NASCAR
Talladega 500


Track Information
Track Name: Talladega Superspeedway
Location: Talladega, Ala.
Track Type: RESTRICTOR PLATE TRACK
Track Length: 2.66 miles
Track Layout: OVAL
Banking: 33 Degrees
Seating Capacity: 108000
Home Page: http://www.talladegasuperspeedway.com
Track Weather Info: Talladega Superspeedway - Weather
Race Information
Race Name: Talladega 500
Date, Time: 4/25/2021, 2:00 PM EST
Race Number: #10 of 36 races in the 2021 season
Track Name: Talladega Superspeedway
Race Distance: 500 miles, 188 laps
* Note: This is a restrictor plate race.
Past Race Averages
Average race finish time: 0:3:00
Average Speed: 155.77 MPH
Average # of cautions: 5 - 28 laps
Average # of lead changes: 37
Average # of drivers leading: 14

Talladega 500 - Recent Top Finishers
Year1st2nd3rd4th5th
2020Ryan BlaneyRicky Stenhouse Jr.Aric AlmirolaDenny HamlinErik Jones
2019Chase ElliottAlex BowmanRyan PreeceJoey LoganoDaniel Hemric
2018Joey LoganoKurt BuschChase ElliottKevin HarvickRicky Stenhouse Jr.
2017Ricky Stenhouse Jr.Jamie McMurrayKyle BuschAric AlmirolaKasey Kahne
2016Brad KeselowskiKyle BuschAustin DillonJamie McMurrayChase Elliott
2015Dale Earnhardt, Jr.Jimmie JohnsonPaul MenardRyan BlaneyMartin Truex
2014Denny HamlinGreg BiffleClint BowyerBrian VickersAJ Allmendinger
2013David RaganDavid GillilandCarl EdwardsMichael WaltripJimmie Johnson
2012Brad KeselowskiKyle BuschMatt KensethKasey KahneGreg Biffle
2011Jimmie JohnsonClint BowyerJeff GordonDale Earnhardt, Jr.Kevin Harvick

The current season leaders in various stat categories are listed below.
Total Points
Denny Hamlin - 434
Martin Truex - 353
Joey Logano - 345
William Byron - 310
Ryan Blaney - 299
Kyle Larson - 295
Chase Elliott - 279
Brad Keselowski - 269
Kevin Harvick - 265
Christopher Bell - 248
Average finish
Denny Hamlin - 4.2
AJ Allmendinger - 7
Jamie McMurray - 8
Joey Logano - 8.3
Martin Truex - 9
Kevin Harvick - 11
William Byron - 11.2
Kyle Larson - 11.8
Chase Elliott - 13
Ricky Stenhouse Jr. - 13.1
Races won
Martin Truex - 2
Christopher Bell - 1
Ryan Blaney - 1
Alex Bowman - 1
William Byron - 1
Kyle Larson - 1
Joey Logano - 1
Michael McDowell - 1
Top 5 finishes
Denny Hamlin - 8
Kyle Larson - 4
Joey Logano - 4
Martin Truex - 4
Chase Elliott - 3
Brad Keselowski - 3
Kevin Harvick - 2
Kyle Busch - 2
William Byron - 2
Christopher Bell - 2
Top 10 finishes
Denny Hamlin - 8
William Byron - 7
Kevin Harvick - 6
Kyle Larson - 6
Joey Logano - 6
Martin Truex - 6
Christopher Bell - 5
Kyle Busch - 5
Ryan Blaney - 4
Alex Bowman - 4

Listed below is the projected starting order according to the StatFox race simulator. The simulator factors in recent qualifying performance, past qualifying results at this track and track type, and overall driver strength when projecting the qualifying order. Note: Once the official qualifying results are known, this section will be changed to reflect the official qualifying order. The simulator's projected finish order will also be updated.

** Click on the driver's name to jump to a page containing his respective trends, stats, and angles for this race.

Projected Qualifying Order
RowPosition Driver Position Driver
11Alex Bowman 2Joey Logano
23Kevin Harvick 4Brad Keselowski
35Martin Truex 6Chase Elliott
47Denny Hamlin 8William Byron
59Austin Dillon 10Kyle Larson
611Aric Almirola 12Kurt Busch
713Kyle Busch 14Ryan Blaney
815Stewart Friesen 16Ryan Newman
917Ricky Stenhouse Jr. 18Matt DiBenedetto
1019David Ragan 20Bubba Wallace
1121Chris Buescher 22Christopher Bell
1223Michael McDowell 24Cole Custer
1325Tyler Reddick 26AJ Allmendinger
1427Erik Jones 28Chase Briscoe
1529Anthony Alfredo 30Daniel Suarez
1631Justin Haley 32Jamie McMurray
1733Quin Houff 34Garrett Smithley
1835Scott Heckert 36Derrike Cope
1937JJ Yeley 38Ryan Preece
2039Cody Ware 40Joey Gase
2141Ty Dillon 42Ross Chastain
2243Corey Lajoie

