Understanding the FoxSheets is the single
most important factor in your success. Being able to interpret
them is essential. Many StatFox members have stated that there
is simply too much information. Our response is that most people
just arent used to having this much data available to
them. In general, most self-handicappers have grown accustomed
to using more simplistic, traditional methods of analyzing
games. The handicapping models presented on each FoxSheet have
been historically successful, and by exploring these new methods,
you too will be laying the groundwork for success. The staff
at StatFox knows first hand. We've been utilizing these strategies
for over a decade!
Where to Start?
It is important to realize that using the FoxSheets is by
no means a methodical process. Handicapping a game and selecting a winner can
hinge on many factors including team stats, trends, systems, your 'gut feeling',
etc. Each FoxSheet contains up to ten different handicapping models.
Most members, over time, have developed their own unique styles for utilizing
the information. Many find success with one particular model, while others
may do so using one model in conjunction with another, etc. We advise everyone
to begin by weighing the importance of each model equally. For example, many
first time users make the mistake of relying too heavily on the StatFox Game
Simulator. A large number of websites and pick services make a living
by solely providing this type of analysis. In contrast, the StatFox Game
Simulator is a single piece of a much larger puzzle. Moreover, while the formula
used for simulating each game is historically proven, its results do vary.
Realistically, we can't expect to find any particular service or computer program
that will accurately predict the outcomes of all games. If the Game Simulator
could correctly project the score 75% of the time, we'd all be sitting on an
island sipping umbrella drinks.
Let's take a closer
look at the different FoxSheet handicapping models:
StatFox Super Situations uncover
conditions and patterns where teams have consistently outperformed
or underperformed their normal levels relative to the money line
or spread. These systems are tabulated for ALL teams in the league
and are not team specific. The idea is that teams fall into patterns
regardless of personnel. Over time, these performance patterns
tend to repeat themselves.
StatFox Game Simulator provides
score estimates based on a large sample of computer-simulated
games between the teams involved. The percentages are derived
from recent statistical averages, strength of schedule, and home
court advantage. Where an estimated score differs significantly
from the current line or total, the edge is indicated.
StatFox PowerLine is
a team strength rating system based on recent game results. The
section should be used to compare the relative strength of the
two teams involved against the spread line.
StatFox Power Trends attempt to uncover certain
situations where a team outperforms or underperforms their normal
level of play. Unlike the Super Situation analysis section above,
all trend records listed apply to the team in question. Only
trends which apply to the current game and possess exceptionally
good or bad ATS records are displayed. StatFox is unique in that
we provide both common and sophisticated trend analysis.
Advanced Team Statistics are shown for each team
in a variety of important game categories. Where a team has performed
poorly is denoted in red; and performed well is denoted in green.
Also note that the home team's home and overall stats are shown.
Recent Game Results
and Schedules are displayed for both teams
for every game including; lines, totals, scores, results versus
the spread, straight up and against the total. The tables are
designed to easily to recognize patterns and streaks.
Head-to-Head History summarizes
the ATS and straight up results in recent head-to-head matchups
between the respective teams. When one team has achieved a great
deal of success against the opponent, an edge is indicated.
StatFox Line Tracker is
a unique feature which displays similar past opening lines and
totals in relation to the current games. If a home or visiting
team has achieved relative success against the line, an edge
is indicated. Similarly, if a higher ratio of past games went
either over or under the total, an edge against the total is
Tracker analyzes the money being wagered
on each side of the line. In general, oddsmakers move a line
because of one-sided public betting action. They also move the
line in reaction to 'wise guy's' selections. The Money Tracker
is a gauge which attempts to uncover whether the 'wise guys'
and public have a read on a given team.
Key Injuries and
Game Information detail all personnel injuries
or other situations which may have an affect on a game.
StatFox advises you to analyze each FoxSheet
for all of its merits, and be willing to expand your methods
handicapping. Put the time in to track the game results against
each of the models and against your own selections, and see
which methods prove best for you. Before long, you'll start
recognizing your own successful interpretations.