| The FoxSheets |

NASCAR

Toyota/Save Mart 350

Track Information
Track Name:	Sonoma Raceway
Location:	Sonoma, Calif.
Track Type:	ROAD COURSE
Track Length:	1.949 miles
Track Layout:	ROAD
Banking:	N/A
Seating Capacity:	42500
Home Page:	http://www.infineonraceway.com
Track Weather Info:	Sonoma Raceway - Weather

Race Information
Race Name:	Toyota/Save Mart 350
Date, Time:	6/25/2017, 3:00 PM EST
Race Number:	#16 of 36 races in the 2017 season
Track Name:	Sonoma Raceway
Race Distance:	214 miles, 110 laps

Past Race Averages
Average race finish time:	0:3:00
Average Speed:	85.14 MPH
Average # of cautions:	4 - 14 laps
Average # of lead changes:	9
Average # of drivers leading:	6

Toyota/Save Mart 350 - Recent Top Finishers
Year	1st	2nd	3rd	4th	5th
2016	Tony Stewart	Denny Hamlin	Joey Logano	Carl Edwards	Martin Truex
2015	Kyle Busch	Kurt Busch	Clint Bowyer	Kevin Harvick	Joey Logano
2014	Carl Edwards	Jeff Gordon	Dale Earnhardt, Jr.	Jamie McMurray	Paul Menard
2013	Martin Truex	Jeff Gordon	Carl Edwards	Kurt Busch	Clint Bowyer
2012	Clint Bowyer	Tony Stewart	Kurt Busch	Brian Vickers	Jimmie Johnson
2011	Kurt Busch	Jeff Gordon	Carl Edwards	Clint Bowyer	Marcos Ambrose
2010	Jimmie Johnson	Robby Gordon	Kevin Harvick	Kasey Kahne	Jeff Gordon
2009	Kasey Kahne	Tony Stewart	Marcos Ambrose	Jimmie Johnson	Denny Hamlin
2008	Kyle Busch	David Gilliland	Jeff Gordon	Clint Bowyer	Casey Mears
2007	Juan Montoya	Kevin Harvick	Jeff Burton	Clint Bowyer	Greg Biffle

The current season leaders in various stat categories are listed below.

Total Points

Kyle Larson - 637

Martin Truex - 635

Kevin Harvick - 510

Kyle Busch - 510

Brad Keselowski - 504

Chase Elliott - 468

Jimmie Johnson - 449

Jamie McMurray - 441

Joey Logano - 420

Denny Hamlin - 420

Average finish

Kyle Larson - 7.9

Michael Waltrip - 8

Martin Truex - 8.9

Kevin Harvick - 11.9

Brad Keselowski - 12.7

Kyle Busch - 13.1

Chase Elliott - 13.3

Jamie McMurray - 13.4

Joey Logano - 13.7

Clint Bowyer - 14.3

Races won

Jimmie Johnson - 3

Brad Keselowski - 2

Kyle Larson - 2

Martin Truex - 2

Ryan Blaney - 1

Kurt Busch - 1

Austin Dillon - 1

Joey Logano - 1

Ryan Newman - 1

Ricky Stenhouse Jr. - 1

Top 5 finishes

Brad Keselowski - 8

Kyle Larson - 7

Joey Logano - 7

Kevin Harvick - 5

Kyle Busch - 5

Chase Elliott - 5

Martin Truex - 5

Ricky Stenhouse Jr. - 3

Denny Hamlin - 3

Ryan Blaney - 3

Top 10 finishes

Martin Truex - 11

Brad Keselowski - 10

Kyle Larson - 10

Joey Logano - 9

Jamie McMurray - 9

Chase Elliott - 9

Kevin Harvick - 9

Kyle Busch - 8

Kurt Busch - 7

Denny Hamlin - 7

Listed below is the projected starting order according to the StatFox race simulator. The simulator factors in recent qualifying performance, past qualifying results at this track and track type, and overall driver strength when projecting the qualifying order. Note: Once the official qualifying results are known, this section will be changed to reflect the official qualifying order. The simulator's projected finish order will also be updated.

** Click on the driver's name to jump to a page containing his respective trends, stats, and angles for this race.

Projected Qualifying Order
Row	Position	Driver	Position	Driver
1	1	AJ Allmendinger	2	Kyle Larson
2	3	Martin Truex	4	Kurt Busch
3	5	Brad Keselowski	6	Denny Hamlin
4	7	Kyle Busch	8	Chase Elliott
5	9	Matt Kenseth	10	Jamie McMurray
6	11	Ryan Blaney	12	Joey Logano
7	13	Kevin Harvick	14	Ryan Newman
8	15	Dale Earnhardt, Jr.	16	Jimmie Johnson
9	17	Michael Waltrip	18	Clint Bowyer
10	19	Ross Chastain	20	Elliott Sadler
11	21	Michael McDowell	22	Corey Lajoie
12	23	Ty Dillon	24	Daniel Suarez
13	25	Gray Gaulding	26	Derrike Cope
14	27	Ryan Sieg	28	Bubba Wallace
15	29	Danica Patrick	30	Paul Menard
16	31	Austin Dillon	32	Erik Jones
17	33	JJ Yeley	34	Brendan Gaughan
18	35	Reed Sorenson	36	Landon Cassill
19	37	Ricky Stenhouse Jr.	38	David Ragan
20	39	Chris Buescher	40	Cole Whitt
21	41	Matt DiBenedetto	42	Kasey Kahne
22	43	Trevor Bayne