Section Help

Listed below is the projected finish order according to the StatFox race simulator. The simulator factors in recent performance, qualifying position, past results at this track and track type, and overall driver strength when simulating the race. The race simulation is run 1000 times. For each driver, the table displays the number of race simulations they won, number of top 5 finishes, number of top 10 finishes, and number of times the driver failed to finish the race. In addition, the table displays the average finishing position for each driver and the projected odds of the driver winning the race.

** Click on the driver's name to jump to a page containing his respective trends, stats, and angles for this race.

Simulator - Projected Order Of Finish
Order DriverMakeSponsorQual.FinishWinsOddsTop 5Top 10Trouble
1Denny HamlinToyotaFedEx Office7 *6.73063.3 to 1815877119
2Martin TruexToyotaBass Pro5 *10.51148.8 to 1538775175
3Alex BowmanChevroletAlly1 *11.37513.3 to 1394726165
4Joey LoganoFordShell Pennzoil2 *12.23528.6 to 1264579124
5William ByronChevroletLiberty University8 *13.25916.9 to 1333625206
6Michael McDowellFordFr8Auctions23 *13.45518.2 to 1351614208
7Chase ElliottChevroletNAPA Auto Parts6 *13.75119.6 to 1300601206
8Austin DillonChevroletChevrolet9 *14.83528.6 to 1206492200
9Chris BuescherFordFastenal21 *162147.6 to 1169402209
10Christopher BellToyotaToyota22 *16.51952.6 to 1169422245
11Kyle LarsonChevroletHendrickCars.com10 *172638.5 to 1154340213
12Ryan BlaneyFordMenards/Pennzoil14 *17.51190.9 to 188273164
13Kevin HarvickFordFord3 *17.58125 to 173220102
14Matt DiBenedettoFordMotorcraft Quick Lane18 *181471.4 to 194244163
15Ricky Stenhouse Jr.ChevroletKroger/Crest17 *18.83033.3 to 1150351316
16Ryan NewmanFordGuaranteed Rate16 *19.210100 to 163197161
17Erik JonesChevroletPetty's Garage27 *19.41471.4 to 198255246
18Ross ChastainChevroletChevrolet Accessories42 *19.81662.5 to 187228259
19Stewart FriesenChevroletHalmar International15 *201283.3 to 183225255
20Aric AlmirolaFordSmithfield Anytime Favori11 *20.51471.4 to 178168219
21Ryan PreeceChevroletLouisiana Hot Sauce38 *20.69111.1 to 177203265
22Brad KeselowskiFordAutotrader4 *21.69111.1 to 151139209
23Kurt BuschChevroletGEARWRENCH12 *21.85200 to 157151241
24Bubba WallaceToyotaDoorDash20 *22.45200 to 136104201
25Corey LajoieChevroletARK.io43 *22.66166.7 to 150144293
26Kyle BuschToyotaSnickers Peanut Brownie13 *23.93333.3 to 12374169
27Chase BriscoeFordRush Truck Centers28 *24.44250 to 11846130
28Justin HaleyChevroletDiamond Creek Water31 *24.410100 to 152126389
29David RaganFordSelect Blinds19 *24.611000 to 132110375
30Daniel SuarezChevroletCamping World30 *24.68125 to 12249171
31Ty DillonToyotaGaunt Brothers Racing41 *25.23333.3 to 11142179
32Tyler ReddickChevroletChevrolet25 *25.611000 to 11560249
33Cole CusterFordHaasTooling.com24 *26.73333.3 to 11438209
34AJ AllmendingerChevroletHyperice26 *27.83333.3 to 11129292
35Jamie McMurrayChevroletAdventHealth32 *29.900 chance413279
36Anthony AlfredoFordiRacing29 *30.62500 to 1311350
37JJ YeleyChevroletChevrolet37 *31.400 chance612423
38Scott HeckertFordMotorsportGames.com35 *33.211000 to 127588
39Cody WareChevroletNurtec ODT39 *33.300 chance18578
40Derrike CopeChevroletJacob Companies36 *33.411000 to 157597
41Quin HouffChevroletGardner Marsh33 *33.700 chance12555
42Joey GaseChevroletDonate Life Georgia40 *3411000 to 128655
43Garrett SmithleyChevroletTurf Sellers34 *34.300 chance03648

