 *	22.4	5	200 to 1	36	104	201
25	Corey Lajoie	Chevrolet	ARK.io	43 *	22.6	6	166.7 to 1	50	144	293
26	Kyle Busch	Toyota	Snickers Peanut Brownie	13 *	23.9	3	333.3 to 1	23	74	169
27	Chase Briscoe	Ford	Rush Truck Centers	28 *	24.4	4	250 to 1	18	46	130
28	Justin Haley	Chevrolet	Diamond Creek Water	31 *	24.4	10	100 to 1	52	126	389
29	David Ragan	Ford	Select Blinds	19 *	24.6	1	1000 to 1	32	110	375
30	Daniel Suarez	Chevrolet	Camping World	30 *	24.6	8	125 to 1	22	49	171
31	Ty Dillon	Toyota	Gaunt Brothers Racing	41 *	25.2	3	333.3 to 1	11	42	179
32	Tyler Reddick	Chevrolet	Chevrolet	25 *	25.6	1	1000 to 1	15	60	249
33	Cole Custer	Ford	HaasTooling.com	24 *	26.7	3	333.3 to 1	14	38	209
34	AJ Allmendinger	Chevrolet	Hyperice	26 *	27.8	3	333.3 to 1	11	29	292
35	Jamie McMurray	Chevrolet	AdventHealth	32 *	29.9	0	0 chance	4	13	279
36	Anthony Alfredo	Ford	iRacing	29 *	30.6	2	500 to 1	3	11	350
37	JJ Yeley	Chevrolet	Chevrolet	37 *	31.4	0	0 chance	6	12	423
38	Scott Heckert	Ford	MotorsportGames.com	35 *	33.2	1	1000 to 1	2	7	588
39	Cody Ware	Chevrolet	Nurtec ODT	39 *	33.3	0	0 chance	1	8	578
40	Derrike Cope	Chevrolet	Jacob Companies	36 *	33.4	1	1000 to 1	5	7	597
41	Quin Houff	Chevrolet	Gardner Marsh	33 *	33.7	0	0 chance	1	2	555
42	Joey Gase	Chevrolet	Donate Life Georgia	40 *	34	1	1000 to 1	2	8	655
43	Garrett Smithley	Chevrolet	Turf Sellers	34 *	34.3	0	0 chance	0	3	648

The top past performance trends relevant to this race are listed below. The results are sorted by average finish. To view a complete list of driver trends for the current race, browse to each driver's respective page.

Top performers over the last two seasons at track type= RESTRICTOR PLATE TRACK.

1.) Denny Hamlin's average finish at track type - RESTRICTOR PLATE TRACK is 2.8. In 5 races, he has 2 wins and 5 top 10 finishes.

2.) Kevin Harvick's average finish at track type - RESTRICTOR PLATE TRACK is 11.8. In 5 races, he has 0 wins and 3 top 10 finishes.

3.) Ryan Blaney's average finish at track type - RESTRICTOR PLATE TRACK is 12.8. In 5 races, he has 1 win and 3 top 10 finishes.

4.) Chase Elliott's average finish at track type - RESTRICTOR PLATE TRACK is 12.8. In 5 races, he has 0 wins and 3 top 10 finishes.

5.) Chris Buescher's average finish at track type - RESTRICTOR PLATE TRACK is 14.2. In 5 races, he has 0 wins and 3 top 10 finishes.

6.) Bubba Wallace's average finish at track type - RESTRICTOR PLATE TRACK is 15.0. In 5 races, he has 0 wins and 1 top 10 finish.

7.) Ross Chastain's average finish at track type - RESTRICTOR PLATE TRACK is 16.0. In 3 races, he has 0 wins and 1 top 10 finish.

8.) William Byron's average finish at track type - RESTRICTOR PLATE TRACK is 16.4. In 5 races, he has 1 win and 2 top 10 finishes.

9.) Corey Lajoie's average finish at track type - RESTRICTOR PLATE TRACK is 16.4. In 5 races, he has 0 wins and 2 top 10 finishes.

10.) Michael McDowell's average finish at track type - RESTRICTOR PLATE TRACK is 16.6. In 5 races, he has 1 win and 1 top 10 finish.

Best career performers at Talladega Superspeedway

1.) Ryan Preece's average finish at Talladega Superspeedway is 11.5. In 4 races, he has 0 wins and 2 top 10 finishes.

2.) Ty Dillon's average finish at Talladega Superspeedway is 12.0. In 8 races, he has 0 wins and 2 top 10 finishes.

3.) Ricky Stenhouse Jr.'s average finish at Talladega Superspeedway is 12.7. In 16 races, he has 1 win and 9 top 10 finishes.

4.) Chase Elliott's average finish at Talladega Superspeedway is 14.9. In 10 races, he has 1 win and 5 top 10 finishes.

5.) Aric Almirola's average finish at Talladega Superspeedway is 15.8. In 23 races, he has 1 win and 9 top 10 finishes.

6.) Kurt Busch's average finish at Talladega Superspeedway is 15.8. In 40 races, he has 0 wins and 21 top 10 finishes.

7.) Kevin Harvick's average finish at Talladega Superspeedway is 16.1. In 40 races, he has 1 win and 16 top 10 finishes.

8.) Brad Keselowski's average finish at Talladega Superspeedway is 16.2. In 24 races, he has 5 wins and 11 top 10 finishes.

9.) Joey Logano's average finish at Talladega Superspeedway is 16.6. In 24 races, he has 3 wins and 10 top 10 finishes.

10.) Denny Hamlin's average finish at Talladega Superspeedway is 16.7. In 30 races, he has 2 wins and 13 top 10 finishes.

Hot Drivers - Top performers over the last 3 races.

1.) Denny Hamlin's average finish over the past 3 races is 2.7. In 3 races, he has 0 wins and 3 top 10 finishes.

2.) Joey Logano's average finish over the past 3 races is 3.3. In 3 races, he has 1 win and 3 top 10 finishes.

3.) William Byron's average finish over the past 3 races is 5.7. In 3 races, he has 0 wins and 3 top 10 finishes.

4.) Chase Elliott's average finish over the past 3 races is 8.0. In 3 races, he has 0 wins and 2 top 10 finishes.

5.) Martin Truex's average finish over the past 3 races is 8.3. In 3 races, he has 1 win and 2 top 10 finishes.

Hot Drivers - Top performers over the last 10 races.

1.) Denny Hamlin's average finish over the past 10 races is 4.2. In 10 races, he has 0 wins and 9 top 10 finishes.

2.) Joey Logano's average finish over the past 10 races is 7.8. In 10 races, he has 1 win and 7 top 10 finishes.

3.) Martin Truex's average finish over the past 10 races is 9.1. In 10 races, he has 2 wins and 7 top 10 finishes.

4.) Kevin Harvick's average finish over the past 10 races is 10.6. In 10 races, he has 0 wins and 7 top 10 finishes.

5.) William Byron's average finish over the past 10 races is 11.0. In 10 races, he has 1 win and 8 top 10 finishes.