Listed below is the projected finish order according to the StatFox race simulator. The simulator factors in recent performance, qualifying position, past results at this track and track type, and overall driver strength when simulating the race. The race simulation is run 1000 times. For each driver, the table displays the number of race simulations they won, number of top 5 finishes, number of top 10 finishes, and number of times the driver failed to finish the race. In addition, the table displays the average finishing position for each driver and the projected odds of the driver winning the race.

** Click on the driver's name to jump to a page containing his respective trends, stats, and angles for this race.

Simulator - Projected Order Of Finish
Order	Driver	Make	Sponsor	Qual.	Finish	Wins	Odds	Top 5	Top 10	Trouble
1	Martin Truex	Toyota	Auto-Owners Insurance	3 *	7.9	120	8.3 to 1	538	842	78
2	Brad Keselowski	Ford	Miller Lite	5 *	8.2	132	7.6 to 1	578	850	95
3	Kyle Larson	Chevrolet	Cars 3/Target	2 *	8.5	125	8 to 1	508	813	85
4	Jamie McMurray	Chevrolet	McDonald's	10 *	9.1	106	9.4 to 1	482	796	99
5	Kurt Busch	Ford	Monster Energy/Haas Autom	4 *	9.9	66	15.2 to 1	329	655	65
6	Chase Elliott	Chevrolet	NAPA	8 *	10.8	78	12.8 to 1	387	695	124
7	Kyle Busch	Toyota	M&M's Red White & Blue	7 *	11.1	52	19.2 to 1	318	669	108
8	Joey Logano	Ford	Shell Pennzoil	12 *	11.5	46	21.7 to 1	267	600	96
9	Clint Bowyer	Ford	Haas-Automation	18 *	11.9	42	23.8 to 1	247	574	98
10	Kevin Harvick	Ford	Jimmy John's	13 *	12.1	38	26.3 to 1	233	539	90
11	Kasey Kahne	Chevrolet	Farmers Insurance	42 *	13.7	44	22.7 to 1	206	445	121
12	Ryan Newman	Chevrolet	Velveeta	14 *	14.1	23	43.5 to 1	130	333	64
13	Matt Kenseth	Toyota	Freightliner	9 *	15.1	23	43.5 to 1	142	365	133
14	Erik Jones	Toyota	5-hour ENERGY Extra Stren	32 *	16.4	14	71.4 to 1	102	256	123
15	Trevor Bayne	Ford	AdvoCare	43 *	18	5	200 to 1	65	164	80
16	Denny Hamlin	Toyota	FedEx Office	6 *	18.4	9	111.1 to 1	45	146	79
17	Dale Earnhardt, Jr.	Chevrolet	Mountain Dew	15 *	18.8	6	166.7 to 1	53	185	122
18	Jimmie Johnson	Chevrolet	Lowe's	16 *	19.4	12	83.3 to 1	67	166	144
19	Ty Dillon	Chevrolet	Twisted Tea	23 *	19.4	4	250 to 1	35	119	75
20	Ricky Stenhouse Jr.	Ford	Fifth Third Bank	37 *	19.4	5	200 to 1	49	140	104
21	Ryan Blaney	Ford	Omnicraft Auto Parts	11 *	19.6	11	90.9 to 1	54	154	149
22	AJ Allmendinger	Chevrolet	Kroger ClickList	1 *	21.8	9	111.1 to 1	31	94	117
23	Daniel Suarez	Toyota	Stanley	24 *	22.9	4	250 to 1	15	44	56
24	Paul Menard	Chevrolet	NIBCO/Menards	30 *	24.1	4	250 to 1	18	49	112
25	Austin Dillon	Chevrolet	DOW	31 *	24.8	2	500 to 1	13	41	99
26	Danica Patrick	Ford	TaxAct	29 *	24.9	4	250 to 1	20	47	155
27	Michael McDowell	Chevrolet	WRL General Contractors	21 *	25.3	4	250 to 1	14	42	73
28	Michael Waltrip	Toyota	Aaron's	17 *	26.6	0	0 chance	5	25	144
29	Bubba Wallace	Ford	Smithfield	28 *	27	2	500 to 1	8	32	170
30	Chris Buescher	Chevrolet	Kingsford	39 *	27.3	0	0 chance	5	25	116
31	Cole Whitt	Chevrolet	RTIC Coolers	40 *	28.7	1	1000 to 1	7	21	159
32	David Ragan	Ford	Shriners Hospitals for Ch	38 *	31.2	2	500 to 1	4	7	146
33	Matt DiBenedetto	Ford	Keen Parts	41 *	31.7	3	333.3 to 1	6	7	195
34	JJ Yeley	Chevrolet	Accell Construction, Inc.	33 *	31.7	0	0 chance	1	5	190
35	Landon Cassill	Ford	MDS	36 *	32.1	1	1000 to 1	2	3	131
36	Reed Sorenson	Chevrolet	Corrigan Oil	35 *	32.5	1	1000 to 1	4	12	284
37	Gray Gaulding	Toyota	Addiction Campuses	25 *	33.5	0	0 chance	3	8	348
38	Ryan Sieg	Toyota	Dr Pepper	27 *	33.7	0	0 chance	0	7	389
39	Ross Chastain	Chevrolet	DelawareOffice	19 *	34	1	1000 to 1	5	12	422
40	Corey Lajoie	Toyota	JAS Expedited Trucking	22 *	34	0	0 chance	1	4	258
41	Elliott Sadler	Chevrolet	Golden Corral	20 *	34.2	1	1000 to 1	2	6	413
42	Derrike Cope	Chevrolet	StarCom Fiber	26 *	35.1	0	0 chance	1	3	499
43	Brendan Gaughan	Chevrolet	Beard Oil Distributing	34 *	35.9	0	0 chance	0	0	392