Section Help
The top past performance trends relevant to this race are listed below. The results are sorted by average finish. To view a complete list of driver trends for the current race, browse to each driver's respective page.
Top performers over the last two seasons at track type= RESTRICTOR PLATE TRACK.
1.) Denny Hamlin's average finish at track type - RESTRICTOR PLATE TRACK is 2.8. In 5 races, he has 2 wins and 5 top 10 finishes.
2.) Kevin Harvick's average finish at track type - RESTRICTOR PLATE TRACK is 11.8. In 5 races, he has 0 wins and 3 top 10 finishes.
3.) Ryan Blaney's average finish at track type - RESTRICTOR PLATE TRACK is 12.8. In 5 races, he has 1 win and 3 top 10 finishes.
4.) Chase Elliott's average finish at track type - RESTRICTOR PLATE TRACK is 12.8. In 5 races, he has 0 wins and 3 top 10 finishes.
5.) Chris Buescher's average finish at track type - RESTRICTOR PLATE TRACK is 14.2. In 5 races, he has 0 wins and 3 top 10 finishes.
6.) Bubba Wallace's average finish at track type - RESTRICTOR PLATE TRACK is 15.0. In 5 races, he has 0 wins and 1 top 10 finish.
7.) Ross Chastain's average finish at track type - RESTRICTOR PLATE TRACK is 16.0. In 3 races, he has 0 wins and 1 top 10 finish.
8.) William Byron's average finish at track type - RESTRICTOR PLATE TRACK is 16.4. In 5 races, he has 1 win and 2 top 10 finishes.
9.) Corey Lajoie's average finish at track type - RESTRICTOR PLATE TRACK is 16.4. In 5 races, he has 0 wins and 2 top 10 finishes.
10.) Michael McDowell's average finish at track type - RESTRICTOR PLATE TRACK is 16.6. In 5 races, he has 1 win and 1 top 10 finish.

Best career performers at Talladega Superspeedway
1.) Ryan Preece's average finish at Talladega Superspeedway is 11.5. In 4 races, he has 0 wins and 2 top 10 finishes.
2.) Ty Dillon's average finish at Talladega Superspeedway is 12.0. In 8 races, he has 0 wins and 2 top 10 finishes.
3.) Ricky Stenhouse Jr.'s average finish at Talladega Superspeedway is 12.7. In 16 races, he has 1 win and 9 top 10 finishes.
4.) Chase Elliott's average finish at Talladega Superspeedway is 14.9. In 10 races, he has 1 win and 5 top 10 finishes.
5.) Aric Almirola's average finish at Talladega Superspeedway is 15.8. In 23 races, he has 1 win and 9 top 10 finishes.
6.) Kurt Busch's average finish at Talladega Superspeedway is 15.8. In 40 races, he has 0 wins and 21 top 10 finishes.
7.) Kevin Harvick's average finish at Talladega Superspeedway is 16.1. In 40 races, he has 1 win and 16 top 10 finishes.
8.) Brad Keselowski's average finish at Talladega Superspeedway is 16.2. In 24 races, he has 5 wins and 11 top 10 finishes.
9.) Joey Logano's average finish at Talladega Superspeedway is 16.6. In 24 races, he has 3 wins and 10 top 10 finishes.
10.) Denny Hamlin's average finish at Talladega Superspeedway is 16.7. In 30 races, he has 2 wins and 13 top 10 finishes.

Hot Drivers - Top performers over the last 3 races.
1.) Denny Hamlin's average finish over the past 3 races is 2.7. In 3 races, he has 0 wins and 3 top 10 finishes.
2.) Joey Logano's average finish over the past 3 races is 3.3. In 3 races, he has 1 win and 3 top 10 finishes.
3.) William Byron's average finish over the past 3 races is 5.7. In 3 races, he has 0 wins and 3 top 10 finishes.
4.) Chase Elliott's average finish over the past 3 races is 8.0. In 3 races, he has 0 wins and 2 top 10 finishes.
5.) Martin Truex's average finish over the past 3 races is 8.3. In 3 races, he has 1 win and 2 top 10 finishes.

Hot Drivers - Top performers over the last 10 races.
1.) Denny Hamlin's average finish over the past 10 races is 4.2. In 10 races, he has 0 wins and 9 top 10 finishes.
2.) Joey Logano's average finish over the past 10 races is 7.8. In 10 races, he has 1 win and 7 top 10 finishes.
3.) Martin Truex's average finish over the past 10 races is 9.1. In 10 races, he has 2 wins and 7 top 10 finishes.
4.) Kevin Harvick's average finish over the past 10 races is 10.6. In 10 races, he has 0 wins and 7 top 10 finishes.
5.) William Byron's average finish over the past 10 races is 11.0. In 10 races, he has 1 win and 8 top 10 finishes.
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