The top past performance trends relevant to this race are listed below. The results are sorted by average finish. To view a complete list of driver trends for the current race, browse to each driver's respective page.

Top performers over the last two seasons at track type= ROAD COURSE.

Best career performers at Sonoma Raceway

1.) Clint Bowyer's average finish at Sonoma Raceway is 11.5. In 11 races, he has 1 win and 8 top 10 finishes.

2.) Ryan Newman's average finish at Sonoma Raceway is 12.3. In 15 races, he has 0 wins and 7 top 10 finishes.

3.) Jimmie Johnson's average finish at Sonoma Raceway is 12.5. In 15 races, he has 1 win and 9 top 10 finishes.

4.) Joey Logano's average finish at Sonoma Raceway is 12.9. In 8 races, he has 0 wins and 4 top 10 finishes.

5.) Kurt Busch's average finish at Sonoma Raceway is 14.5. In 16 races, he has 1 win and 8 top 10 finishes.

6.) Kevin Harvick's average finish at Sonoma Raceway is 14.6. In 16 races, he has 0 wins and 7 top 10 finishes.

7.) Elliott Sadler's average finish at Sonoma Raceway is 15.4. In 12 races, he has 0 wins and 5 top 10 finishes.

8.) Jamie McMurray's average finish at Sonoma Raceway is 16.3. In 14 races, he has 0 wins and 2 top 10 finishes.

9.) Kasey Kahne's average finish at Sonoma Raceway is 17.5. In 13 races, he has 1 win and 6 top 10 finishes.

10.) Michael Waltrip's average finish at Sonoma Raceway is 17.5. In 16 races, he has 0 wins and 4 top 10 finishes.

Hot Drivers - Top performers over the last 3 races.

1.) Kyle Larson's average finish over the past 3 races is 3.3. In 3 races, he has 1 win and 3 top 10 finishes.

2.) Martin Truex's average finish over the past 3 races is 5.0. In 3 races, he has 0 wins and 3 top 10 finishes.

3.) Chase Elliott's average finish over the past 3 races is 5.0. In 3 races, he has 0 wins and 3 top 10 finishes.

4.) Denny Hamlin's average finish over the past 3 races is 8.0. In 3 races, he has 0 wins and 2 top 10 finishes.

5.) Kevin Harvick's average finish over the past 3 races is 8.3. In 3 races, he has 0 wins and 2 top 10 finishes.

Hot Drivers - Top performers over the last 10 races.

1.) Kevin Harvick's average finish over the past 10 races is 9.1. In 10 races, he has 0 wins and 7 top 10 finishes.

2.) Martin Truex's average finish over the past 10 races is 9.6. In 10 races, he has 1 win and 8 top 10 finishes.

3.) Kyle Larson's average finish over the past 10 races is 10.0. In 10 races, he has 1 win and 6 top 10 finishes.

4.) Kyle Busch's average finish over the past 10 races is 11.0. In 10 races, he has 0 wins and 6 top 10 finishes.

5.) Ricky Stenhouse Jr.'s average finish over the past 10 races is 12.2. In 10 races, he has 1 win and 5 top 10 finishes.